Racing for
July 6
Horse
racing: Flemington (Vic), Rosehill (NSW), Eagle Farm (Qld), Morphettville (SA),
Belmont (WA), Newcastle (NSW), Gold Coast (Qld), Seymour (Vic), Darwin (NT),
Mackay (Qld), Broome (WA), Toowoomba (Qld). Harness
racing: Wagga (NSW), Mildura (Vic), Melton (Vic), Newcastle (NSW), Gold Coast
(Qld), Globe Derby (SA), Gloucester Park (WA). Greyhound
racing: Richmond (NSW), Wentworth Park (NSW), The Meadows (Vic), Cannington
(WA), Traralgon (Vic), The Gardens (NSW).
It’s
Finals Day at Flemington with the finales to five separate race series,
including the $152,000 TROA Luxbet Winter Championship, the Banjo Paterson
Series, All Victorian Sprint Series, the Slickpix Silver Bowl Series Handicap
and Rivette Series Final. We’ve watched many of today’s main contenders in
recent weeks so have some strong formlines to work with. One in particular that
we’re keen to take on today is the dual Banjo Paterson series winner Cooldini,
with the 3yo gelding up in class and weight today. #11 Outback Joe placed third
and sixth within four lengths of Cooldini in both of those races and moves into
barrier 3 from recent outside jumps. The 5yo gelding is on his home track for
Nigel Blackiston with Michael Walker again taking the ride.
Suggested
bet: Flemington R7 #11 Outback Joe (E/W) 2nd ($2.10)
Other tips
Flemington
R1 #1 Lady Lakshmi (win) LOSE (4th)
Flemington
R2 #3 Spitfire Lady (E/W) 1st ($20.40/$4.50)
Flemington
R3 #2 Upbeat (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)
Flemington
R4 #11 Tooleybuc Kid (E/W) 3rd ($1.70)
Flemington
R5 #3 Riziz (win) 1st ($2.30)
Rosehill
R2 #1 Oompa Loompa (win) 1st ($2.20)
Rosehill
R5 #6 Whateverwhenever (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill
R6 #6 Gliding (place) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill
R7 #9 Whitlam (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Rosehill
R8 #2 Flying Empress (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Eagle R5
#10 Tax Evader (win) LOSE (2nd)
Eagle Farm
R7 #12 Doubtfilly (E/W) 1st ($4.80/$2.10)
Morphettville
R3 #4 You’re Discreet (E/W 1x4) 1st ($4.80/$1.80)
Morphettville
R4 #1 Espirit de Bullet (win) 1st ($2.90)
Morphettville
R6 #1 Caitlin’s Spirit (E/W) 2nd ($1.80)
Morphettville
R8 #1 Air Comet (E/W) SCRATCHED
Belmont R3
#9 Smoko (win) 1st ($1.40)
Seymour R3
#13 Liberty Leader (E/W 1x4) 2nd ($1.40)
Greyhound
racing tip: The Meadows R5 #6 Paw Licking (win) LOSE (2nd)
AFL (R15)
for July 6
GWS Giants
v Footscray (StarTrack Oval, Canberra, Saturday, July 6, 1.45pm AEST)
The
Bulldogs carry all the momentum into this game after kicking nine goals to
three in the final quarter to fall just three points short of victory over
Melbourne. However, goals may be a premium as two of the competition’s bottom
three sides head to a wet and cold Canberra (8°C is the forecast). The return
of Rhys Palmer, Stephen Coniglio and Jeremy Cameron will bolster the Giants in
one of their last realistic chances to break the duck for 2013. The Bulldogs lose
Matthew Boyd to injury but are familiar with this neutral venue (winning five
of seven here), have conceded on average six fewer goals per game and have
shown enough development over the past six weeks to suggest they’ll win well.
Suggested
bet: Footscray -33.5 LOSE, game total -188.5 WIN (83-87)
North Melbourne
v Richmond (Etihad Stadium, Saturday, July 6, 2.10pm AEST)
The books
have duly noted that, while the Tigers are in their best form in a decade, they’ve
had a soft draw in recent weeks. In addition, four of the past five meetings
between Richmond and North Melbourne have been decided by 13 points and less.
At 5-8, North’s finals hopes are barely flickering although victory here would
keep them alive. Tiger ruckman Ivan Maric misses again, which may be telling
against the many tall options at Brad Scott’s disposal. Fresh from a demolition
of the Giants last week, the Roos will be buoyed for this one and if they can
convert their hitouts into a fair share of centre clearances, an upset could be
on the cards.
Suggested
bet: North Melbourne WIN $2.65 (Centrebet promo – Place a bet on the “head to
head” market in any AFL Round 15 match and if your team scores 90 points or
more but loses Centrebet will refund your first bet up to $100) WIN (128-66)
Brisbane
Lions v Gold Coast (Gabba, Saturday, July 6, 4.40pm AEST)
The sixth
edition of the ‘QClash’ is the most anticipated since the AFL’s two
Queensland-based teams first met in 2011. Three of their five past meetings
have been decided by less than two goals, and just two points separated them
back in round three with the Lions emerging victorious. The two sides lie just
one win and one spot on the ladder apart, and both are also coming off
disappointing round 14 performances. Harley Bennell (GC) and Daniel Merrett
(BL) are big inclusions for the respective sides, while hardman Campbell Brown
celebrates his 200th game with the Hawks and now Suns. Gold Coast look better
placed to bounce back after a sorry last quarter against Adelaide and cover the
generous line on offer. Note: Gary Ablett jnr is a late withdrawal for the
Suns, with the line moving 11 points as a result.
Suggested
bet: Gold Coast +22.5
Geelong v
Hawthorn (MCG, Saturday, July 6, 7.40pm AEST)
‘The Curse’
… players hate talking about it, but the media can’t get enough of the fact
that Geelong has won 10 in a row against Hawthorn since the 2008 Grand Final.
Eight of those wins have been by less than 10 points while five have finished
in a margin of less than one goal. The Hawks, undefeated since their round one
loss to Geelong, have recalled Cyril Rioli. He was
ready to go last week but Alistair Clarkson saved his superstar
midfield/forward for this one. The Cats, who methodically tore Fremantle apart
last week, are unchanged for this one. Hawthorn’s form has been solid without
hitting any great heights in recent weeks, but we rate them at least a two-goal
better side and they should win here in another close one.
Suggested
bet: Hawthorn WIN LOSE (82-72)
Adelaide v
West Coast (AAMI Stadium, Saturday, July 6, 7.40pm AEST)
Two sides
with a 6-7 record meet in a Saturday night thriller at West Lakes to keep their
top eight aspirations ticking for another week. West Coast have had an extra
two days’ rest after their narrow loss to Essendon, while the Crows bring some
momentum to the table after their strong finish in defeating the Suns last
week. Josh Hill
returns to inject some much needed pace into the West Coast midfield while
Shaun McKernan is back to help the Crows counter the Eagles’ myriad tall
options. Past fixtures have generally been one-sided between these sides and we
don’t have much interest in the head-to-head market, but all signs points to
this being a tight affair with goals hard to come by at a windy and showery
AAMI Stadium.
Suggested
bet: Game total -178.5 (best of the round) WIN (69-75)
CFL (week
2) for July 6
Calgary
Stampeders (1-0) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0), Mosaic Stadium at Taylor
Field, Regina, SK, Canada, Saturday, July 6, 11am
The
Calgary Stampeders and Saskatchewan Roughriders are ready for the spotlight of
Friday night football, as they meet in a rematch of last year’s Western
Semi-Final at Mosaic Stadium. Calgary defeated the Roughriders 36-30 in the
West Semi-Finals last year en route to an appearance in the 100th Grey Cup in
Toronto. With each team making a statement in respective season-opening wins,
the hype around this marquee match-up continues to build. That particularly holds
true for the Roughriders, who are set to play their home opener in the same
stadium that will host the Grey Cup in November.
The
Calgary Stampeders emerged from Week 1 as the top-ranked team in the CFL
following a dominant showing at home against the BC Lions. Saskatchewan, which
is ranked fourth, is also off to a strong start after controlling its game
against the Edmonton Eskimos from the opening kickoff despite missing recruit Geroy Simon on offence. The Roughriders kept the Eskimos out of their
end zone through three quarters, a defensive showing they would be
happy to duplicate against the high-octane Stampeders offence. We’re keen on
the Stamps here – they are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Regina
while the ‘over’ is 10-1 in the Calgary’s last 11 games dating back
to last season.
Suggested
bet: Calgary WIN (1.5 units @ $2.08) LOSE, game total +55 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (21-36)
MLB for
July 6
Minnesota
Twins (36-46, 15-23 away) @ Toronto Blue Jays (41-44, 23-20 home), Rogers Centre,
Toronto, ON, Canada, Saturday, July 6, 9.10am
Despite
the Toronto Blue Jays’ recent struggles, facing them might not offer the Minnesota
Twins a good opportunity to end their current slide. Looking to end their woes
in Toronto, the Twins hope to avoid a sixth consecutive loss against a Blue
Jays team trying to snap its own three-game skid. The Twins have lost 10 of 13
and are mired in their longest losing streak since dropping 10 in a row from
May 14-24. They’ll play the final 10 before the All-Star break on the road,
where they've averaged 3.0 runs while losing eight of 10. Minnesota has lost 15
of 19 to the Blue Jays (41-44), including seven of eight at Rogers Centre. The
Twins haven’t won any of their eight series in Toronto since 2005.
Blue Jays
starter Mark Buehrle (4-5, 4.81 ERA) has not faced the Twins since 2011, when
he allowed seven runs (one earned) over 30 2/3 innings to go 2-1 in four starts
against them. Buehrle is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four at home, but his
two most recent outings were on the road and he went 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA. He
allowed four runs and seven hits in six innings while not factoring in the
decision of a 5-4 loss at Boston on Sunday. Minnesota starter Kevin Correia
(6-5, 4.08) is looking to bounce back after he allowed five runs in five
innings while not factoring in the decision of a 9-8 loss to Kansas City on
Sunday. The right-hander had a 2.55 ERA in his previous three starts. He’s 1-1
with a 7.36 ERA in two starts against the Blue Jays but hasn't faced them since
2011.
Suggested
bet: Blue Jays WIN (three units @ $1.60) WIN, game total -9 (one unit @ $1.87) WIN (0-4)
Other tips
IL:
Mariners @ Reds WIN $1.53 LOSE (4-2)
AL:
Orioles @ Yankees WIN $2.00 WIN (2-3)
AL: Tigers
@ Indians +8.5 $1.87 LOSE (7-0)
AL: White
Sox @ Rays WIN $1.50 WIN (3-8)
AL:
Athletics WIN $1.83 @ Royals WIN (6-3)
AL: Red
Sox @ Angels +8.5 $1.97 LOSE (6-2)
NL: Padres
@ Nationals WIN $1.67 WIN (5-8)
NL: Braves
@ Phillies WIN $1.60 WIN -7.5 $1.95 LOSE (4-5)
NL: Mets @
Brewers +9 $1.95 WIN (12-5)
NL:
Marlins @ Cardinals -8.5 $1.92 WIN (1-4)
NL:
Dodgers @ Giants -6.5 $2.00 LOSE (10-2)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication – for most people
gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become
a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends.
We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control
of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.
No comments:
Post a Comment