Daily tips for July 19

AFL (R17) for July 19

North Melbourne v Carlton, Etihad Stadium, Friday, July 19, 7.50pm

We should have little confidence investing money on either of these sides who’ve proved to be two of the great money munchers of the 2013 AFL season! Mathematically, both remain in contention for the finals but it will probably take the loss of Essendon’s premiership points to make this a reality. The Roos again snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in the latest case of the mental demons that have afflicted Brad Scott’s side all season.

The Blues were solid against St Kilda, with Lachie Henderson filling the void in attack left by Jarrad Waite, however, skipper Marc Murphy looks doubtful for this. North regain Scott McMahon and Lindsay Thomas. Having won five of eight at Etihad this season (plus narrow losses to Geelong and Adelaide) and played the better football, North look a pretty solid bet to open the round and set the tone for the weekend after our lean round 16!

Suggested bet: Nth Melbourne 1-39 (1.5 units @ $2.40) LOSE, game total +195.5 (2.5 units @ $1.90) WIN (108-109)

Racing for July 19

Horse racing: Geelong (Vic), Ballina (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Canberra (ACT). Harness racing: Gold Coast (Qld), Wagga (NSW), Melton (Vic), Newcastle (NSW), Globe Derby (SA), Gloucester Park (WA). Greyhound racing: Casino (NSW), Mt Gambier (SA), Bendigo (Vic), The Gardens (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Geelong (Vic), Wentworth Park (NSW), Winnellie Park (NT), Mandurah (WA).

Track conditions are good (3) for today’s meeting in the nation’s capital on the Canberra Acton track where our best of the day comes in race 8, the Australian Jockeys Association Benchmark 60 Handicap over 1280 metres. #4 Game of Chance has a terrific chance of improving his record to four wins from eight starts, having won in almost identical circumstances here on July 7. Brendan Ward will carry an extra 2kg while #3 Aupose, which finished runner-up in that race, drops 0.5kg thanks to the claim of David Pisani. However, class looks on the side of Matthew Dale’s 3yo gelding from barrier 6.

Suggested bet: Canberra R8 #4 Game of Chance WIN (two units @ $2.90) ABANDONED

Other tips

Geelong R1 #4 Stay Sharp (win) 1st ($3.20)

Geelong R3 #12 Turquoise King (win) LOSE (2nd)

Geelong R7 #5 Sumac (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Geelong R8 #2 Eye the World (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Canberra R1 #7 Jo Jo Girl (E/W) 2nd ($1.90)
Canberra R3 #2 Flaming Star (E/W) 1st ($4.80/$1.70)

Ballina R5 #6 Dubai Gee Eye (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Ballina R6 #4 Sequalo’s Secret (win) LOSE (U/P)

Ipswich R4 #3 Swett Chili Rose (win) 1st ($3.50)
Ipswich R6 #1 Madam Tracy (win) LOSE (U/P)

Harness racing tip: Melton R2 #6 Washmepockets (win) 1st ($1.50)

Greyhound racing tip: The Gardens R7 #4 Go Home Bro (win) 1st ($2.50)

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