Saturday 30 November 2013

Daily tips for December 1


Note 1: Bets are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).


Racing for December 1

Horse racing: Wodonga (Vic), Kembla Grange (NSW), Sunshine Coast (Qld), Murray Bridge (SA), Geraldton (WA), Swan Hill (Vic), Lismore (NSW), Goondiwindi (Qld), Hobart (Tas), Pioneer Park (NT). Harness racing: Parkes (NSW), Launceston (Tas), Stawell (Vic), Kalgoorlie (WA), Tamworth (NSW). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Bendigo (Vic), Canberra (ACT), Healesville (Vic), Mount Gambier (SA), Sale (Vic), Sandown Park (Vic), Strathalbyn (SA).


It’s Wodonga Cup day on the Victoria/NSW border while for my best of the day, we’re off to Kembla Grange where today’s eight-race meeting is being run on a dead (4). Race 4 is the Lake Illawarra CG&E Maiden Plate over 1200 metres at set weights. #7 Centre Pivot is a superbly bred More Than Ready colt out of Waterwise owned by Segenhoe and trained for them by John O'Shea (pictured). This striking 3YO has had five trials dating back to October 12, with his last two (November 1 and November 21, which he won by two lengths) for O'Shea after the horse moved from Graeme Rogerson's stable a few doors down at Randwick. He looks a class above this bunch.

Confirmed bets

Wodonga R2 #7 Miss Pin Up (win) 1st ($1.65)
Kembla Grange R4 #7 Centre Pivot (E/W 1x4) 2nd ($1.30)
Kembla Grange R6 #1 Lucky Lucky Lucky (E/W 1x2) 1st ($4.00/$1.70)
Sunshine Coast R5 #3 Arctic Passage (E/W 1x2) 3rd ($2.30)
Lismore R3 #13 Tiana (win) SCRATCHED
Hobart R8 #5 Bag Of Monkeys (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.50)


Leans

Wodonga R1 #3 Reggio (win) 1st ($1.75)
Wodonga R7 #3 Stacey Lee (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Kembla Grange R2 #4 O’Reilly’s Revenge (win) 1st ($3.00)
Kembla Grange R7 #9 Chosen Song (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Sunshine Coast R6 #7 Sizzling Song (win) LOSE (4th)
Murray Bridge R6 #2 Whitten’s Brew (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Murray Bridge R7 #2 Love A Giggle (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($2.20)
Lismore R4 #8 Don’t Tell Me (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Lismore R7 #3 Perfect Timing (E/W 1x2) 1st ($3.60/$2.30)
Swan Hill R4 #5 Quantum Light (win) 1st ($2.70)
Swan Hill R6 #2 Hanging Loose (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Goondiwindi R3 #1 Bam’s Boy (win) LOSE (3rd)
Hobart R3 #5 Niloufar (win) 1st ($1.90)


NHL for December 1

Calgary Flames (8-13-4, 20pts) @ Los Angeles Kings (16-6-4, 37pts), STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA, Sunday, December 1, 2.10pm


The Los Angeles Kings have earned at least one point in 11 consecutive games, but leaving a few on the table recently has tempered their mood a bit. They look to keep that streak alive by picking up the maximum at home against a banged-up Calgary Flames team that has dropped three of four. The Kings (16-6-4) are 7-0-4 during their run as Ben Scrivens (pictured) has gone 5-0-4 with a 1.34 goals-against average. He’s been the regular starter since Jonathan Quick, expected to miss at least another three weeks, suffered a Grade 2 groin strain on November 12. Los Angeles beat Vancouver 3-2 on Monday following back-to-back overtime losses to New Jersey and Colorado, respectively, but fell 3-2 to San Jose on Wednesday after an eight-round shootout. Despite the long point streak, the Kings have gained only four in that span on Pacific Division co-leaders Anaheim and San Jose, which are three points ahead of Los Angeles. Jeff Carter scored Monday in his second game back after missing 10 with a lower-body injury, marking his first goal since scoring in the first meeting with the Flames on October 21.

Los Angeles let at least a point slip away in that contest, as T.J. Brodie scored on the power play with 30 seconds remaining to give Calgary a 3-2 victory that ended its four-game skid in the series. The Flames (8-13-4) have lost 12 of 16 since that contest, though, and are dealing with multiple injuries. Most notably, standout rookie Sean Monahan is week to week with a non-displaced fracture in his left foot. Monahan is second among rookies in scoring with nine goals and six assists, but he missed Saturday’s 5-2 loss to Anaheim and won’t play here. Defenseman Dennis Wideman broke his left hand in Wednesday’s loss to Chicago, and he will have surgery that will force him to miss 6-8 weeks. Calgary allowed the first three goals and couldn't recover Saturday despite goals from David Jones and Ladislav Smid. Reto Berra made 33 saves before being replaced by Karri Ramo, who stopped all four shots he faced. Ramo will get his first start since November 8 on Saturday. He made 27 saves in the first meeting with the Kings and is 2-4-1 with a 3.59 GAA in eight appearances.

Confirmed bets

Calgary Flames @ Los Angeles Kings -1.5 (one unit @ $2.05) LOSE (2-1)
Vancouver Canucks @ New York Rangers +5 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (2-5)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Phoenix Coyotes +5.5 (one unit @ $1.80) WIN (5-2)
Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche WIN (one unit @ $1.77) WIN (2-3)
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Boston Bruins WIN NT (one unit @ $1.70) WIN (1-3)

Leans

Columbus Blue Jackets @ Boston Bruins -5 $2.10 WIN (1-3)
Toronto Maple Leafs WIN $2.50 @ Montreal Canadiens LOSE (2-4)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Florida Panthers -5.5 $1.83 LOSE (5-1)
Buffalo Sabres @ New Jersey Devils -5 $1.83 WIN (0-1)
Washington Capitals WIN $1.91 @ New York Islanders WIN (3-2)
Philadelphia Flyers WIN $2.00 @ Nashville Predators WIN (3-2)
Calgary Flames @ Los Angeles Kings +5 $1.74 LOSE (2-1)
Anaheim Ducks @ San Jose Sharks WIN NT $1.77 WIN (3-4)


NBA for December 1

Chicago Bulls (7-7, 2-7 away) @ Cleveland Cavaliers (4-12, 3-3 home), Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH, Sunday, December 1, 11.40am

There are days when you look at an NBA card and the value jumps off the page even before you look at the key numbers. Today is not one of those days, with a minefield awaiting punters who choose to tip-toe their way across the card. An ideal example is the visit of the Bulls to 4-12 Cleveland – Chicago may not be putting up great numbers but they’re sure as hell better than the woeful Cavs. The Bulls appear to have regrouped after absorbing the shock of losing Derrick Rose again. The Bulls (7-7) ended a four-game skid with Friday’s 99-79 win at Detroit, its third game without Rose after he was lost for the season due to a torn meniscus. They were blasted for a 39-point defeat against the Los Angeles Clippers in the next game, then took an overtime loss against league-worst Utah on Monday despite holding the Jazz to 38.8 per cent shooting. Chicago's defense put the clamps on the Pistons in the second half, giving up just 26 points on 27.8 per cent shooting.


Luol Deng (pictured) is shooting 51.4 per cent from three-point range over his last 11 match-ups with Cleveland, though he was three of 12 from the floor overall in Chicago’s 96-81 home win on November 11, the Bulls’ 12th victory in 13 meetings. Chicago scored 29 points off 18 Cleveland turnovers. With a struggling offence, the Cavaliers may not prove much of a challenge as Chicago closes its six-game road trip. The Cavs (4-12) dropped their fifth straight with a 103-88 loss at Boston. Playing Chicago likely won't cure Cleveland’s offensive lull, as the team is averaging 90.7 points through a 1-8 stretch, including four games with 86 points or fewer. The Cavaliers managed just 10 points in Friday’s first quarter and shot 37.2 per cent for the game. Kyrie Irving had another inefficient performance, scoring 17 on 7-of-16 shooting with four turnovers compared to three assists. He’s shooting 39.2 per cent over his past four contests, including 1 of 16 from three-point range. Irving has also struggled against Chicago, hitting just 35.7 per cent of his field goals in four meetings.

Confirmed bets

Chicago Bulls @ Cleveland Cavaliers -182.5 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (93-97)
Brooklyn Nets @ Memphis Grizzlies -9 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (97-88)
Boston Celtics -2 @ Milwaukee Bucks (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (85-92)
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs +205 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (112-106)
Leans

Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards +191 $1.91 WIN (101-108)
Brooklyn Nets @ Memphis Grizzlies -186 $1.91 PUSH (97-88)
Minnesota Timberwolves -2 $1.91 @ Dallas Mavericks WIN (112-106)
Houston Rockets +6 $1.91 PUSH @ San Antonio Spurs +205 $1.91 WIN (112-106)
Utah Jazz +9 $1.91 @ Phoenix Suns WIN (112-104)


College Football (week 14) for December 1


1 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0, 7-0 SEC) @ 4 Auburn Tigers (10-1, 6-1 SEC), Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL, Sunday, December 1, 7.30am


It may not be the best betting game of the weekend, but it’s the game that’s the talk of the nation (and among a random set of bettors on this side of the world). Fans have been camped out since last weekend in anticipation of the latest installment of a bitter rivalry, as No. 5 Auburn hosts No. 1 Alabama with a trip to the SEC Championship on the line. As if an intra-state rivalry dating to 1893 wasn't enough, the victor will remain in the national championship discussion. The winner of the Iron Bowl has won the BCS National Championship in the past four seasons. The early-season concerns about the Crimson Tide’s defence have proven unfounded, as Alabama ranks third in the nation in total defense (263.9 yards per game) and leads the nation at 9.3 points allowed per contest. The offence is often downplayed, but quarterback A.J. McCarron is enjoying another outstanding season, completing 68.6 per cent of his passes for 2399 yards with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. Leading rusher T.J. Yeldon (1022 yards, 12 TDs) sat out last week’s 49-0 win over Tennessee-Chattanooga with a toe injury but is expected to play.

Both teams are enjoying charmed seasons – Alabama has claimed nine of its 11 games by 21 points or more, and Auburn has won seven straight since a 35-21 loss at LSU. They'll have to be at their very best to knock off the Crimson Tide, who have won the last two meetings 42-14 and 49-0 and did not allow an offensive touchdown in either game. The Tigers boast the top ground game in the SEC with Tre Mason (1153 yards, 17 TDs) and quarterback Nick Marshall (823 yards, nine TDs) leading the way, but they know they'll need to be more balanced against a tough Alabama defence. Auburn can't afford a slow start that would force it to the passing game, so the sometimes-suspect defense must slow down the Crimson Tide early. If the Tigers are going to pull off the upset, they might need a big play on special teams from returner Chris Davis, who leads the nation in punt return average at 22.5 yards including an 85-yard touchdown at Tennessee. Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its past five road games versus a team with a winning home record.

Confirmed bets

Alabama @ Auburn -56 (one unit @ $1.95) LOSE (28-34) 
Minnesota +17 @ Michigan State (one unit @ $1.95) WIN (17-28) 
Rutgers @ Connecticut -48.5 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (17-28)
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +12.5 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (16-6)
Notre Dame @ Stanford +49 (one unit @ $1.94) LOSE (20-27)
Arizona @ Arizona State +60.5 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (21-58)
Ohio State -15.5 @ Michigan (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (42-41)
Baylor @ TCU +64.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (41-38)
Duke +6 @ North Carolina (one unit @ $1.90) WIN (27-25)
Texas A&M @ Missouri +66 (one unit @ $1.88) LOSE (21-28)
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +56 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (17-48)
New Mexico +37 @ Boise State (one unit @ $1.86) WIN (17-45)
UCLA @ USC +51.5 (one unit @ $1.85) LOSE (35-14)
Clemson +3.5 @ South Carolina (one unit @ $1.81) LOSE (17-31)


Leans

Rutgers @ Connecticut +2.5 $2.07 WIN (17-28)
Florida State -27 $1.98 @ Florida WIN (37-7)
Kansas State @ Kansas +51.5 $1.94 LOSE (31-10)
Minnesota @ Michigan State -41 $1.96 WIN (3-14)
Wake Forest @ Vanderbilt -14 $1.95 LOSE (21-23)
Air Force @ Colorado State -15.5 $1.82 WIN (13-58)
Maryland @ North Carolina State +3 $1.96 LOSE (41-21)
Colorado @ Utah +56 $1.94 LOSE (17-24)
Tulane +10.5 $1.95 @ Rice WIN (13-17)
Brigham Young -15.5 $1.94 @ Nevada LOSE (28-23)
Baylor @ TCU +13 $2.08 WIN (41-38)
Alabama @ Auburn +10.5 $1.94 WIN (28-34)
Georgia @ Georgia Tech +3 $1.95 LOSE (41-34)
Penn State @ Wisconsin +49.5 $1.94 WIN (31-24)
Northwestern @ Illinois +59.5 $1.94 WIN (37-34)
Louisiana Tech @ UTSA -52.5 $1.94 WIN (10-30)
UTEP +24 @ Middle Tennessee $1.87 LOSE (17-38)
Notre Dame +14.5 $2.00 @ Stanford WIN (20-27)
Texas A&M +5 $1.97 @ Missouri LOSE (21-28)
UCLA +3.5 $2.01 @ USC WIN (35-14)
San Diego State @ UNLV +55 $1.94 WIN (19-45)


EPL for December 1


Everton (5-6-1) v Stoke City (3-4-5), Goodison Park, Liverpool, England, Sunday, December 1, 2am


It might be a bit too much to ask for a repeat of last week’s pulsating 3-3 draw that Everton played out in one of the more memorable editions of the Merseyside derby. However, the momentum gathered in that cracking effort against Liverpool will serve the Toffees well against an anaemic Stoke City here. One of Everton’s standouts last week was Romelu Lukaku (pictured) – his two goals against Liverpool mean that he’s currently in possession of the best minutes-per-goal ratio (118) of any player with at least 20 Premier League goals – better than the likes of Thierry Henry, Ruud van Nistelrooy and Alan Shearer. Remember, he’s a loan player from Chelsea! Everton have only lost one Premier League game this season, fewer than anyone other side, and have only had more points at this stage once before. For all that, Roberto Martinez would like to see more wins and fewer draws.  With games away to Manchester United and Arsenal to start December, winning this would seem to be all the more important.

A Stoke win this time would seem the most unlikely outcome. They’ve only made victorious trips home from Everton twice in 22 visits since 1966, and have gathered only four points from six away games this season. The additional blow of losing central defender Robert Huth to injury is particularly telling given the threat of Lukaku. It could mean more responsibility on the shoulders of Ryan Shawcross – in last December’s 1-1 draw he scored an own goal, set up the Stoke equaliser and received a head-butt from Marouane Fellaini! The last seven meetings between these sides have produced just nine goals. The Potters have won two of 10 Premier League games against the Toffees. Stoke won 1-0 at Goodison Park on December 4, 2011, but that is their only victory there in the last 32 years. The Potters have scored eight times in their last four league games, having netted just four times in their opening eight matches. But 11 of the 14 Premier League goals they have conceded this season have come in away matches.


Confirmed bets


Everton WIN v Stoke City (two units @ $1.62) WIN (4-0)
West Ham v Fulham -2.5 (one unit @ $1.70) LOSE (3-0)
Newcastle United v West Brom BTS (one unit @ $1.65) WIN (2-1)

Leans


Aston Villa WIN $2.00 v Sunderland LOSE (0-0)
Cardiff City v Arsenal WIN $1.62 WIN (0-3)
Everton (to nil) v Stoke City $2.35 WIN (4-0)
Norwich City (win) v Crystal Palace $2.00 WIN (1-0)
West Ham v Fulham (draw/WH) $4.50 WIN (0-0/3-0)
Newcastle United v West Brom (double chance) $1.73 LOSE (2-1)


• Prices with thanks to Centrebet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.

Friday 29 November 2013

Daily tips for November 30


Note 1: Bets are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).


Harness racing for November 30

G1 $750,000 SEW Eurodrive Miracle Mile (1609 metres), TABCORP Park Menangle, NSW, Saturday, November 30, 9.30pm


It’s the turn of the harness racing fraternity to occupy the racing spotlight tonight with the running of the $750,000 SEW Eurodrive Miracle Mile at TABCORP Park Menangle at 9.30pm. The race was first held in 1967 as the Craven Filter Miracle Mile and, at that time, it was the richest sprint race ever staged in trotting in the Southern Hemisphere and attracted a crowd of 20,287 to Harold Park. Australasian pacing's premier speed-test has brought together another exceptional field over the “flying mile”, with the track record of 1:48.5 likely to be tested if the rain stays away. In a strong field, there is none stronger than dual Miracle Mile winner, the 11yo Smoken Up (pictured). The Lance Justice-trained and driven champion holds the track record and made his way in to the field with an impressive win in last week's Cordina Sprint, breaking 1:50 for the mile leading all the way from barrier 9. Drawn barrier 1, Justice has promised an aggressive drive to either hold the lead, or if crossed to come off the fence and pour the pressure on.

The main danger will start on the shoulder of Smoken Up. For a Reason (trainer Belinda McCarthy; driver Luke McCarthy) starts from barrier 2 and will be hoping for plenty of speed as he sits just off the pace and tries to run over the top of tiring leaders. After a two-year injury absence the 7yo has returned in very good form with five runs, all over the mile at Menangle, for three wins and two seconds including 1:49.4 and 1:50.0 wins by 20m. There is little doubt that he is in this to his eyeballs. The best outsider is Terror to Love (trainer Graham Court; driver Ricky May), which finished second in last season’s Mile, coming from last at the 400m in a last quarter of 27.7 to fall just short. He was a last start winner of the NZ Cup over 3200 metres! If the pace is torrid he will be coming hard from near the back of the field, having drawn wide in 7, and will be hitting the line hardest.

Confirmed bets

Menangle R3 #10 Amore Stride (E/W 1x2) 1st ($5.90/$2.00)
Menangle R5 Boxed exacta 3-10 LOSE (10-5)
Menangle R8 #1 Smoken Up (E/W) LOSE (U/P)


Racing for November 30


Today’s highlights

Rosehill R6 Listed $100,000 Blackwoods Stanley Dewalt Festival Stakes  (1500m, quality, 3yo+)
Rosehill R7 Listed $100,000 Blackwoods Alemlube Starlight Stakes (1100m, quality, 3yo+)
Caulfield R7 BM96 $100,000 CFV Ambassadors Plate (2000m, handicap)

Horse racing: Caulfield (Vic), Rosehill (NSW), Doomben (Qld), Morphettville (SA), Ascot (WA), Hawkesbury (NSW), Cranbourne (Vic), Gold Coast (Qld), Yarra Glen (Vic), Gunnedah (NSW), Wagga (NSW), Esperance (WA). Harness racing: Leeton (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Menangle (NSW), Globe Derby (SA), Gloucester Park (WA), Melton (Vic). Greyhound racing: Shepparton (Vic), The Meadows (Vic), Richmond (NSW), The Gardens (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Cannington (WA), Wentworth Park (NSW).


It may be the day before the start of summer, but Melbourne is serving up cool and breezy conditions for the eight-race card scheduled at Caulfield today, which will be run on a dead (4) with the rail out nine metres. I’m expecting the track to favour on-pacers, which will suit #4 Gracious Prospect in the CRV Hospital Helping Hand Plate (race 3) over 1400 metres. It looks as if the 3yo colt will take up a prominent position from barrier 6 for Stephen Baster and make its own luck in the eight-horse field. He’s a last start winner at Geelong for his first victory in 14 starts and is priced in our favour at $5 (I have him rated at $3).

Confirmed bets


Caulfield R1 #6 Nordic Empire (E/W) 1st ($5.10/$1.70)
Caulfield R3 #4 Gracious Prospect (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.60)
Caulfield R7 #8 Multilateral (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.70)
Rosehill R5 #10 Specific Choice (win) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill R7 #3 Zaratone (E/W 1x2) 1st ($6.80/$1.90)
Doomben R6 #5 Rudy (win) 1st ($2.60)
Morphettville R6 #3 Detox (win) LOSE (U/P)
Ascot R2 #8 Looking Ahead (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($1.70)
Ascot R5 #1 Testamezzo (win) LOSE (2nd)
Hawkesbury R8 #10 Negociant (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.70)


Leans


Caulfield R2 #2 Girl In Flight (win) 1st ($2.40)
Caulfield R4 #4 The New Boy (win) LOSE (3rd)
Caulfield R5 #2 Lady of Harrods (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Caulfield R8 #13 Murcielaga (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill R3 #2 Kristy Lee (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.50)
Rosehill R4 #1 Maluckyday (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Rosehill R6 #2 Alma’s Fury (E/W) 3rd ($4.50)
Rosehill R6 #11 Ninth Legion (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill R8 #10 Sir Berus (E/W) 3rd ($3.20)


Doomben R3 #2 Sporting Page (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Morphettville R2 #1 Rebel Truce (win) 1st ($2.50)
Morphettville R3 #7 Pressure Down (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Morphettville R5 #9 Misty Eyes (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.50)
Ascot R7 #7 Magnifisio (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.40)
Ascot R8 #12 Bedamijo (E/W) 2nd ($5.50)
Hawkesbury R2 #3 Sweet Talkin Woman (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($1.90)
Hawkesbury R7 #4 Patinage (win) 1st ($2.50)
Cranbourne R2 #7 Kirani (E/W) SCRATCHED
Gold Coast R5 #2 One Grey (win) LOSE (4th)


NBA for November 30


Los Angeles Lakers (8-8, 2-5 away) @ Detroit Pistons (6-9, 4-4 home), The Palace of Auburn Hills, Detroit, MI, Saturday, November 30, 11.40am

There’s nothing like a 20-point loss to a demoralised Chicago line-up to motivate an NBA side, and that’s the spot the Detroit Pistons find themselves as they host the Los Angeles Lakers here. Pau Gasol and the Lakers started their turnaround at the expense of the Pistons earlier this month. They'll now attempt to cap their three-game road swing on a winning note Friday night by completing a sweep of their inter-conference series. With Kobe Bryant sidelined, the Lakers spluttered early in the season, averaging 98.1 points while shooting 42.0 per cent. LA (8-8), though, has scored 105.2 points per game in winning four of five, shooting 47.8 per cent in that span. Gasol has typified that improved efficiency, averaging 18.8 points and making 52.5 per cent of his shots while also averaging 7.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists. The veteran Spaniard provided the inside presence in the Lakers’ 99-94 win at Brooklyn on Wednesday night, scoring 21 points on 9-of-17 shooting. Nick Young delivered a career-high 26 points and teamed with Jordan Farmer to hit nine of Los Angeles' 13 shots from three-point range.


Gasol, who has averaged 17.8 points in 22 career games versus the Pistons, has recorded double-doubles in six straight at Detroit. The Pistons (6-9) know all about offensive inconsistency, failing to get a season-high third straight win Wednesday after they were stifled 99-79 by Chicago. Rodney Stuckey (pictured) scored 25 off the bench, but Detroit had only 26 second-half points and went scoreless over 10 possessions in a game-deciding 7:08 stretch of the fourth quarter. Yet coach Maurice Cheeks opted to focus on his team’s defence at practice on Thursday, and with good reason. The Pistons are last in the league in defending inside the arc (allowing opponents to shoot 51.8 per cent) and can be exploited by a savvy veteran like Gasol. Stuckey has embraced his role as supersub, averaging a team-best 16.6 points, but has stepped up his play of late. He’s scored 20.8 per contest while shooting 56.0 per cent from the field and 84.8 per cent from the foul line over the last six games. The Lakers are going for their second straight season sweep of the Pistons after a 114-99 victory two weeks ago.

Confirmed bets


Miami Heat -6 @ Toronto Raptors (one unit @ $2.00) WIN (90-83)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons -202 (one unit @ $1.95) LOSE (106-102)
Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers -10 (one unit @ $1.94) WIN (73-93)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings +4 (one unit @ $1.95) LOSE (104-98)
New York Knicks @ Denver Nuggets -202 (one unit @ $1.93) WIN (95-97)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Bobcats +182.5 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (76-92)

Leans

San Antonio Spurs @ Orlando Magic +9.5 $1.95 LOSE (109-91)
Dallas Mavericks @ Atlanta Hawks +1 $2.00 WIN (87-88)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics NO LEAN
Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons -5.5 $1.95 LOSE (106-102)
Brooklyn Nets @ Houston Rockets NO LEAN
Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder +203.5 $1.97 WIN (112-113)
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5 $1.91 @ Philadelphia 76ers WIN (121-95)
Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz +2 $1.94 LOSE (112-101)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings -205 $1.95 WIN (104-98)

NHL for November 30

Calgary Flames (8-12-4, 20pts) @ Anaheim Ducks (17-7-3, 37pts), Honda Center (pictured), Anaheim, CA, Saturday, November 30, 8.40am



The Anaheim Ducks are the only NHL team yet to lose at home in regulation and will be aiming for an 18th consecutive home victory over the Calgary Flames here. Anaheim (17-7-3) led 2-1 after two periods on Tuesday at Dallas but gave up three goals in a 53-second span early in the third en route to a 6-3 loss. It was the most goals the Ducks have allowed since a season-opening 6-1 defeat at Colorado. Returning home to face Calgary (8-12-4) should be just the tonic for the Ducks. Besides the Flames having the Western Conference's second-worst record, Anaheim is 9-0-1 at the Honda Center, led by Ryan Getzlaf’s nine goals and seven assists. The Ducks are averaging 3.90 goals there even after a 1-0 win over Tampa Bay last Friday in their most recent home game. That nearly perfect record in Anaheim includes a 3-2 victory over Calgary on October 16, their 17th straight home win over the Flames since a 5-1 loss January 19, 2004. Ducks coach Bruce Boudreau, however, will make sure his team remembers nine of the last 10 meetings in Anaheim were decided by one goal – two in overtime and three in a shootout.

Getzlaf has registered a point in 12 straight home games against the Flames. He enters this match-up on a seven-game point streak. The Ducks have killed all 13 of their opponents’ power plays over the past three contests and 31 of 35 in Anaheim this season. Calgary went 0 for 4 there last month and is converting 12.7 per cent (10 for 79) while averaging 2.0 goals during the 17-game road slide to the Ducks. The Flames appeared to be in good shape to post a second straight win on Wednesday, holding a 2-0 third-period lead versus Chicago. However, the Blackhawks capped a three-goal rally with 18 seconds left to hand the Flames a 3-2 home loss. Calgary’s Lee Stempniak has been held without a point in three straight games but has four goals and four assists in his last eight against the Ducks. The Flames, already missing captain Mark Giordano (ankle), Curtis Glenncross (knee) and Dennis Wideman (hand), will also be missing rookie Sean Monahan due to a fracture in his foot. The 19yo Monahan is second among NHL rookies with 15 points, including nine goals.

Confirmed bets

Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks WIN NT (two units @ $1.77) WIN (2-5)
Detroit Red Wings @ New York Islanders +5.5 (one unit @ $2.10) LOSE (5-0)
Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild -5 (one unit @ $1.96) WIN (3-1)
Montreal Canadiens WIN @ Washington Capitals (one unit @ $1.88) LOSE (2-3)
New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins WIN (one unit @ $1.73) WIN (2-3)

Leans

Winnipeg Jets @ Philadelphia Flyers -5 $2.40 WIN (1-2)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Tampa Bay Lightning WIN $2.25 LOSE (3-0)
Detroit Red Wings WIN $1.96 @ New York Islanders WIN (5-0)
Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks +5.5 $1.91 WIN (2-5)
St Louis Blues @ San Jose Sharks +5.5 $2.05 WIN (3-6)
Colorado Avalanche WIN $2.15 @ Minnesota Wild WIN (3-1)
New Jersey Devils WIN $2.02 @ Carolina Hurricanes WIN (5-2)
Edmonton Oilers WIN $2.15 @ Columbus Blue Jackets LOSE (2-4)
Toronto Maple Leafs WIN $1.80 @ Buffalo Sabres LOSE (2-3)
Chicago Blackhawks WIN $1.77 @ Dallas Stars +5.5 $1.91 LOSE (2-1)

College Football (week 14) for November 30


Pac-12: Oregon State Beavers (6-5, 4-4 Pac-12) @ Oregon Ducks (9-2, 6-2 Pac-12), Autzen Stadium, Eugene OR, Saturday, November 30, 11am


A month ago, Oregon was on a path to the BCS title game, but now the Ducks are simply on a path to redemption. Following a crushing defeat against Stanford on November 7 and last week's stunning blowout at Arizona, Oregon returns home looking to take out some anger against rival Oregon State in the Civil War game. The Ducks appear to be catching the Beavers at the right time as Oregon State has dropped four straight games, including a 69-27 pounding against Washington last week. The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the BCS prior to their loss to the Cardinal and following last week’s defeat, Oregon will sit back and watch as Stanford and Arizona State play for the conference title next weekend. Ducks QB Marcus Mariota (3127 passing yards, 529 rushing yards, 36 total touchdowns) suffered a head injury last week but passed the concussion protocol and expects to play against the Beavers. Still, that could mean a heavier workload for De’Anthony Thomas, who racked up 227 all-purpose yards on 27 touches against Arizona.

The Beavers’ rushing defense could be the key this weekend as they allowed 530 yards on the ground against the Huskies. The Ducks, while led by the Heisman Trophy candidate Mariota, also possess a strong rushing attack that ranks 10th in the country at 277.9 yards per contest. Brandin Cooks is one of the offensive headliners for Oregon State, already possessing the school's single-season record with 110 receptions, just eight shy of the Pac-12 record set last season by Marqise Lee of USC. Of course, behind any record-setting receiver there is a big-time quarterback, and Sean Mannion has been terrific in 2013, completing 66 per cent of his passes for 4089 yards with 34 touchdowns. However, the Oregon State defence has allowed 37.5 points on average during its four-game slide and gave up 692 total yards to the Huskies last weekend. Oregon State has six wins, but the Beavers are not guaranteed a bowl game, as the Pac-12 has seven bowl agreements but nine teams already bowl eligible.

Confirmed bets


Oregon State +22.5 @ Oregon (two units @ $1.91) WIN (35-36)
Fresno State -7 @ San Jose State (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (56-62)
East Carolina @ Marshall +66 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (28-59)
SMU @ Houston -9 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (0-34)
Massachusetts @ Ohio -18.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (23-51)
Toledo -7.5 @ Akron (one unit @ $1.87) LOSE (29-31)
Arkansas +24.5 @ LSU (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (27-31)
Iowa @ Nebraska -2 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (38-17)
Washington State @ Washington -16.5 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (17-27)

Leans

East Carolina @ Marshall -3 $1.91 WIN (28-59)
SMU @ Houston +64 $1.91 LOSE (0-34)
Miami (Ohio) @ Ball State -34 $1.91 WIN (14-55)
Bowling Green -3 $1.95 @ Buffalo WIN (24-7)
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan -18.5 $1.91 WIN (10-42)
Texas State +7 $1.87 @ Troy LOSE (28-42)
Florida Intl +28.5 $1.91 @ Florida Atlantic WIN (6-21)
Miami (Florida) @ Pittsburgh +56 $1.91 WIN (41-31)
Fresno State @ San Jose State +71 $1.91 WIN (56-62)
Oregon State @ Oregon +68.5 $1.91 WIN (35-36)
South Florida @ Central Florida -27 $1.91 LOSE (20-23)


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