Monday 29 April 2013

Daily tips for April 30



Racing for April 30

Horse racing: Warrnambool (Vic), Kembla Grange (NSW), Taree (NSW), Townsville (Qld)
Harness racing: Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Northam (WA), Terang (Vic)
Greyhound racing: Angle Park (SA), Bendigo (Vic), Devonport (Tas), Gosford (NSW), Goulburn (NSW), Horsham (Vic), Ipswich (Qld), Lismore (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Townsville (Qld), Warragul (Vic)

The TAB Warrnambool May Racing Carnival is the one of the best carnivals in Australia, and the only one that is held over three successive days. The carnival kicks-off today in fine conditions with the main track rated a dead (5) and the steeple course a slow (6).

The feature race of the opening day is the 3YB Scotty Stewart Brierly Steeplechase, a traditional lead in to the Wheelie Waste Grand Annual Steeplechase and run over 3450 metres. It also is a leg of the Callaghan Motors Trainers Bonus. With this bonus, the Warrnambool Racing Club will offer each trainer participating in the TAB Warrnambool May Racing Carnival a Mercedes Benz A-Class valued at $54,800.

There’s always great value across the three days of racing and we’re hoping to get a good price for our best of the day, which comes up in race 9, the Southwest Communications BM72 Handicap over 1200m.

#11 General Orders won over this distance here back in November to break his maiden before winning at Ballarat over the same distance to end 2012. The 3yo gelding, trained at Warrnambool by Matthew Williams, has had one run back for a fourth at Donald and looks primed for a good run here at a great each-way price of $11.

Suggested bet: Warrnambool R9 #11 General Orders E/W (two units) LOSE (U/P)

Other racing tips

Warrnambool R3 #3 Prince Diablo (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Warrnambool R6 #4 Regal Heir (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Warrnambool R10 #1 Wells (E/W) 3rd ($1.90)
Kembla Grange R6 #2 Monbazillac (E/W) 1st ($6.30/$2.20)
Townsville R2 #1 Tat Zephyr (win) LOSE (4th)

Harness racing tip: Terang R5 #6 Weallwantano (win) LOSE (U/P)
Greyhound racing tip: Warragul R7 #4 Glasses Up (win) LOSE (3rd)

MLB for April 30

Houston Astros (7-18) @ New York Yankees (15-9), Yankee Stadium, New York, NY, Tuesday, April 29, 9.10am

Andy Pettitte will pitch against the only other major league team he’s played for when the Yankees go for a fifth straight win. Trying to post victories in each of his first four starts for the first time, Pettitte (3-1, 2.22 ERA) gave up all of the runs in Thursday’s 3-0 loss at Tampa Bay.

The AL-worst Astros (7-18) don't appear to be in any position to improve that mark as they arrive in the Bronx on a nine-game road-losing streak. The AL’s newest team was outscored 28-10 in a four-game set in Boston over the weekend, going 5 for 38 (.132) with runners in scoring position. Yankees win here, and win well.

Suggested bet: Yankees -1.5 (three units) LOSE, game total +7.5 (one unit) WIN (9-1)

Other tips

Nationals WIN @ Braves LOSE (2-3)
Twins @ Tigers +8.5 LOSE (3-4)
Mets WIN @ Marlins LOSE (3-4)
Padres @ Cubs WIN WIN (3-5)
Angels @ Athletics -1.5 WIN (8-10)
Pirates WIN @ Brewers LOSE (4-10)
Orioles @ Mariners WIN WIN (2-6)
Rockies @ Dodgers WIN LOSE (12-2)


NBA playoffs for April 30

Eastern Conference round 1, game 5: Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets, Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY, Tuesday, April 29, 9.10am (Bulls lead 3-1)

No use looking back now for the Brooklyn Nets. Game 4 hurt, physically and mentally, but there's nothing they can do about it. The missed free throws, the blown boxouts, cost them what should have been a victory, and they realise things would be a whole lot different if they were coming home tied at two games apiece instead of trailing the Chicago Bulls 3-1.

We have a small lean towards the Nets here, but will making our play the +180.5 game total. Bulls starting point guard Kirk Hinrich is out for the Bulls tonight and his defence will be sorely missed. With the Chicago captain sidelined, Nate Robinson will spend more time on the floor and there’ll be less pressure on Brooklyn’s Deron Williams.

Suggested bet: Game total +180.5 (three units) WIN, Nets 1-10 (one unit) LOSE (91-110)

Other tips

E4: Pacers @ Hawks +187.5 WIN (91-102)
W4: Thunder @ Rockets WIN WIN, +205.5 WIN (103-105)

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