Tuesday 16 July 2013

Daily tips for July 17




State of Origin (Game 3) for July 17

NSW v Queensland, ANZ Stadium, Wednesday, July 17, 8pm


If Billy Slater or Josh Dugan score a TRY, Centrebet will refund your first head-to-head bet up to $100

Could this be the biggest State of Origin game ever? Six weeks after the 2013 series kicked off at this very same venue, NSW and Queensland are back in what will surely be the most-anticipated series decider of all time.  For the Blues, this also looms as the most significant game in their history: having come so close to ending Queensland’s run the past two years it would be nothing short of devastating if they failed to get the job done yet again. For the Maroons, they will be relishing the chance to break NSW hearts once more and extend their run of consecutive series wins to eight.

Alas, after starting so well in Sydney, the pressure is right back on the Blues when they run back out onto ANZ Stadium tonight. Jarryd Hayne was originally named in the side but ruled out almost immediately with his hamstring injury, while they have since suffered a huge blow with captain Paul Gallen succumbing to the foot injury that has plagued him for the past fortnight. He will be replaced by impressive young prop Aaron Woods, but they can’t replace his experience. Similarly, the Blues will now be sweating on Greg Bird to be cleared to play given that, behind Gallen and Hayne, he is their next most experienced player.

Still, the fact that NSW get to play a decider on home soil for the first time since 2008 is a significant advantage and one that won’t be lost on the Queenslanders, who have won just five of 20 games at ANZ Stadium. The Blues’ big advantage is their sizeable forward pack, which comfortably dwarfs Queensland’s and has the potential to run over the top of them should they play to their potential on Wednesday night. The return of Tamou is a huge plus on that front and at least they don’t lose any size with Woods coming into the squad alongside him. Queensland have named the same 17 that prevailed in Game Two, with Jacob Lillyman and Melbourne centre Will Chambers the 18th and 19th men.
– Preview with thanks to NRL.com

Suggested bet: Queensland -4.5 (2.5 units @ $1.91), game total -34.5 (1.5 units @ $1.91)


Racing for July 17

Horse racing: Randwick (NSW), Werribee (Vic), Doomben (Qld), Balaklava (SA), Belmont (WA), Darwin (NT). Harness racing: Bathurst (NSW), Melton (Vic), Redcliffe (Qld), Swan Hill (Vic). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Ballarat (Vic), Bulli (NSW), Cannington (WA), Cranbourne (Vic), Richmond (NSW), Rockhampton (Qld), The Meadows (Vic).

After a long run of bog tracks, today’s nine-race card at Doomben will be run on a dead (5), which will suit #1 Pure Purrfection in the AC Aire Conditioning Class 4 Hcp over 1030 metres. Scratched on three occasions across the Queensland carnival, Tony Gollan’s 4yo mare hasn’t run since May 18 when she finished second to Funtantes over 1100m at Doomben. A month earlier, she was pipped at the post by Delago Bolt in a similar race. A winner of four of 14, Priscilla Schmidt takes a 2kg claim and should be saluting ahead of #2 Merryanna.

Suggested bet: Doomben R6 #1 Pure Purrfection WIN (two units @ $2.15) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Randwick R1 #1 Aussies Love Sport (win) LOSE (U/P)
Randwick R2 #3 Minh Khai (win) 1st ($2.20)
Randwick R7 #10 Breakfast In Bed (E/W) 3rd ($2.00)
Werribee R1 #4 Danapaise (win) 1st ($2.00)
Werribee R8 #3 Flying Hussler (win) LOSE (3rd)
Doomben R2 #4 Wentwell (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)
Doomben R4 #6 Will’s Choice (E/W 1x4) 1st ($5.60/$1.80)
Doomben R5 #8 Hot Bickies (place) LOSE (4th)
Darwin R5 #2 Mango Mojito (E/W) 1st ($3.50/$1.70)
Darwin R7 #6 The Thief (E/W) 2nd ($1.20)


Harness racing tip: Melton R2 #3 Sun Whiz (win) LOSE (2nd)
Greyhound racing tip: Richmond R8 #8 Avondale Porche (win) 1st ($1.50)

MLB for July 17

MLB All-Star Game – American League v National League, Citi Field, New York, NY, Wednesday, July 17, 10.15am


All-Star Games can have a ‘meh’ factor, but in Major League Baseball, they actually play for something meaningful – home field advantage for the World Series! Four players from the Big Apple will take centre stage when the National League hosts the American League in the 84th All-Star Game at Citi Field. David Wright and NL starting pitcher Matt Harvey represent the Mets while Yankees closer Mariano Rivera of the AL will appear in his final All-Star Game and be joined by teammate Robinson Cano. Right-hander Max Scherzer of Detroit, who became the first pitcher in 27 years to begin a season 13-0, starts for the AL.

The NL puts its three-game winning streak on the line after the American League won the previous seven Mid-Summer Classics since the 2002 edition ended in a 7-7 tie. That verdict prompted commissioner Bud Selig to make the game “count” by awarding the winning league home-field advantage in the World Series, which coincidentally has been won by the NL for the past three seasons. Last year's All-Star Game finished 7-1 in favour of the NL. That marked the seventh straight season the under has cashed in the Mid-Summer Classic, with an average of 6.57 collective runs scored between 2006 and 2012.

American League manager Jim Leyland of Detroit didn't have a difficult decision in choosing his own in Scherzer, who suffered his first loss of the season Saturday against Texas after matching Roger Clemens’ 13-0 start in 1986. After Scherzer, Leyland could turn to Seattle ace Felix Hernandez (10-4, 2.53), who last pitched Saturday. Leyland has an array of relievers from which to choose including five closers, but there's little doubt who will get the ball should the AL enjoy the lead entering the bottom of the ninth inning.

NL manager Bruce Bochy's decision to start Harvey at his home ballpark was made easier when St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright (12-5, 2.45) pitched on Sunday. Bochy could choose a left-hander from a rival NL West team – Arizona's Patrick Corbin (11-1, 2.35) or Los Angeles' Clayton Kershaw (8-8, ML-leading 1.98 ERA) – to relieve Harvey. Bochy has four closers at his disposal including Pittsburgh's Jason Grilli, who leads the NL with 29 saves, but he will be tempted to use Cincinnati flame-thrower Aroldis Chapman.

Suggested bet: American League WIN (1.5 units @ $2.05) WIN, game total -8 (2.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (3-0)

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