Monday 14 October 2013

Daily tips for October 15





Racing for October 15


Horse racing: Bairnsdale (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Townsville (Qld). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Harvey (WA), Menangle (NSW), Shepparton (Vic). Greyhound racing: Devonport (Tas), Gawler (SA), Gosford (NSW), Goulburn (NSW), Horsham (Vic), Ipswich (Qld), Lismore (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Townsville (Qld), Warragul (Vic).

Daily tips

Grafton R2 #1 Onemore Eightmore (win) LOSE (U/P)
Grafton R4 #4 Great Heart (E/W 1x3) 1st ($4.80/$1.80)
Grafton R5 #2 Shipped On Out (E/W 1x2) LOSE (U/P)
Bairnsdale R1 #7 The Quarterback (E/W 1x3) 1st ($3.50/$1.50)
Bairnsdale R3 #7 Spinderbella (E/W 1x4) 1st ($3.00/$1.30)
Bairnsdale R5 #7 Military (E/W 1x2) LOSE (U/P)
Townsville R2 #7 Jayhawk (win) 1st ($1.30)
Townsville R3 #2 Faint Praise (E/W 1x4) 1st ($2.80/$1.30)


Harness racing tip: Shepparton R3 #2 Braeview Bomber (win)
Greyhound racing tip: Warragul R9 #4 Dyna Werribee (win)


NHL for October 15


Minnesota Wild (2-1-2) @ Buffalo Sabres (0-5-1), First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY, Tuesday, October 15, 10.40am


After playing parts of nine seasons with the Sabres to start his career, Minnesota Wild forward Jason Pominville (pictured) will be returning to First Niagara Center as a visiting player for the first time to face a Buffalo team still searching for its first win of 2013-14. For the first 578 games of his NHL career, Pominville wore a Sabres sweater; he scored 185 goals and 271 assists. That all changed late last season, when Pominville was sent to Minnesota to accelerate Buffalo’s rebuild, and after signing a five-year $28-million contract extension this summer, he'll be calling Minnesota home for a while. This will be his first game back in Buffalo as a visiting player. Beyond Pominville’s return, the game is a pivotal one for the Wild. Minnesota is starting a four-game road trip, and after dropping three straight to start the season the Wild have rebounded to win two in a row.

The trade of Pominville was a strong indication that the Sabres were in rebuilding mode for the 2013-14 season, but even with lowered expectations in the standings, Buffalo is off to a slow start. The Sabres are winless in six games and have only one point (an overtime loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning on October 8). They are alone in the Eastern Conference basement. Things won’t get easier for Buffalo any time soon. After hosting Minnesota, the Sabres visit the New York Islanders tomorrow before returning to First Niagara Center to host the Vancouver Canucks, Colorado Avalanche and Boston Bruins. Despite Buffalo’s struggles, Cody Hodgson and Thomas Vanek have each had solid starts to the season with five and four points, respectively, in six games. Nikita Zadorov (hand) is questionable for Buffalo, while the Sabres will be without Ville Leino (rib) and Henrik Tallinder (upper body).

Suggested bets: Game total +5 (two units @ $1.83) LOSE, Minnesota -1.5 (one unit @ $3.20) LOSE (2-1)

Other tips

Red Wings WIN $2.56 WIN @ Bruins 1P +1.5 $2.26 WIN (1-1) +5 $1.95 PUSH (3-2)
Oilers @ Capitals 1P +1.5 $1.83 WIN (1-1) +5.5 $1.70 WIN (2-4)



NFL (week 6) for October 15


Indianapolis Colts (4-1, 2-0 away) @ San Diego Chargers (2-3, 1-1 home), Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA, Tuesday, October 15, 11.40am


Andrew Luck has had his way with West Coast teams this season and he hopes to continue that trend when the Indianapolis Colts visit the San Diego Chargers for Monday Night Football. The Colts have surged to the top of the AFC South on the heels of a three-game winning streak, which includes victories over NFC powers San Francisco and Seattle. Luck added to his growing reputation last week with his ninth comeback win in the fourth quarter or overtime in 21 career games. Indianapolis absorbed another blow when running back Ahmad Bradshaw was placed on injured reserve, making the acquisition of Trent Richardson from Cleveland that much more noteworthy. The Colts rank fourth in rushing at 142 yards per game, but Richardson has yet to make the expected impact with 151 yards on 51 carries in his three games with Indy. Luck's numbers are hardly off the charts (he averages under 230 yards per game) but he has an emerging target to go along with Reggie Wayne in second-year wideout T.Y. Hilton, who had a career-high 140 yards and two touchdowns last week.


San Diego changed head coaches in the off-season, but the inconsistency that has been a hallmark of the franchise for the past decade continues to permeate the team. One week after ripping off 20 unanswered points to knock off the Dallas Cowboys, the Chargers fell into an early 17-point hole in a turnover-riddled defeat at Oakland. QB Philip Rivers (pictured) has appeared to regain his mojo after a two consecutive turnover-laden campaigns, but his third 400-yard game of the season was negated by three interceptions in the loss to Oakland. An already-suspect running game absorbed another blow when oft-injured Ryan Mathews suffered a concussion last week, putting the onus on Danny Woodhead and Ronnie Brown to carry the ground attack. The Chargers have lost both starting receivers Danario Alexander and Malcom Floyd to season-ending injuries, but Vincent Brown and rookie Keenan Allen each went over 100 yards last week. Colts coach Chuck Pagano will be facing his younger brother in Chargers defensive coordinator John Pagano. The ‘under’ is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.


Suggested bets: Game total -49.5 (3.5 units @ $1.91) WIN, San Diego +2 (1.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (9-19)


CFL (week 16) for October 15

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-12) @ Montreal Alouettes 6-8), Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC, Tuesday, October 15, 4.10am


The Montreal Alouettes are making the most of their playoff push with victories in each of their last two games. The Alouettes will clinch the final playoff spot with a win over the struggling Winnipeg Blue Bombers here. Montreal's offence came alive last week as it scored a season-high 47 points on the strength of four touchdown passes by quarterback Josh Neiswander (pictured), who is likely to start again against Winnipeg. Montreal QB Anthony Calvillo said he will be healthy in time for the final game of the regular season. Montreal has struggled to find an identity on offense without the veteran pivot, who has not played since Week 8. Montreal’s defense, led by linebackers Chip Cox and Kyries Hebert, leads the league in interceptions with 22 and allows a league-low 82.6 rushing yards per game. The Alouettes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

The Blue Bombers have turned their attention to next season. Winnipeg, mired in a four-game losing skid, has scored 279 points (61 fewer than any other team) and faith in quarterback Max Hall (81-for-139 for 974 yards, four touchdowns, eight interceptions) is quickly diminishing. Running back Will Ford has emerged as a bright spot in the Blue Bombers attack after running for a career-high 156 yards last week, but without a quarterback, Winnipeg will be in tough to win a third game before the regular season ends. Winnipeg traded star defensive end and league sacks leader Alex Hall to the Saskatchewan Roughriders for non-import offensive lineman Patrick Neufeld and a draft pick. The move weakens the Blue Bombers already porous defense, which has allowed a league-worst 459 points. Linebacker Henoc Muamba is tied for second in the league with 86 tackles.

Suggested bets: Montreal -10.5 (1.5 units @ $1.87) LOSE, game total +51 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (34-27)

Other tips

Toronto Argonauts WIN LOSE @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats -56.5 WIN (18-24)

MLB playoffs for October 15


NLCS game 3 (Cardinals lead 2-0): St Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers, Dodgers Stadium, Los Angeles, CA, Tuesday, October 15, 11.10am

The St Louis Cardinals withstood a Cy Young Award-winning 1-2 punch and can take a commanding lead when the NLCS shifts to Los Angeles for Game 3 against the Dodgers. The Cardinals held serve at home behind young right-handers Joe Kelly and Michael Wacha and now have ace Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (19-9, 2.94 ERA) lined-up for the first of three straight games – if necessary – in LA. Wainwright tied for the NL lead in wins and owns a 4-0 career post-season mark. The Dodgers received a pair of gems from their top two pitchers, Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw, yet came away empty when they scored only two runs in Games 1 and 2. The last team to rebound from an 0-2 deficit in the NLCS was the 1985 Cardinals, who accomplished it against, yep, the Dodgers.


Los Angeles will send out rookie Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (pictured, 14-8, 3.00) out while hoping for good news on the medical front for shortstop Hanley Ramirez, who sat out Game 2 due to bruised ribs. LA is scoreless in the last 19 innings and needs the bat of Ramirez, who batted .500 with one homer and six RBIs and an NLDS record-tying six extra-base hits versus Atlanta. Ryu became the first Korean-born player to start a post-season game, but he lasted only three innings and allowed four runs on six hits against Atlanta in the NLDS. Ryu lost three of four starts in September, although he allowed a total of eight runs and received only five runs of support. He was outstanding in beating the Cardinals on August 8, allowing one run on five hits and striking out seven in seven innings.

Wainwright continued to cement his legacy as the ultimate big-game pitcher by beating Pittsburgh twice in the NLDS, including a complete-game effort in a winner-take-all Game 5. He allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the series opener versus Pittsburgh and is 6-0 over his last seven starts. Wainwright gave up three runs and seven hits at home to a loss to the Dodgers on August 5 to fall to 4-4 with a 3.10 record in 13 appearances (10 starts) against them. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in Wainwright's last five road starts against the Dodgers while the Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games following a win. St Louis has a team batting average of .134 in the NLCS, the lowest in major-league history for any team that won the first two games of a post-season series.

Suggested bets: Game total -6.5 (three units @ $1.83) WIN, Los Angeles WIN (one unit @ $2.02) WIN (0-3)

Note: All times quoted on the Last at Cannington blog are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT)

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