Monday 15 July 2013

Daily tips for July 16



Racing for July 16

Horse racing: Geelong (Vic), Port Macquarie (NSW), Townsville (Qld), Wagga (NSW). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Ararat (Vic), Menangle (NSW), Northam (WA). Greyhound racing: Bendigo (Vic), Devonport (Tas), Gawler (SA), Gosford (NSW), Horsham (Vic), Ipswich (Qld), Lismore (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Townsville (Qld), Warragul (Vic).

It’s a glorious winter’s day for this afternoon’s nine-race program on the synthetic track at Geelong. Race 3 is the Geelong Cup Packages 23rd October Mainden Plate over 1100m where the David Hayes trained 2yo #10 Markazy looks extremely well rated. She managed one placing in three starts in her first campaign earlier this year and returns to action here with Craig Robertson taking the ride. From their inside barrier, the pair should take up a forward spot and ideally kick clear in the straight.

Suggested bet: Geelong R3 #10 Markazy E/W (two units) 2nd ($2.20)

Other tips

Geelong R1 #1 Hoedown (win) 1st ($3.10)
Geelong R4 #2 Beira (E/W) 1st ($2.80/$1.20)
Geelong R5 #7 Jarss Dealer (win) LOSE (4th)
Geelong R7 #4 Dame Judarius (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Port Macquarie R6 #4 Queen of Thegrange (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Port Macquarie R7 #11 Duke of Letchworth (E/W) 3rd ($2.10)
Wagga R1 #10 Totes Magotes (E/W) 1st ($4.30/$1.70)
Wagga R3 #1 Banrokka (E/W) 3rd ($1.60)
Wagga R5 #4 Mianzar (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Townsville R2 #5 Surah Surah (win) LOSE (4th)
Townsville R3 #5 Windsor Gold (win) LOSE (3rd)
Townsville R4 #2 Scot Free (E/W) 2nd ($1.60)
Townsville R7 #10 Miss Liberty (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.60)

MLB for July 16

Chevrolet Home Run Derby, Citi Field, New York, NY, Tuesday, July 16, 10am


Aussie viewers will be able to watch the All-Star appetiser that is the Chevrolet Home Run Derby from 10am Tuesday on ESPN. Prince Fielder (pictured above), a man who in both body and swing seems born for this very event, will seek to defend his crown against a promising field selected by National League captain David Wright and American League captain Robinson Cano. That field is highlighted by the inclusion of Chris Davis, who tied an AL record on Sunday with his 37th homer before the break.

The good news for the men in the batter's box is that Citi Field is much better suited for this format than it was when it opened. The Mets reconfigured the Citi Field dimensions before the 2012 season after it had profiled as one of the game’s toughest places to go deep each of the previous two years. The result is a park that, while not a bandbox, has certainly been more fair and less frustrating for hitters, and the Derby field stands to benefit. Then again, if you've watched some of these guys take BP, you know the exact depth of the dimensions might not matter much at all.

Prince Fielder, Tigers ($5.00): He's proven to be Missouri's main masher, having won the Derby in St. Louis in 2009 and in Kansas City last year. Can he take the crown in Queens? If he does, he'll become the Derby's second three-time winner, joining Ken Griffey Jr. Griffey and Fielder are the only players to win multiple Derby trophies.

David Wright, Mets ($9.50): He'll get the loudest cheers of the night, naturally. He might be less likely to provide the biggest bashes. He averaged 29 homers his first four full seasons and 18 the following four (shifting to Citi Field in 2009 didn't help). But you never know what the home cooking might reap for Wright in his first Derby appearance.

Chris Davis, Orioles ($4.25): Given his sensational first half, Davis will be a popular pick to click in his first Derby. He is on pace for a 60-plus-homer season, which hasn’t been done since 2001. We’re happy to go with the form man and will be expecting a show from the burly Orioles first baseman.

Bryce Harper, Nationals ($5.00): Hopefully, the left knee injury Harper has battled this season doesn’t deter his ability in his first appearance in this event, because his raw power is a beautiful thing to behold. Harper hit a homer measured at 570 feet when he was a high school freshman, and he went deep 22 times in his rookie year.

Robinson Cano, Yankees ($5.00): The AL captain is likely to find Citi Field a more welcoming place than Kauffman Stadium, where he was booed heartily last year for snubbing the Royals’ Billy Butler. Cano's looking for a repeat of 2011, when he hit 32 homers at Chase Field, including 12 in the final round, to win the Derby.

Pedro Alvarez, Pirates ($8.50): A replacement for the injured Carlos Gonzalez, Alvarez is a big swinger who, like Fielder, might find that the Derby is tailored to his talents. Alvarez already has 24 homers at the turn. So while he wasn’t one of Wright's initial picks, he’s certainly a worthy one.

Yoenis Cespedes, A’s ($7.00): Yasiel Puig might be the most captivating Cuban player in the big leagues at the moment, but Cespedes is no slouch himself, and he’s been known to put on a show during BP.

Michael Cuddyer, Rockies ($11.00): No question, Cuddyer was the most surprising selection for the 2013 Derby field, but he's no slap hitter. He was a sentimental pick on the part of Wright, who lauds Cuddyer as the guy who opened the door for other kids from the Virginia Beach area to get noticed by scouts.

Suggested bets:

Chris Davis WIN (1 unit @ $4.25) LOSE
Yoenis Cespedes (0.5 units @ $7.00) WIN
Pedro Alvarez (0.5 units @ $8.50) LOSE

• Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.

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