Daily tips for July 30

UK Racing for July 30

Run at what is billed as “the world’s most beautiful racecourse”, Glorious Goodwood kicks-off tonight with the first of five racedays comprising the premier carnival of the English summer. The feature race on the opening day is the bet365 Group 2 Lennox Stakes, with a spanner set to be thrown into the works with heavy rain expected to sweep across the Sussex Downs at some point in the afternoon. Queen Anne Stakes runner-up #1 Aljamaaheer will jump favourite after also landing the Summer Mile Stakes earlier in the month, but he’s dropped in trip and tasked with giving weight to #9 Producer, a concession that may prove too much. The booking of Richard Hughes is also telling as he had the choice of taking the mount on stablemate #12 Professor. Richard Hannon’s charge is unpenalised for his last-time-out Group 3 victory in the Criterion Stakes.

Suggested bet: Goodwood R3 #9 Producer E/W (two units) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Goodwood R1 #4 Blue Surf (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Goodwood R7 #20 Valmina (E/W) SCRATCHED

Racing for July 30

Horse racing: Mornington (Vic), Wyong (NSW), Mackay (Qld), Canberra (ACT). Harness racing: Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Ballarat (Vic), Bunbury (WA). Greyhound racing: Bendigo (Vic), Devonport (Tas), Gawler (SA), Gosford (NSW), Horsham (Vic), Ipswich (Qld), Lismore (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Townsville (Qld), Warragul (Vic).

My home track in terms of proximity is Mornington, about an hour’s drive south of Melbourne. It’s a tricky track, with only a slight turn into the home stretch meaning jockeys need to time their run carefully. A heavy (10) is regular fare for this time of year, and today’s meeting is mighty tough with highweight and 2yo affairs kicking off the card. My best of the day comes up in race 7, the Melbourne Horse Transport Handicap over 1000m for 0-68 raters. Trained at Mornington by Wez Hunter, #10 Nelson’s Victory will carry the minimum 54kg. The 5yo mare placed here six weeks ago in a slightly tougher race with Patrick Moloney, the rider that day, returning here.

Suggested bet: Mornington R7 #10 Nelson’s Victory E/W 1x4 (two units) LOSE (4th)

Other tips

Mornington R8 #11 Winter Solace (E/W) 1st ($19.60/$4.60)

Mornington R9 #6 Montoya Heights (win) 1st ($4.20)

Canberra R1 #3 Game of Chance (win) LOSE (2nd)

Canberra R5 #5 Another Grand (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Canberra R6 #8 Party Policy (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)

Wyong R2 #2 Shravan (win) LOSE (2nd)

Wyong R5 #8 Frankiefourfingers (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($2.10)

Wyong R8 #5 Star Thriller (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)

Mackay R5 #3 Craiglea Vance (E/W) LOSE (2nd)

MLB for July 30

Milwaukee Brewers (43-61, 17-32 away) @ Chicago Cubs (48-55, 22-26 home), Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL, Tuesday, July 30, 10.10am

Just a small slate of nine games for consideration today, with my best of the day featuring two sides well below .500 heading into the second half of the regular season.  Looking for a fourth consecutive victory, the Cubs return home for the first time since the All-Star break to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Since losing eight of 10 to open June, Chicago (48-55) is 23-17 and coming off a 6-4 trip that concluded with a three-game sweep of San Francisco. That road run came while the club continued its rebuilding process by dealing Matt Garza and Alfonso Soriano.

Jeff Samardzija (6-9, 3.94 ERA) hopes to avoid another subpar outing when he takes the ball Monday. The right-hander was staked to a 6-0 lead after 4 1/2 innings Wednesday, but allowed four runs and matched a season high with five walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-6, 12-inning win at Arizona. Samardzija, who is 1-2 with a 6.85 ERA and walked 15 in four July starts, will also be out to improve on a 2-4 record and 5.46 ERA in 10 starts this season at Wrigley Field. He is 4-5 in 11 road starts but has a 2.72 ERA. Milwaukee is 5-3 against the Cubs this season, but lost the final two of a three-game home set last month.

The Brewers lost for the fifth time in seven games, 6-5 at Colorado on Sunday. All-Star Carlos Gomex had two hits, and is 12 for 20 in the last five contests after he went 3 for 42 in his previous 12. Looking for a third straight winning start, teammate Kyle Lohse (7-7, 3.37) has allowed one run in 13 innings of his last two outings. That run came in seven frames of a 3-1 victory over San Diego on Wednesday. The right-hander has a 3.15 ERA while winning three straight starts against the Cubs. He gave up a three-run homer to Nate Schierholtz in seven innings of a 9-3 home win over Chicago on June 25.

Suggested bet: Brewers WIN (1.5 units @ $2.08) WIN, game total +7 (2.5 units @ $1.80) LOSE (5-0)

Other tips

AL: Rays WIN $1.92 WIN @ Red Sox +8 $1.87 LOSE (2-1)

AL: Angels WIN $2.29 @ Rangers LOSE (3-4)

AL: White Sox @ Indians WIN $1.63 WIN (2-3)

AL: Blue Jays @ Athletics WIN $1.61 WIN +7.5 $1.97 WIN (4-9)

NL: Cardinals @ Pirates WIN $1.67 WIN -7 $2.05 LOSE (2-9)

NL: Rockies @ Braves WIN $1.72 WIN -7.5 $1.89 LOSE (8-9)

NL: Mets @ Marlins WIN $1.79 LOSE (6-5)

NL: Reds WIN $1.68 @ Padres LOSE (1-2)

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