Daily tips for July 14

Racing for July 14

Horse racing: Sportingbet Park Sandown Lakeside (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Sunshine Coast (Qld), Mudgee (NSW), Warracknabeal (Vic), Kalgoorlie (WA). Harness racing: Maryborough (Vic), Parkes (NSW), Launceston (Tas). Greyhound racing: Healesville (Vic), Mt Gambier (SA), Sandown Park (Vic), Sale (Vic), Albion Park (Qld), Canberra (ACT), Strathalbyn (SA).

It’s a wet and wintry Sunday in Melbourne for today’s eight-race card on a heavy (8) at Sportingbet Park Sandown, running on thre Lakeside course. The highlights on the card re the $100,000 Crisp Steeple and the $200,000 Grant National Hurdle, while our best of the day comes up in the last race, the Le Pine Funerals Plate over 1500m for the 0-82 raters. #9 Bachelor Royal is a lightly raced 4yo gelding from the Andrew Payne yard in Ballarat. He’s won three of five including one in heavy going, and was a last start second to Lord Durante at Moonee Valley six weeks ago. Craig Newitt takes the ride from barrier 11.

Suggested bet: Sandown R8 #9 Bachelor Royal WIN (two units @ $2.45) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Sandown R2 #2 Are There Any (E/W) 2nd ($1.80)

Sandown R3 #1 Bashboy (win) 1st ($1.40)

Sandown R4 #3 Wells (win) LOSE (U/P)

Sandown R6 #11 Balzeus (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Grafton R1 #1 Count the Chimes (win) 1st ($2.80)

Grafton R5 #1 Choruses (E/W) 3rd ($1.60)

Mudgee R5 #1 Leaders Road (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Sunshine Coast R7 #3 Torcello (win) 1st ($1.80)

Sunshine Coast R8 #5 Golden Cash (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Harness racing tip: Maryborough R10 #11 Sundon’s Promise (win) 1st ($2.60)

Greyhound racing tip: Healesville R8 #4 Walk Hard (win) SCRATCHED

AFL (R16) for July 14

Sydney v Greater Western Sydney, SCG, Sunday, July 14, 1.10pm

The Swans may be missing at least six of their best XXII but still won’t need much more than third gear to see off the challenge of their crosstown rivals. The Giants had a terrific chance to break their 2013 duck last week only to fall four points short after leading at each break, and can also take some confidence from their round one showing against the Swans. Sam Reid re-joined a Sydney injury list that already comprised Adam Goodes, Lewis Jetta, Rhyce Shaw and Lewis Roberts-Thomson. This is the first meeting between these sides at the SCG and, with fine and cool conditions forecast, this could turn into a free scoring affair. Not much betting interest here, with slight leans to the GWS covering the huge line and game total ‘over’.

Suggested bet: Giants +80.5 LOSE (171-42)

Footscray v Essendon, Etihad Stadium, Sunday, July 14, 3.20pm

Either the bookies know something we don’t, or they’ve wrapped an early Christmas present for us here. Despite stern resistance from Port Adelaide last week, Essendon still managed to prevail by five goals while the Bulldogs fell over the line against GWS in Canberra. It’s also been three years since Footscray has managed to get within eight goals of the Bombers across four meetings. Will Minson may be enjoying a career year in the ruck, but even his dominance in the centre is likely to be negated by the numerous tall options at the disposal of James Hird across the park. Jobe Watson’s loss will be telling but not enough to slow up the Bombers – seems that ASADA looms as Essendon’s biggest challenger ahead of the 2013 finals!

Suggested bet: Essendon -39.5 LOSE (90-121)

West Coast v Fremantle, Patersons Stadium, Sunday, July 14, 4.40pm AEST

There’s more to this game than meets the eye – Freo’s stats have dipped from the peaks they set in the first half of the season and, while they regained Matthew Pavlich and Aaron Sandilands last week, they lose number one defender Luke McPharlin for the 38th edition of the Western Derby. The Eagles are trending the opposite direction. They weathered everything the Crows could throw at them in the wet at AAMI Stadium last Saturday night and have somehow clawed their way back to 7-7 and a shot at making the eight. It’s an intriguing line as only one of the past seven between these sides has been decided by less than 28 points. Freo have been cash cows for us this season, and we hope that continues here when they fail to cover the line in an upset loss to the Eagles.

Suggested bet: West Coast +15.5 LOSE (93-121)

CFL for July 14

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-1) @ Hamilton Tiger Cats (0-2), Alumni Stadium, Guelph, ON, Saturday, July 13, 8.40am

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers’ defence made a statement with 11 sacks in two games against the Montreal Alouettes to start the season. Winnipeg will try to apply the same pressure to quarterback Henry Burris and the host Hamilton Tiger-Cats. The Blue Bombers will be the second team to visit Hamilton at its temporary home – the Tiger-Cats lost to the Edmonton Eskimos in heavy rain in Week 2 and are the only team without a win. Burris, who leads the CFL in passing yards with 595, believes his offence has to get better, but the problem with Hamilton is defence. The Tiger-Cats allowed a league-high 69 points through two games and look especially vulnerable against the run after surrendering 298 total rushing yards. Winnipeg running back Chad Simpson, limited to 90 yards, will look to exploit the same holes Edmonton and the Toronto Argonauts found in Hamilton’s porous secondary. (Preview with thanks to covers.com)

Suggested bets: Blue Bombers +6 (two units @ $1.91) WIN, game total -54.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (20-25)

Other tip: BC Lions @ Edmonton Eskimos -3.5 LOSE, game total -49.5 WIN (17-3)

MLB for July 14

Chicago White Sox (36-53, 17-32 away) @ Philadelphia Phillies (46-47, 24-20 home), Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA, Sunday, July 14, 3.10am

Postponed from yesterday and the first of two games between these sides today, the visiting White Sox will try to continue their hot hitting against a Philadelphia Phillies team in the midst of its most successful month of the season. Chicago (36-53) is second-to-last in baseball with 336 runs, and its 0.301 on-base percentage and 0.384 slugging percentage are also near the bottom. However, the White Sox hope the postponement of this series opener won’t halt any momentum earned after they scored 22 runs while taking two of three from AL Central-leading Detroit. Chicago won 6-3 on Thursday behind Josh Phegley’s grand slam, his third homer in five games since making his big league debut. The White Sox face a serious challenge against Philadelphia, which has won seven of 10.

The Phillies (46-47) are on the verge of being .500 for the first time since they were 31-31 on June 7. Scheduled Phillies Game 1 starter Jonathan Pettibone (5-3, 3.84 ERA) has posted a 2.35 ERA in his last four starts and won the past two, matching a season high with six strikeouts in each. He limited the Braves to one run over 5 1/3 innings of a 7-3 win Sunday. Chicago counters with John Danks (2-6, 4.31), who is 1-2 in his last three starts despite a 2.53 ERA. Danks, who gave up three runs in seven innings of a 3-1 road loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday, has received six runs of support in the three games. The left-hander has gone 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA in 19 interleague starts but is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three such outings this season.

Suggested bet: Phillies WIN (three units @ $1.70) LOSE, game total +8.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (5-4)

Other tips

AL: Blue Jays @ Orioles +9.5 $2.04 WIN (7-3)

AL: Astros @ Rays -9 $1.79 WIN (3-4)

AL: Twins @ Yankees WIN $1.76 LOSE -8.5 $1.91 WIN (4-1)

AL: Royals @ Indians -9 $1.80 WIN (3-5)

AL: Rangers @ Tigers -8 $1.97 PUSH (7-1)
AL: Red Sox @ Athletics WIN $1.84 WIN (0-3)
AL: Angels @ Mariners WIN $1.87 WIN (0-6)
NL: Mets @ Pirates -1.5 $2.30 WIN (2-4)
NL: Nationals @ Marlins -7.5 $1.87 WIN (1-2)
NL: Reds @ Braves WIN $2.08 WIN (2-5)
NL: Rockies WIN $2.41 LOSE @ Dodgers -7 $2.05 WIN (0-1)
NL: Giants WIN $1.93 WIN @ Padres +7.5 $2.00 WIN (9-0)

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