Tuesday 23 April 2013

Daily tips for April 24




NBA playoffs for April 24

Eastern Conference round 1, game 2: Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat, AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL, Wednesday, April 24, 9.40am

The Heat smashed the Bucks by 23 in the series opener, and it’s not hard to see them dishing up a similar result once again on their home floor. One area where the Heat struggled in game one was three-point shooting, where they went 7 for 23. It was a focus for Miami at practise during the week and even the slightest improvement on that number could spell doom for the visitors.

Another concern for the Bucks – who are 1-4 against Miami this season – is finding ways to get Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis some help on the offensive end. Jennings and Ellis combined for 48 points in game one; their teammates chipped in only 39 more.

Suggested bet: Heat -14 (one unit) LOSE, game total -197 (two units) WIN (86-98)

Western Conference round 1, game 2: Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO, Wednesday, April 24, 12.40pm

The Warriors will be forced to play this game without All-Star David Lee, who will also miss the remainder of the playoffs due to a hip injury he suffered in Game 1. Going back three seasons, Lee has missed a total of 21 games, and Golden State is just 3-18 SU in that situation.

However, Golden State is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games that follow a SU loss and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven played on the highway. And if Golden State can do a better job of protecting the ball – something they failed to do in Game 1 – we figure this one could be another close one.

Suggested bet: Warriors +8.5 (two units) WIN, game total +208 (two units) WIN (131-117)



NHL for April 24

New York Islanders @ Carolina Hurricanes, PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC, Wednesday, April 24, 9.10am

Normally at this point of the season, Islanders fans would be lamenting another miserable campaign and making plans for the summer. Not this year. The Islanders are chasing their first post-season appearance since 2006-07 and they eye a fourth straight win here.

New York has gone 11-1-2 over its last 14 games to bolster its playoff chances. It is two points behind Toronto for the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference while holding a one-point edge on the eighth-place Rangers.

Evgeni Nabokov, 10-1-2 with a 1.74 GAA over his last 13 starts, will be in the net here. He's 8-1-1 with a 2.04 GAA in 11 career starts against the Hurricanes. With so much on the line, it’s hard to go past the Islanders here and the puck-line price of $3.05 looks excellent value.

Suggested bet: Islanders -1.5 (two units) LOSE (3-4)

Other tips

Jets @ Capitals -1.5 WIN (3-5)
Sabres @ Penguins -1.5 LOSE (4-2)
Bruins WIN @ Flyers LOSE (2-5)
Avalanche @ Blues -5 WIN (1-3)

MLB for April 24

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays, Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL, Wednesday, April 24, 9.10am

There’ve been plenty of postponed games in the opening three weeks of the MLB season due to inclement weather, but no danger here as the mercury hovers in the mid-80s for this match-up where the Rays look hard to beat.

The Rays (9-10) opened the three-game series at Tropicana Field with a 5-1 win with starter Matt Moore dominant. Rays pitcher David Price, who gets the start here, fared well in his final three outings against the Yankees last season, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 19 innings.

New York will give the ball to right-hander Phil Hughes (0-2, 6.43 ERA), who is also trying to iron things out after a shaky start. In his last outing he gave up two runs and six hits in seven innings at Arizona.

Suggested bets: Rays -1.5 (two units) LOSE, game total -7 (two units) WIN (4-3)

Other tips

Athletics @ Red Sox -8.5 LOSE (13-0)
Blue Jays @ Orioles -8 WIN (3-4)
Pirates WIN @ Phillies WIN (2-0)
Royals @ Tigers -1.5 POSTPONED
Mariners -1.5 @ Astros LOSE (2-3)
Brewers WIN @ Padres WIN (6-3)
Braves @ Rockies +9.5 WIN (10-2)
Diamondbacks @ Giants WIN LOSE (6-4)

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