Monday 30 September 2013

Daily tips for October 1




Racing for October 1

Horse racing: Kilmore (Vic), Goulburn (NSW), Townsville (Qld), Tamworth (NSW). Harness racing: Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Echuca (Vic), Gloucester Park (WA). Greyhound racing: Devonport (Tas), Gawler (SA), Goulburn (NSW), Traralgon (Vic), Ipswich (Qld), Lismore (NSW), Warragul (Vic), Gosford (NSW), Townsville (Qld), Mandurah (WA).

Daily tips

Kilmore R2 #6 Lady Rapunzel (E/W 1x3) 1st ($3.70/$1.50)
Kilmore R5 #7 I Mattah (E/W 1x2) 3rd ($1.90)
Kilmore R6 #3 Get Pronto (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.50)
Tamworth R2 #6 Goodbye Kevin (E/W) 1st ($12.60/$3.40)
Tamworth R5 #8 Rollicking (win) LOSE (U/P)
Tamworth R7 #1 Ladyinxs (E/W 1x2) 1st $3.70/$1.70
Goulburn R2 #1 She’s Saintly ABANDONED
Goulburn R5 #6 La Charge ABANDONED
Goulburn R7 #3 She’s Trendy ABANDONED
Townsville R2 #5 Little Ducati (win) 1st ($2.10)

Harness racing tip: Echuca R4 #1 Attack On Command (win)
Greyhound racing tip: Gosford R7 #2 Speed Queen (win)


MLB for October 1


AL wild card playoff: Tampa Bay Rays (91-71, 40-41 away) @ Texas Rangers (91-71, 46-35 home), Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, TX, Monday, October 1, 10.05am


Just when we thought the MLB regular season had come to an end … this is a must-win scenario for the Tampa Bay Rays and host Texas Rangers if they wish to advance to a second must-win situation. The two teams tied for the second American League wild-card spot and will break the tie for the right to meet the Cleveland Indians in Wednesday’s one-game round. Texas has won seven straight games and Tampa Bay has won eight of its last 10 contests. The 22-year-old Rangers rookie Martin Perez (pictured, 10-5, 3.55) won seven of his last nine decisions as one of Texas’ most-reliable starters over the second half of the season. He didn’t face the Rays this season and his lone career outing against them was a five-inning stint last season in which he gave up two runs and seven hits. Perez has allowed three or fewer runs in nine of his last 11 starts.

Rays ace David Price (9-8, 3.39 ERA) starts for the visitors while Texas announced that power-hitting outfielder Nelson Cruz will be activated for this game. Cruz’s 50-game suspension for performance-enhancing drugs ended Sunday and he has fared well against Price, going 6-for-12 with two homers against the left-hander. Price didn’t face the Rangers this season but has traditionally struggled against them, going 1-4 with a 5.98 ERA in eight career outings. After being sensational in July and August, Price was 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA in five September starts. He has pitched at least seven innings in four of his last six turns. I’m siding with the Rangers here – the Blue Jays had a tough time in Toronto and their confidence looked shot. At a pick’em price and playing on home field, I’m expecting a Texas win by a score of 4-2 to earn a shot at the Indians.


Suggested bets: Texas WIN (3.5 units @ $1.94) LOSE, game total -7.5 (1.5 units @ $1.87) WIN (5-2)


NFL (week 4) for October 1

Miami Dolphins (3-0, 2-0 away) @ New Orleans Saints (3-0, 2-0 home), Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA, Monday, October 1, 10.40am


Ryan Tannehill of the Miami Dolphins is used to flying under the radar as part of the much-hyped NFL quarterback class of 2012. That will certainly be the case for the second-year signal caller on Monday night when he brings his unbeaten team into New Orleans for a prime-time showdown with Drew Brees (pictured) and the undefeated Saints. Miami is seeking its first 4-0 start since 1995 and will try to knock off an NFC South power for the second straight week. Miami opened some eyes by winning at Indianapolis in Week 2 and made a loud statement last week by erasing a 10-point second-half deficit to knock off Atlanta, which is expected to battle the Saints for the NFC South title. Tannehill threw the winning TD with 38 seconds left and is completing 66.4 per cent of his passes despite getting sacked a league-high 14 times. The Dolphins are still searching for consistency from high-priced free-agent wideout Mike Wallace and running back Lamar Miller, but the defence ranks eighth in the league with an average of 17.7 points allowed.

The return of head coach Sean Payton from a one-year suspension due to the Bountygate scandal has the Saints back on track after a 0-4 start torpedoed their 2012 season. Brees has surpassed 300 yards in each of the first three games, but the biggest change for New Orleans has come on the other side of the ball. The Saints allowed an NFL-worst 440.1 yards per game and ranked 31st in points allowed (28.4) last season, but they are yielding only 12.7 points so far. Brees has thrown for more than 1,000 yards and had three touchdown passes in last week's 31-7 rout of Arizona, but he has also been picked off four times. Part of that is due to a punchless running game that is producing only 85.7 yards, but tight end Jimmy Graham has four TD catches and is coming off back-to-back monster games after battling an ankle injury through much of last season. The Saints' best move of the off-season was bringing in defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, who implemented a 3-4 scheme that has New Orleans yielding 295.7 yard per game – fourth in the league.

Suggested bets: Saints TT +28 (three units @ $1.87) WIN, Miami +7 (one unit @ $1.95) LOSE (17-38), Brees +327.5 yards passing (one unit @ $1.87) WIN (413 yards)

EPL for October 1


Everton (2-3-0) v Newcastle United (2-1-2), Goodison Park, Liverpool, UK, Monday, October 1, 5am

If Newcastle United is to end the last remaining unbeaten record in the Premier League then Alan Pardew’s side will have to become the first to score at Goodison Park since March in the top flight. Everton hasn’t conceded a league goal at home since Robson Kanu scored for Reading. Seven hours and six minutes have since elapsed, with West Ham, Fulham, QPR, Manchester City, Stoke City, West Brom and Chelsea all drawing blanks.  In fact, only Wigan under Roberto Martinez has won at Goodison Park in 2013, and that was in the FA Cup. Newcastle’s record in the top flight isn't great at Goodison Park; they’ve won just one of their last 10 league trips but last season played out an entertaining 2-2 draw. Demba Ba got both the goals on that Monday night 12 months ago but now the focus is on another Senegal striker, Papiss Cisse. He ended his 11-match goal drought on Wednesday at St James’ Park to help Newcastle into the last 16 of the Capital One Cup.


The priority for Newcastle owner Mike Ashley is a top-10 league finish but Everton have their sights set higher. Everton is undefeated at home in the league this calendar year, a run of 11 matches. If they extend their unbeaten run it will be the first time they have started a season without defeat in seven matches since 2006. Everton went on to finish in sixth position that season. The Toffees have averaged the most possession in the Premier League this season (59.4 per cent). Leighton Baines has scored an unsurpassed six direct free-kicks in the EPL since the start of 2008-09. Baines has scored 21 Premier League goals since his top-flight debut in 2005 – John Terry (22) is the only defender to score more in that time. If declared fit, Gareth Barry (pictured) could become the 10th player to make 500 Premier League appearances here while Romelu Lukaku has scored four goals in his last four Premier League appearances.

Suggested bets: Everton WIN (three units @ $1.61) WIN, correct score 2-1 (one unit @ $6.25) LOSE (3-2)

• Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.

Sunday 29 September 2013

Daily tips for September 30




Racing for September 30


Horse racing: Stawell (Vic), Cessnock (NSW), Leeton (NSW), Northam (WA). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Globe Derby (SA), Pinjarra (WA), Tamworth (NSW), Yarra Valley (Vic). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Bathurst (NSW), Geelong (Vic), Launceston (Tas), Northam (WA), Nowra (NSW), Shepparton (Vic), Warragul (Vic), Wentworth Park (NSW).

Here’s one from left field – the New York State Gaming Commission (NYSCG) are investigating allegations a jockey used a battery on a horse in the closing stages of the Grade I Travers Stakes at Saratoga in August. The D.Wayne Lukas-trained Will Take Charge lifted late to beat Moreno narrowly in the $USD 1 million event but the trainer of the runner-up Eric Guillot claimed the winning rider Luis Saez used an electronic device on his mount. Guillot alleged Sarez shocked his mount before Will Take Charge made up a length in the last few strides to get up by a nose. The trainer said Saez used a device on Will Take Charge before tucking it underneath his saddle pad.

The NYSGC began an inquiry into Guillot’s complaint but has not concluded the probe, despite the pair meeting again in the Pennsylvania Derby on September 21 in which Will Take Charge again prevailed. The NYSGC enlisted the services of the New York Police Department to assist in the analysis of footage available but has not reached a decision in the case. Both Lukas and Saez denied any wrongdoing at the time of the alleged incident. US media hoped the investigation would end before November’s Breeders’ Cup meeting in Santa Anita. Will Take Charge and Moreno are expected to clash again in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Batteries not included.

Daily tips

Stawell R1 #1 Trust In A Gust (win) 1st ($1.60)
Stawell R4 #5 Twin Spires (E/W 1x3) 1st ($3.50/$1.60)
Stawell R8 #3 Freshwater Storm (E/W) 1st ($8.50/$2.70)
Cessnock R3 #3 Rich Megastar (win) LOSE (2nd)
Cessnock R6 #2 La Disco (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)
Cessnock R7 #5 Casino Queen (E/W)
Leeton R2 #6 Impella (E/W 1x2) 1st ($3.90/$1.40)
Leeton R5 #1 Drama Lodge (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.50)
Leeton R6 #2 Mineral Deposit (E/W 1x3) 1st ($4.60/$1.60)


CFL (week 14) for September 30



Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-4) @ Montreal Alouettes (4-8), Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC, Monday, September 30, 3.05am



The Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes are hurting their respective playoff positions with their three-game losing skids. One of those streaks will come to an end here when the Roughriders visit Montreal. Saskatchewan defeated the Alouettes 24-21 at home in Week 8, but have played most of their last two games without league-leading running back Kory Sheets (ankle), who assured Roughriders fans that his return will be soon. Quarterback Darian Durant (pictured, with thanks to cfl.ca) fumbled the ball twice against the BC Lions last week, and those turnovers resulted in a crucial 10 points en route to a 24-22 decision. The fumbles overshadowed a 326-yard, two-touchdown passing performance by Durant, but Saskatchewan was limited to 39 rushing yards without Sheets. Defensive end Ricky Foley and linebacker Craig Butler stepped up in the absence of linebacker Renauld Williams, who led the team in tackles (42) and sacks (seven) before being placed on the nine-game injured list. Foley has six sacks, while Butler has tied Williams with 42 tackles and added three sacks and one interception.


Montreal is less fortunate with its injury situation, as running back Brandon Whitaker and quarterback Anthony Calvillo will remain out for the duration of the regular season while back-up quarterback Tanner Marsh joins them with a thumb injury. The Alouettes did welcome back linebacker Kyries Hebert last week against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, but their offence remains inconsistent under the leadership of young pivot Josh Neiswander and back-up running back Jerome Messam. Neiswander threw for nearly 300 yards in the loss to Hamilton. Linebacker Chip Cox was named defensive player of the week after recording eight tackles, two sacks and one interception against the Tiger-Cats. Cox leads the league with 86 tackles and is the centerpiece of Montreal’s elite linebacker corps. Hebert led the team with seven sacks before he was injured, while linebacker Marc-Olivier Brouillette has five sacks and four fumble recoveries. Quarterback Troy Smith saw his first CFL action last week, scoring a rushing touchdown. The former Heisman Trophy winner will be back-up to Neiswander while he learns the Alouettes’ playbook.


Suggested bets: Saskatchewan -3.5 (1.5 units @ $1.91) LOSE, game total -53.5 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (12-17)


MLB for September 30

AL: Cleveland Indians (91-70, 40-40) @ Minnesota Twins (66-95, 32-48 home), Target Field, Minneapolis, MN, Monday, September 30, 3.10am


Cleveland’s 20 wins this month mark its best total in almost 20 years. With one more, almost unbelievably, the Indians will host the wild-card game. With at least a share of the AL wild card already assured, the visiting Indians seek a 10th straight win in their regular season finale against the Minnesota Twins. If Cleveland (91-70) loses and Tampa Bay and Texas both win Sunday, the ensuing three-way tie would result in a one-game playoff between Tampa Bay and Cleveland at Progressive Field on Monday. The winner would get one wild card with the loser playing a win-or-go-home contest at Texas on Tuesday. A win here, though, means the Indians host the wild-card game on Wednesday. Five of Cleveland’s 20 wins in September – the franchise’s most in a month since August 1995 – have come with Ubaldo Jimenez (12-9, 3.38 ERA, pictured) on the mound. Boasting a 1.76 ERA since July 28, the right-hander has been even better in September, going 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA in five starts. He couldn't pick up the win on Wednesday, despite holding the Chicago White Sox to two runs in 6 1/3 innings of Cleveland's 5-4 comeback victory.

He struck out seven, and is averaging 11.14 strikeouts per nine innings over his last eight starts. Jimenez has generally fared well against the Twins, posting a 3.21 ERA in five starts. He held them to two runs in six innings of a 5-1 loss on August 23. The Twins turn to Scott Diamond (6-12, 5.54), who has allowed at least three runs in four straight starts and 17 of 23 this season. A trip to the minors hardly helped, as he is 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in three starts since his return. Wednesday marked another hiccup for the left-hander, as he allowed four runs in 6 1/3 innings of a 4-2 loss to Detroit. A three-run fifth knocked Diamond out of 7-1 loss to Cleveland on July 21, when he allowed six runs in 4 2/3 innings. His 3.53 strikeouts per nine innings are the lowest of any pitcher with at least 125 innings thrown. He has eight over 41 2/3 innings in his last eight starts. With a loss, Minnesota (66-95) would have at least 96 defeats in three straight years for the first time in franchise history.

Suggested bet: Cleveland WIN (four units @ $1.49) WIN (5-1)

Other tips

IL: Tigers* WIN $1.61 @ Marlins LOSE (0-1)
AL: Rays** WIN $1.65 @ Blue Jays WIN (7-6)
AL: Red Sox* @ Orioles WIN $1.68 WIN (6-7)
AL: Royals WIN $1.95 @ White Sox WIN (4-1)
AL: Yankees @ Astros WIN $2.23 LOSE -8.5 $1.84 WIN (5-1)
AL: Angels @ Rangers** +7.5 $1.88 WIN (2-6)
AL: Athletics* @ Mariners WIN $2.27 LOSE (9-0)
NL: Pirates* WIN $2.17 @ Reds* WIN (4-2)
NL: Brewers WIN $1.93 @ Mets LOSE (2-3)
NL: Phillies @ Braves* WIN $1.40 WIN +7.5 $2.20 WIN (5-12)
NL: Cubs @ Cardinals* WIN $1.65 WIN (0-4)
NL: Padres @ Giants +7.5 $2.10 WIN (6-7)
NL: Rockies @ Dodgers* WIN $1.48 LOSE (2-1)
NL: Nationals @ D'backs -8 $1.77 WIN (2-3)


* = playoff spot, ** = wild card contender

NFL (week 4) for September 30


Cincinnati Bengals (2-1, 0-1 away) @ Cleveland Browns (1-2, 0-1 home), FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH, Monday, September 30, 3am


Coach Marvin Lewis realises he needs to keep his Cincinnati Bengals focused as they prepare to face the Cleveland Browns, who shouldn't be taken lightly after last week. The visiting Bengals hope to avoid a letdown by beating the Browns for the eighth time in 10 meetings when the AFC North rivals meet in Cleveland. Cincinnati (2-1) became the first team in NFL history to lead by 14 points, then trail by 16, before rallying to win 34-30 over Green Bay last week. It was also the first time in 14 years that a team won after allowing its opponent to score 30 consecutive points. The Bengals know they now have to turn the page from the wild victory as they hit the road looking for a 2-0 start in the division. The Browns (1-2) appeared to be looking to next season with the stunning trade of running back Trent Richardson to Indianapolis and the appointment of third-stringer Brian Hoyer (pictured) as their starting quarterback last week. However, emerging star Jordan Cameron caught three TD passes, including the go-ahead grab in the back of the end zone with 51 seconds left, to give the Browns a 31-27 victory at Minnesota on Sunday. It was their first win in six games.

Hoyer overcame three interceptions to throw for a career-best 321 yards, going 30 for 54 with three touchdowns. The effort earned him his second straight start and first at home in place of Brandon Weeden (recovering from a sprained right thumb). Cincinnati, though, would like to clean things up offensively after committing seven giveaways in three games. Andy Dalton threw his third interception of the season Sunday, though he went 20 of 28 for 235 yards with two touchdowns. The Browns intercepted him four times last year, but Dalton completed 71.4 per cent of his attempts for 699 yards and six scores as the teams split the two meetings. A.J. Green has 10 receptions for 87 yards and one score over the past two weeks after finishing with nine for 162 and two touchdowns in the opener. He’s likely to face a difficult match-up in star cornerback Joe Haden, who has played a key role in helping limit Cleveland’s opponents to 300.0 yards per game, sixth in the league. Although the Bengals have won seven of nine meetings, they’ve dropped two of their last three in Cleveland.

Suggested bets: Cleveland +3.5 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN, game total +42.5 (1.5 units @ $1.91) LOSE (6-17)

Other tips

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills +3.5 WIN -44 LOSE (20-23) 
Chicago Bears +3 LOSE @ Detroit Lions -47.5 LOSE (32-40) 
New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 WIN -44 WIN (7-31)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Minnesota Vikings +3 (London) WIN (27-34) 
Arizona Cardinals +1.5 WIN @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +40.5 LOSE (13-10) 
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 LOSE -42.5 WIN (37-3)
Seattle Seahawks -1 WIN @ Houston Texans +41.5 WIN (23-20) 
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans -39.5 LOSE (13-38)
Philadelphia Eagles +11 LOSE @ Denver Broncos +58.5 WIN (20-52)
Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders +3 LOSE -44 WIN (24-14)
Dallas Cowboys @ San Diego Chargers +1 WIN +47 WIN (21-30)
New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons -2


EPL for September 29-30


Sunderland (0-1-4) v Liverpool (3-1-1), Stadium of Light, Sunderland, UK, Monday, September 30, 1am


There’s certainly no shortage of anticipation ahead of this clash. How will managerless Sunderland react after the week’s events? Will there be a new man watching from the stands or from afar? And will a certain Uruguayan be back in the headlines? They are just a few that spring to mind.  Luis Suarez will return to the Premier League for the first time in 162 days, a spell only 13 days short of Paulo Di Canio’s tenure as Sunderland head coach (pictured). The midweek Capital One Cup win was a welcome relief on Wearside, but interim coach Kevin Ball knows Liverpool will provide a far stiffer test than Peterborough did. His players did look as though, straight away, they were playing with more freedom. The former club captain’s style will be totally different to Di Canio's and his instant recall – and the subsequent performance – of Lee Cattermole was a much-needed one after their worst start to a season for seven years. It will be a different mentality to the one seen under the Italian. They’ll need it too, as their next three home games are against Manchester United, Newcastle and Manchester City.

Liverpool have taken 20 points from 27 in Suarez’s absence, but his return will only be a positive in the long run. In the short term, the early-season optimism has been dampened slightly with the home reverse to Southampton and the League Cup exit at Manchester United. Still, the Reds have only been beaten twice in the last 17 league matches. They already have eight more points than they did at this stage last season, and have a world-class talent to welcome back. Suarez has never been too far from the limelight since he arrived in England, and his manager says it’s now ‘payback time’. However, I’m happy to take on Liverpool here. They were appalling against Southampton at home and were lucky to not lose by more than a single goal, then came the defeat at the hands of rivals Manchester United, a game in which they again failed to score. It’s 234 minutes now since they scored a goal. In fact, they’ve not notched since playmaker Philippe Coutinho has been injured, and he’ll be out until at least the end of the month.


Suggested bet: Game total +2.5 (three units @ $1.95) WIN, Sunderland DNB (1.5 units @ $4.10) LOSE, correct score 1-1 (0.5 units @ $6.00) LOSE (1-3)

Other tip

Stoke City WIN $1.96 v Norwich City LOSE (0-1)

• Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.

Saturday 28 September 2013

Daily tips for September 29





Racing for September 29


Today’s highlights

Caulfield R7 G3 $175,000 BECK Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m)
Caulfield R8 G1 $400,000 Clamms Seafood Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m)


Horse racing: Caulfield (Vic), Warwick Farm (NSW), Sunshine Coast (Qld), Gawler (SA), Coleraine (Vic), Port Macquarie (NSW), Devonport (Tas), Toodyay (WA). Harness racing: Eugowra (NSW), Hobart (Tas), Melton (Vic). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Canberra (ACT), Gawler (SA), Healesville (Vic), Sale (Vic), Sandown Park (Vic), Wagga (NSW).

A huge weekend of racing continues with Caulfield taking centre stage for the running of the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes on a dead (4). Entry is free for 2013 AFL Grand Final ticket-holders along with members of both the Hawthorn and Fremantle football clubs on presentation of tickets/membership cards. The feature looks too tough with several realistic chances so I’m heading to race 4, the TMB Printing Handicap over 1700m, for my best of the day. #5 Bass Strait impressed when fifth behind Fiorente in the Group 2 Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley and should be close to peak fitness following two runs back from a spell and drops in class and weight, which looks ideal against this opposition. The David Hayes stable is in good form as is young stable jockey Chad Schofield. I’ll also be having a small saver on #6 Ranked, another imported stayer out of the Lloyd Williams camp.

Suggested bet: Caulfield R4 #5 Bass Strait WIN (two units) 1st ($3.20), #6 Ranked PLACE (one unit) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Caulfield R1 #3 May's Dream (win) 1st ($2.30)
Caulfield R3 #1 Verdant (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Caulfield R6 #6 Chiaramonte (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.70)
Caulfield R7 #6 Éclair Big Bang (E/W) 1st ($12.40/$3.30)
Caulfield R8 #18 Strawberry Boy (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Warwick Farm R1 #1 Lucky Lago (win) 1st ($2.00)
Warwick Farm R3 #1 Gamblestown (E/W) LOSE (NTD)
Warwick Farm R5 #3 Projectile (win) LOSE (U/P)
Warwick Farm R6 #6 Mr Edison (place) 3rd ($3.50)
Warwick Farm R7 #11 Federica (E/W) 1st ($17.80/$4.80)
Port Macquarie R4 #4 Slick Cookie (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Port Macquarie R6 #10 Get On The Grange (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.70)
Sunshine Coast R3 #2 Revitalise (win) LOSE (U/P)
Sunshine Coast R5 #1 Altai Warrior (win) 1st ($3.40)
Gawler R3 #1 Ziggler (win) LOSE (2nd)
Coleraine R7 #4 Orientaped (win) 1st ($3.40)



CFL (week 14) for September 29


Toronto Argonauts (8-4) @ Edmonton Eskimos (3-9), Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB, Sunday, September 29, 11.05am


If results are any indication, the Toronto Argonauts might like to stay on the road forever. The Argonauts will try to win their sixth-straight away game when they finish their trip through western Canada with a visit to the Edmonton Eskimos. Quarterback Zach Collaros (pictured) is leading the East Division’s best offence while Ricky Ray recovers from injury, throwing for more than 1800 yards and 12 touchdowns while rushing for four more. Collaros and slotback Andre Durie both earned player of the week honours after last week’s 33-27 victory over the Calgary Stampeders. Collaros was 25-for-36 passing for 330 yards and four touchdowns to earn offensive player of the week, while Durie was named top Canadian after catching nine passes for 64 yards and one touchdown.

The Eskimos are hoping home-and-home victories over the lowly Winnipeg Blue Bombers will help turn their season around. Quarterback Mike Reilly reached 3000 passing yards after throwing for 418 in last week’s come-from-behind road victory and should enjoy a strong outing against a Toronto secondary that allows a league-high 297.7 passing yards per game. However, Edmonton is 1-5 at Commonwealth Stadium – something that will have to improve if the Eskimos hope to catch the Montreal Alouettes for a crossover playoff berth. Edmonton was finally on the right end of a close game after rallying from a 20-point deficit to defeat Winnipeg 35-27 in overtime, and coach Kavis Reed praised the team’s resiliency. Reilly is finding targets without slotback Cary Koch, who is on the nine-game injured list.


Suggested bets: Toronto WIN (1.5 units @ $1.90) WIN, game total +53 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (34-22)

Other tips

Calgary Stampeders WIN ($1.93) WIN @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats +52 ($1.91) LOSE (35-11)


MLB for September 29

NL: Colorado Rockies (72-88, 27-52) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (92-68, 47-32 home), Dodgers Stadium, Los Angeles, CA, Sunday, September 29, 11.10am


After struggling to score runs, the Los Angeles Dodgers produced their best offensive showing in more than seven weeks in their series opener with the Colorado Rockies. Unfortunately for the Rockies, they’ll have to deal with another one of the NL’s best pitchers in addition to Los Angeles’ revitalised line-up here. Los Angeles (92-68) had tallied 13 runs while splitting its previous six games before an 11-0 win yesterday. It was the club’s third-highest total of the year and its most since a 13-4 win at St Louis on August 7. The Dodgers were 5 for 15 with runners in scoring position, nearly matching their total from the last six games when they went 6 for 44 (.136). Since July 30, Clayton Kershaw’s 1.55 ERA is baseball’s best, closely followed by scheduled starter Zack Greinke’s 1.59 mark. Greinke (15-3, 2.67 ERA, pictured) is 7-0 in that span, allowing two runs or fewer in each outing. He matched a season-low with 72 pitches while throwing five innings of two-hit ball in a 1-0 victory at San Diego on Sunday.

Greinke is 2-0 in three starts versus Colorado this year, though he gave up nine runs over 10 1/3 innings in the first two meetings. He threw a two-hitter with nine strikeouts in a 1-0 final on July 13 at Chavez Ravine. Scheduled Colorado starter Juan Nicasio (8-9, 5.32) might need some help from Helton and the rest of the order as he owns an 0-3 record and 10.18 ERA over his last five starts. He’s surrendered 15 runs in his last two starts, while throwing only five innings. Nicasio had mixed results in two outings against the Dodgers this year, both in Los Angeles. He surrendered three runs over four innings of a 7-3 victory on May 1, then limited them to three hits in seven innings during a 3-0 win on July 12. Hanley Ramirez is 5 for 8 off Nicasio with two doubles. Yasiel Puig may miss Saturday's game after fouling a ball off his leg in the fifth inning Friday and exiting, though X-rays were negative. He's 7 for 40 (.175) over his last 12 games, though three of those hits were home runs.

Suggested bet: Dodgers WIN (three units @ $1.44) LOSE, game total -7 (two units @ $1.88) WIN (1-0)

Other tips

IL: Tigers* WIN $1.50 LOSE @ Marlins -6.5 $2.00 WIN (1-2)
AL: Angels @ Rangers** WIN $1.60 WIN +8.5 $1.86 WIN (4-7)
AL: Indians** WIN $1.48 @ Twins WIN (5-1)
AL: Rays** @ Blue Jays WIN $2.50 WIN (2-7)
AL: Athletics* WIN $1.74 @ Mariners LOSE (5-7)
AL: Royals @ White Sox -7.5 $1.91 LOSE (5-6)
AL: Yankees WIN $1.60 @ Astros WIN (2-1)
NL: Pirates* @ Reds* +7.5 $1.88 WIN (8-3)
NL: Padres @ Giants WIN $1.67 LOSE (9-3)
NL: Brewers WIN $1.87 @ Mets WIN (4-2)
NL: Cubs @ Cardinals* WIN $1.50 WIN (2-6)
NL: Phillies @ Braves* WIN $1.40 LOSE (5-4)
NL: Nationals @ D'backs +9 $1.95 LOSE (2-0)

* = playoff spot, ** = wild card contender

NCAAF (week 5) for September 29


California Golden Bears (1-2, 0-0 away) @ (2) Oregon Ducks (3-0, 2-0 home), Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR, Sunday, September 29, 12.30pm

OK, this might not be the best bet of the day but from a handicapping perspective, it’s one of the most intriguing games of week 5. According to the books, the Cal Golden Bears and Oregon Ducks will score 1.4 points per minute when these Pac-12 rivals collide in Eugene, Oregon. If you’re slow on the maths, the total for this game is at 84 points, which makes it the second-highest over/under line in college football since 1985. The highest ever game total line was posted last year in the week 14 Big 12 battle between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Baylor Bears, which closed at 88 points and was high as 88.5 during that week. Baylor edged OSU 41-34, playing under that massive number. In fact, of the 11 games to boast a total of 80 points or more in the past 28 seasons, five have played over the number and six have stayed under.

The ‘over’ has hit just twice in the 82-point-plus range (of which there were five games). College football bettors have already tangled with an 80-point number this season. Books posted a total of 80 points for last week’s Lone Star State shootout between the SMU Mustangs and Texas A&M Aggies. The Aggies beat the Mustangs 42-13, playing well under the total. The Ducks are averaging 61.3 points per game – second most in the land – while the Golden Bears have posted an average of 33.7 points on opponents and rank second in the FBS with 437 passing yards per outing. Cal’s defense is among the worst in the country, being gashed for 42 points on 559.7 yards per game, but has played a tough opening stretch of schedule featuring Northwestern, Ohio State and FCS offensive power Portland State. Both Cal and Oregon bring a 3-0 O/U record into this contest.



Here’s a look at the 11 games with 80-plus totals since 1985:


80 – SMU 13, Texas A&M 42 (September 20, 2013)
82 – UCLA 26, Baylor 49 (December 27, 2012)
88 – Oklahoma State 34, Baylor 41 (December 1, 2012)
80 – Baylor 52, Texas Tech 45 (November 14, 2012)
82.5 – Baylor 63, West Virginia 70 (September 29, 2012)
80 – Washington 56, Baylor 67 (December 29, 2011)
82 – Texas Tech 42, Baylor 66 (November 26, 2011)
83 – Baylor 59, Oklahoma State 24 (October 29, 2011) 
80.5 – Tulsa 30, Houston 70 (November 15, 2008)
80.5 – New Mexico State 13, Hawaii 50 (October 27, 2007)
80 – Colorado 21, Texas Tech 26 (November 1, 2003)


The game has been an obsession of sharps this week. Oregon (3-0) put together a 184-27 scoring advantage while facing little adversity in FCS school Nicholls, Virginia and Tennessee. Only Baylor, which has faced even less-formidable competition than the Ducks through its first three games, has averaged more than Oregon's 61.3 points and 672.0 total yards. The Ducks trail only Navy in the FBS with 355.3 rushing yards per contest. Sophomore quarterback Marcus Mariota (pictured) has recorded 1,151 total yards while throwing seven TDs with no interceptions and rushing for four scores. He passed for a career-high 456 yards and four TDs in the 59-14 win over the Volunteers on September 14. Oregon has outscored Cal 159-48 during a four-game winning streak in the series. Winners in 22 straight home games against unranked opponents, the Ducks have taken two in a row and nine of 10 from the Golden Bears (1-2) at Autzen Stadium. FWIW, I’m leaning under.


Suggested bet: Oregon @ California -84 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (16-55)



Other tips (two units)




UAB @ Vanderbilt -19.5 WIN (24-52)
Iowa @ Minnesota -46.5 WIN (23-7) 
Oklahoma State -18.5 LOSE @ WVU +57 LOSE (21-30) 
Wisconsin @ Ohio State -6.5 WIN -54 LOSE (24-31)
Navy -3 LOSE @ Western Kentucky -58 WIN (7-19)

LSU @ Georgia +61.5 WIN (41-44)

Ole Miss @ Alabama -55.5 WIN (0-25)

Southern Miss @ Boise State +55.5 WIN (7-60)

Army -1.5 WIN @ Louisiana Tech +55.5 LOSE (35-16)

Miami Florida @ Southern Florida -48.5 LOSE (28-25)

Temple @ Idaho -57 WIN (24-26)

Florida @ Kentucky -46 WIN (24-7)

Wake Forest @ Clemson -29 WIN (7-56)

San Diego State @ New Mexico State +54 LOSE (26-16)



Other tips (one unit)



Northern Illinois -3 WIN @ Purdue +58 WIN (55-24)
Connecticut @ Buffalo -1 WIN (12-41)
Kent State @ Western Michigan -51 WIN (32-14)

UTEP +14.5 LOSE @ Colorado State +53 WIN (42-59)

Arizona @ Washington +64 LOSE (13-31)

USC @ Arizona State +50.5 WIN (41-62)

Oklahoma @ Notre Dame +49.5 WIN (35-21)

Colorado +11 @ Oregon State +60 WIN (17-44)

Fresno State @ Hawaii +18.5 WIN -58.5 LOSE (42-37)

Houston @ Texas San Antonio +2.5 LOSE +63.5 WIN (59-28)

UNLV -3 @ New Mexico +54 WIN (56-42)

Troy @ Duke +63 WIN (31-38)

Tulane +14.5 @ UL Monroe WIN (31-14)

Stanford @ Washington State +10 LOSE (55-17)


EPL for September 28-29

Southampton (2-2-1) v Crystal Palace (1-0-4), St Mary’s Stadium, Southampton, UK, Sunday, September 29, midnight

There will be no happier football manager than Ian Holloway, who will be free to prowl the technical area again after serving a two-match touchline ban for criticising referee Mark Clattenburg's handling of Crystal Palace's opening game of the season against Tottenham. Holloway was also fined £18,000 by the FA for “improper conduct and bringing the game into disrepute” but the ban hurt far more. His Palace side face a huge battle to avoid another immediate relegation from the Premier League and having Holloway bobbing in and out of the dug-out is like having a 12th man. The Eagles have lost four of their five league games so far, with their solitary victory coming against Sunderland, the only team beneath them in the table. Crystal Palace have won only one of their last 10 league visits to Southampton (W1, D3, L6) with the Saints winning the past three. Palace have also won just two of their past 15 league fixtures (Championship and Premier League).


If Palace are living up to the pundits’ pre-season pessimism, Southampton are not. Few, if any, expected Saints to be riding so high. Ending Liverpool’s impressive start with victory at Anfield last time out has really made people sit up and take notice of the work being carried out by Mauricio Pochettino (pictured), such a controversial appointment last January. Closer inspection brings greater surprise at how they’ve done it: clean sheets have been key, while many more points have been collected on the road than at home. In fact, Southampton have not won at St Mary’s in the Premier League since March 30. Their three league goals (the joint-lowest total in the top flight) have all come in the second half, with two coming in the last two minutes. Rickie Lambert, who scored twice the last time the clubs met, has scored 199 goals in English league football. He has had nine shots on goal in this season's Premier League, more than any other player. 

Suggested bet: Southampton only team to score (two units @ $2.35) WIN (2-0)

Other tips

Tottenham Hotspur WIN $2.40 v Chelsea FC LOSE (1-1)
Aston Villa v Manchester City (only score) $2.45 LOSE (3-2)
Fulham WIN $2.05 v Cardiff City LOSE (1-2)
Hull City v West Ham United (1-0) $5.75 WIN (1-0)
Manchester Utd v West Bromwich Albion BTS $1.94 WIN (2-3)
Swansea City v Arsenal +2.5 $1.80 WIN (1-2)


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