Tuesday 30 April 2013

Daily tips for May 1



Racing for May 1

Horse racing: Warrnambool (Vic), Warwick Farm (NSW), Balaklava (SA), Eagle Farm (Qld), Pinjarra (WA)
Harness racing: Dubbo (NSW), Geelong (Vic), Swan Hill (Vic), Redcliffe (Qld)
Greyhound racing: Warrnambool (Vic), Ballarat (Vic), The Gardens (NSW), Cannington (WA), Rockhampton (Qld), Nowra (NSW), Shepparton (Vic), Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), The Meadows (Vic)

A tough old day at the office yesterday but we managed to almost break even. The Warrnambool Racing Carnival is usually a tough gig for punters but there’s value aplenty and we’ll be suiting up once again with our best on Galleywood Hurdle/Wangoom Hcp day.

It’s $4 the field in another typically even running of the Listed Midfield Group Wangoom Handicap (race 7 over 1200m) with the slow (6) throwing another consideration into the already intriguing mix. Sixth here in this race last year, #11 Population found himself in the worst going in the straight, while the majority of horses that went past went on to bigger and better things after the carnival.

Trained by Anthony Freedman and with Daniel Moor taking the ride, the 5yo gelding has weight relief on several of the horses who finished prominently in last year’s Wangoom, is coming off a nice seven-week breather and doesn’t mind the sting out of the track. At $21, it’s each-way all the way!

Suggested bet: Warrnambool R7 #11 Population E/W (two units) LOSE (U/P)

Others tips

Warrnambool R3 #8 Centauraine (win) LOSE (3rd)
Warrnambool R5 #1 Brungle Cry (win) WIN ($2)
Warwick Farm R3 #1 Mulaqen (win) WIN ($1.60)
Warwick Farm R7 #1 Gasquet (E/W) WIN ($6.60/$2.10)

Harness racing tip: Geelong R2 #4 Major Lloyd (win)
Greyhound racing tip: Warrnambool R6 #2 Proven Nitro (win)


MLB for May 1

Los Angeles Angels (9-16) @ Oakland Athletics (15-12), O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA, Wednesday, May 1, 12.05pm

Though Garrett Richards has filled in nicely since ace Jered Weaver went on the disabled list, the Los Angeles Angels have sunk to the bottom of the AL with a team ERA even one of baseball's most expensive offenses can’t regularly overcome. LA had a 3.11 ERA through its first five games, but since Weaver suffered a broken left elbow, it has posted a 5.08 ERA and ranks last in the AL with a 4.69 overall mark.

The Oakland Athletics’ pitching hasn’t been much better, largely because of Jarrod Parker’s struggles. After a wild 19-inning affair in the series opener, Richards opposes Parker as the AL West rivals continue their three-game set in Oakland. The A’s (15-12) have a 4.28 team ERA, though Parker (0-4, 8.10) appeared to be getting back on track after a solid outing in a 1-0 defeat at Tampa Bay on April 20. However, he gave up six runs and eight hits while walking three in Friday’s 10-2 loss to Baltimore.

Suggested bet: Angels WIN (two units) LOSE, game total +8 (two units) WIN (7-13)

Other tips

Phillies @ Indians WIN WIN (2-14)
Nationals @ Braves WIN WIN (1-8)
Astros @ Yankees -8 LOSE (4-7)
Mets @ Marlins -8 WIN (1-2)
Red Sox @ Blue Jays WIN WIN (7-9)
Padres WIN @ Cubs WIN (13-7)
Twins @ Tigers WIN WIN (1-6)
Reds @ Cardinals WIN WIN (1-2)
Rays WIN @ Royals LOSE (2-8)
Rockies @ Dodgers +6.5 WIN (2-6)
Orioles @ Mariners WIN LOSE (7-2)

NHL playoffs for May 1

Western Conference quarter-finals, game 1: Detroit Red Wings @ Anaheim Ducks, Honda Center, Anaheim, CA, Wednesday, May 1, 12.40pm

The Red Wings string of 21 consecutive playoff berths was in serious jeopardy a few weeks ago when they could only manage one victory during a seven-game skid. They turned things around just in time with a four-game winning streak to close out the regular season that snuck them in as the seventh seed in the Western Conference.

Anaheim remained near the top of the standings in the West all season long but a very pedestrian 5-4-1 record down the stretch has to raise some concern heading into what could be a very dangerous series.

Much about the match-up seems favourable to Detroit, which won two of three against Anaheim in the regular season. The Red Wings took back-to-back games at Honda Center immediately after the Ducks' cathartic, come-from-behind win over NHL-best Chicago on March 20.

Suggested bet: Red Wings WIN (two units) LOSE, game total -5 (two units) WIN (1-3)

Other tips

WCQF1: Wild +1.5 @ Blackhawks WIN (1-2)
WCQF1: Kings @ Blues -5 WIN (1-2)

NBA playoffs for May 1

Western Conference playoffs, round 1, game 5: Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO, Wednesday, May 1, 9.40am (Warriors lead 3-1)

This series shifts back to Denver where the Nuggets must stave off elimination in hopes of extending its season, as they have no margin for error versus the Warriors, who will attempt to close it out on the road and advance to the next round of the playoffs.

We’re going with something a bit different today with thanks to our sports betting partner Centrebet. Under the Money Back Special that Centrebet is offering on the NBA playoffs, they will refund your bet up to $100 if your team scores 100 points and loses.

That’s exactly what we expect in this game, with the Nuggets to win outright but the Warriors to score at least 100 points and lose. So bet the Warriors at the generous price of $4 and hope that they crack three figures behind the three-point shooting of Stephen Curry.

Suggested bet: Warriors WIN (three units) PUSH (100-107)

Other tips

W5: Grizzlies @ Clippers +180 WIN (103-93)

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