Racing for October 7
Flemington R7 G2 $220,000 TAB Edward Manifold Stakes
(1610m, set weights, 3yo fillies)
Flemington R8 G1 $500,000 Turnbull Stakes (2000m,
SWP, 4yos+)
Flemington R9 G2 $220,000 Gilgai Stakes (1200m, SWP,
3yo+)
Randwick R3 G3 $125,000 APN Outdoor Craven Plate
(200m, WFA, 3yo+
Horse racing: Flemington (Vic), Randwick (NSW), Doomben
(Qld), Morphettville (SA), Belmont (WA), Newcastle (NSW), Gold Coast (Qld), Murtoa
(Vic), Gunbower (Vic), Wagga (NSW), Darwin (NT), Sunshine Coast (Qld). Harness
racing: Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Cranbourne (Vic), Globe Derby (SA), Leeton
(NSW), Bunbury (WA). Greyhound racing: The Gardens (NSW), Traralgon (Vic), Richmond
(NSW), The Meadows (Vic), Wentworth Park (NSW), Cannington (WA), Ipswich (Qld).
The Spring Carnival kicks into high gear today with
arguably the biggest day on the national racing calendar with meetings full of
black-type action at Flemington (pictured) and Randwick. The new ‘international’ look of
Australian racing will also be on show in Sydney and Melbourne on today. Horses
formerly trained in the northern hemisphere are now dominating elite fields
here, particularly in staying races. Take for example Saturday’s Group 1
$400,000 The Metropolitan over 2400 metres at Randwick. Of the confirmed 14
runners three come from Ireland, two from Germany, one from Italy, one from
France and one from Great Britain, not to mention several Kiwi-bred
stayers as well. In the Group 1 $500,000 Turnbull Stakes at
Flemington, there are four horses formerly from Ireland, one from France, one
from Great Britain and one from Germany, and again, another five either from,
or bred in New Zealand. The structure of Australian racing, certainly in
our staying ranks, has changed forever, and Saturday’s feature Group 1 staying
races are proof of that.
Other tips (check back
for updates throughout the afternoon)
Flemington R3 #3 Paximadia (win) 1st ($2.80)
Flemington R10 G2 $220,000 Blazer Stakes (1410m, SWP,
4yo+ mares)
Randwick R4 G1 $400,000 Coolmore Flight Stakes
(1600m, set weights, 3yo fillies)
Randwick R5 G2 $175,000 Sydney City Toyota Roman
Consul Stakes (1200m, set weights, 3yos)
Randwick R7 G1 $500,000 The Star Epsom (1600m, 3yo+)
Randwick R8 G2 $200,000 Premiere Stakes (1200m, WFA, 3yo+)
Randwick R9 G1 $400,000 McGrath Estate Agents
Metropolitan (2400m, 3yo+)
This year’s edition of the Turnbull Stakes is the
epitome of perfect programming, whether gauged by course (Flemington,
Melbourne’s best) distance (2000m), calendar (one month before Melbourne Cup)
or allotted weights. It is the Set Weights and Penalties aspect that can be
confusing for punters, as the race is neither a handicap nor WFA. By combining the
runners’ weights with the WFA scale and the Official Handicap Ratings, four
horses jump out of the pack – #6 Fiorente, #7 Puissance De Lune, #11 Fawkner
and #18E Waldpark (looks unlikely to get a start). Of that trio, I like the
look of the Melbourne Cup favourite #7 Puissance De Lune. Glen Boss will take
him forward for the first time this prep and that's when we will see just how
well he is going. He’s won two of three here including the G3 Queen Elizabeth
(2600m) last spring and the G3 Blamey (1600m) in the autumn. The 6yo grey is at
his best when free-rolling on a good gallop he has the strength to surge off
that tempo. His run in the Underwood was impressive off a ridiculously slow
tempo, and I think we'll see the best of him this weekend. #11 Fawkner is
definitely worth an each-way saver.
Suggested bets: Flemington R8 #7 Puissance De Lune E/W
1x2 (two units) 2nd ($1.80), #11 Fawkner (E/W) 3rd ($3.60)
Centrebet is offering money back specials for two of
the biggest races tomorrow! Place a Centrebest or fixed win bet on either the
Epsom Handicap or Turnbull Stakes and if your horse runs second, Centrebet will
give you your money back up to $100!
Flemington R3 #3 Paximadia (win) 1st ($2.80)
Flemington R5 #3 British General (E/W) 2nd ($2.20)
Flemington R6 #3 Moudre (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Flemington R7 #4 Wordplay (E/W 1x2) LOSE (U/P)
Flemington R9 #1 Spirit of Boom (E/W) 2nd ($2.50)
Flemington R10 #9 Peron (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.60)
Flemington R10 #9 Peron (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.60)
Randwick R4 #1 Guelph (win) 1st ($1.35)
Randwick R5 Exacta 1/3,4,5 1/3 ($5.10)
Randwick R6 #4 Rock Hero (E/W 1x3) 1st ($3.40/$1.60)
Randwick R7 #10 Boban (E/W) 1st ($6.30/$2.50)
Randwick R8 #13 Arinosa (E/W 1x2) 1st ($3.30/$1.70)
Randwick R9 #4 Julienas (E/W) 2nd ($2.50)
Doomben R1 #9 Totally Sure (win) LOSE (2nd)
Doomben R3 #5 Anna Lizzie (win) LOSE (4th)
Doomben R6 #2 Londehero (E/W 1x3) 1st ($3.50/$1.50)
Morphettville R3 #12 The Messina Nymph (win) 1st ($3.10)
Morphettville R4 #3 Star Of Zena (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($1.70)
Morphettville R5 #3 Lampedusa (win) 1st ($1.90)
Morphettville R6 #5 Sysmo (E/W 1x2) 3rd (NTD)
Morphettville R8 #3 Eureka Pulse (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Newcastle R6 #8 Sinjoren (win) LOSE (U/P)
MWC: BYU Cougars (2-2) @ Utah State Aggies (3-2, 2-0
MWC), Romney Stadium, Logan, UT, Saturday, October 5, 10am
The Brigham Young Cougars boast one of the most
robust rushing games in the NCAA but they'll face a significant test as they
visit the Utah State Aggies at Romney Stadium (pictured). Utah State is allowing an
average of 17 points per game – good for 23rd in the nation – and has
surrendered fewer than 127 rushing yards per game through its first five
contests. The Aggies will have to deal with a dual threat in the BYU backfield,
with quarterback Taysom Hill fifth in the country at 141.3 rushing yards per
game and running back Jamaal Williams 13th at 126 ypg. There’s always plenty of
feeling in this game as the big money BYU had dominated the series for 17 years
until 2010 when the Aggies snapped the drought. The next two years, the Cougars
hosted the Aggies in Provo. Both games came down to the wire, with one or
two plays meaning the difference between victory and defeat. Both times,
the BYU salvaged a victory, winning by three points.
Other tips
Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-5) @ BC Lions (9-4), BC
Place, Vancouver, BC, Saturday, October 5, 12.05pm
The Saskatchewan Roughriders are in a tailspin after
their franchise-record start to the season, dropping four straight games and
sitting third in the West Division. The Roughriders will have a chance to make
up some ground on a team that passed them when they visit the BC Lions.
Saskatchewan’s offence has looked lost without league-leading running back Kory
Sheets, who was on pace to break the CFL record for rushing yardage in a season
before suffering a knee injury three weeks ago. Saskatchewan has been held to
34 points in two full games without Sheets. Quarterback Darian Durant completed
59-of-98 passes for 665 yards over that span, throwing three touchdowns and
three interceptions, but the Roughriders running game was non-existent,
totaling 54 yards. The defense is hurting as well without linebacker Renauld
Williams, who led the team in tackles and sacks before being placed on the
nine-game injured list. Slotback Chris Getzlaf is on pace for a career year
with 861 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.
The Lions defeated the Roughriders 24-22 in Week 13
as part of a perfect two-game road swing to bring a three-game winning streak
back to BC Place, where they are 6-0 in 2013 and have not lost in 12 regular
season games. BC scored three defensive touchdowns in last week’s victory
against the Blue Bombers, which took the pressure off back-up QB Thomas
DeMarco (pictured). He completed 15-of-21 passes with one touchdown starting in place of
Travis Lulay, who will miss at least two more weeks with a shoulder injury.
Linebacker Adam Bighill was named defensive player of the week after recording
10 tackles, one sack and forcing two fumbles against the Blue Bombers. Bighill
returned one of those fumbles for a touchdown. Cornerbacks Dante Marsh and Cord
Parks also scored touchdowns off turnovers. Lulay has expressed confidence in
DeMarco’s abilities and said he hopes to resume throwing soon. The Lions are
also 4-0 ATS in their last four against fellow Western Conference sides while
the under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in BC.
Suggested bets: BC Lions -3 (three units @ $1.91) LOSE,
game total -52.5 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (31-17)
Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 WIN @ Toronto Argonauts +56.5 LOSE (33-19)
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0) @ Buffalo Sabres (0-1-0), First
Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY, Saturday, October 5, 9.05am
Although their long-time leader is now playing
elsewhere, the Ottawa Senators are poised to sustain the success they’ve achieved
the past two seasons. For the first time since the 1995 season, the Senators
will take the ice without Daniel Alfredsson (pictured) when they visit the rebuilding
Buffalo Sabres. After 17 seasons with the team, Alfredsson put off retirement
and signed a one-year, $USD 5.5 million deal with Detroit. The 40-year-old is
the franchise’s all-time leader in games, goals, assists and points, but he
scored 10 in 47 contests for a team that ranked 27th with 112 goals during
2013. Ottawa recorded 92 points to reach the playoffs in 2011-12 and went
25-17-6 in the lockout-shortened 2013 season, overcoming injuries to Jason
Spezza, 2012 Norris Trophy winner Erik Karlsson and goalie Craig Anderson to
again make the playoffs (upsetting second-seeded Montreal in the first
round).
Suggested bets: Senators WIN (2.5 units @ $1.80) WIN,
game total -5.5 (one unit @ $1.83) WIN (1-0)
Daily tips
Red Wings @ Hurricanes -5.5 $1.83 WIN (3-2)
NCAAF (week 6) for October 5
The last three years have seen a rebirth of Aggie
football, with too many accomplishments and records set to list them all. They
could, however, use a boost with the return to form of Joe Hill. The junior
running back has been battling injuries all season and had just nine carries
for 30 yards in last week's one-sided win over San Jose State. Hill is
considered day-to-day for this game. Back-up Joey DeMartino has fared well in
Hill's absence - carrying 34 times for 297 yards but lacks breakaway speed and
could find things difficult against a formidable Cougars defense. BYU holds a
45-34-3 edge in the all-time series, including a 6-3 victory on October 5 last
year. I’m leaning towards the Aggies to end the two-game winning streak by BYU
as Utah State takes home the Old Wagon Wheel trophy. Just remember the name
Chuckie Keeton, the Utah State QB has been a cash cow for bettors over the past
two years and his duel threat abilities will be too much for BYU defence.
Suggested bets: Utah State -6 (two units @ $1.91) LOSE,
game total -55.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (31-14)
Nevada +6 WIN @ San Diego State +59 WIN (44-44)
CFL (week 15) for October 5
Other tips
NHL for October 5
The Senators moved to upgrade their offence in the
off-season by acquiring Bobby Ryan from Anaheim in a deal that sent talented
young forward Jakob Silfverberg west. Ryan scored at least 31 goals in each of
the four seasons prior to 2013, when he had 11 in 46 games. A healthy Spezza
should also help. The recently named captain matched a career high with 34
goals in 2011-12, but back problems limited him to two and four assists in
eight regular season and playoff games in 2013. Ottawa’s offensive deficiencies
in 2013 were largely offset by its conference-best 2.08 goals-against average.
Anderson went 12-9-2 with a 1.69 GAA despite missing 18 games due to an ankle
injury, while back-up Robin Lehner had a 2.20 GAA in 12 starts. Ottawa won the
first three meetings with the Sabres last season before losing 4-2 at Buffalo
on April 5.
The Sabres look to bounce back from their 2-1 loss at
Detroit on Wednesday. Zemgus Girgensons scored in his NHL debut, but Buffalo
went 0 for 7 on the power play and failed to convert on a pair of two-man
advantages. The Sabres ranked 29th on the power play last season at 14.1 per
cent. The 19-year-old Girgensons was one of three teenagers in the Sabres’
line-up. Buffalo's Thomas Vanek had a team-high 20 goals and 21 assists in 38
games last season, but he's been held to two assists in his last eight games
against the Senators. Karlsson has six goals and four assists in his last nine
versus Buffalo. Sabres forward Ville Leino is out indefinitely due to a broken
rib suffered against the Red Wings. Leino played in eight games last season
because of a hip injury.
Kings @ Jets WIN $1.83 WIN (3-5)
Islanders WIN $1.91 WIN @ Devils -5.5 $1.77 LOSE (4-3)
Flames @ Blue Jackets -1.5 $2.65 WIN (1-3)
Predators @ Avalanche WIN $1.72 WIN (1-3)
MLB playoffs for October 5
ALDS game 1: Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox, Fenway
Park, Boston, MT, Saturday, October 5, 5.05am
ALDS game 1: Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics WIN $2.05 -6.5 $2.10
NLDS game 2 (Dodgers lead 1-0): Los Angeles Dodgers @
Atlanta Braves WIN $1.93 WIN -6.5 $1.91 LOSE (3-4)
• Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at
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