Monday 8 April 2013

Daily tips for April 9



Racing for April 9

Horse racing: Yarra Glen (Vic), Tamworth (NSW), Mackay (Qld)
Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Mildura (Vic), Menangle (NSW), Gloucester Park (WA)
Greyhound racing: Gosford (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Townsville (Qld), Warragul (Vic), Lismore (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Horsham (Vic), Goulburn (NSW), Devonport (Tas), Angle Park (SA)

It’s a good (3) for today’s meeting at Tamworth and we’ve found one worth following in the third on the card, the Peel TV Services Hcp (BM75) over 1100m.

Resuming from a spell, the Luke Griffith-trained gelding #1 Texas Lad raced in much tougher company last prep, winning at Canterbury two back before another solid run at Warwick Farm.

He won at Scone first-up last prep at Scone, has won twice over this distance and carts a manageable 58kg here thanks to the 2kg claim for apprentice Patrick Lo.

Suggested bet: Tamworth R3 #1 Texas Lad (win two units) LOSE

Other racing tips for April 8

Yarra Glen R7 #7 Babe to win (E/W) 3rd $2.20
Mackay R2 #1 Four Iron (WIN) LOSE

Suggested harness racing bet: Mildura R2 #3 Illawong Geraldine (win) LOSE
Suggested greyhound racing bet: Warragul R8 #1 Vapour Storm (win) WIN

MLB for April 9

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants, AT&T Park, San Francisco, California, Tuesday, April 9, 11.45am

The Rockies have started the season in solid fashion. Having won five straight, Colorado (5-1) is close to matching the franchise-best 7-1 start from its 1995 "Blake Street Bombers" club that eventually earned the club's first playoff berth. This year's Rockies are doing some slugging of their own with major league bests of 13 homers and 39 runs in their first six games.

But we see a pitching mismatch here. Madison Bumgarner will go up against Jorge De La Rosa, with the advantage obviously in the Giants' court. Bumgarner is 2-1 with a 1.13 ERA in five all-time starts against the Rockies at AT&T Park, and had the majors' seventh-best home ERA last season at 2.38. The Rockies, meanwhile, will simply be hoping De La Rosa can avoid getting belted around the park.

Suggested bet: Giants -1.5 (three units) WIN

Other tips

Orioles @ Red Sox +9 LOSE
Twins @ Royals -8.5 WIN
Yankees WIN @ Indians WIN

NHL for April 9

Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche, Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, Tuesday, April 9, 11.30am

The two worst teams in the NHL suit up for this forgettable late-season clash in Denver, but we smell some value amid the stink here. The Flames might be one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL (allowing 3.51 goals per game) but they won’t be facing an offensive juggernaut in Colorado.

The Avs have scored two or fewer in six straight games and whose 29 points are one fewer than the Flames' total, will try for their third straight home win in this series. The home side mightn’t be much chop, but they have a respectable home record while the Flames have won just three of 18 on the road.

Suggested bet: Flames @ Avalanche -5.5 WIN

Others tips

Rangers @ Maple Leafs WIN WIN
Hurricanes @ Bruins -5 LOSE
Coyotes @ Canucks -5 WIN

College Basketball for April 9

NCAA Tournament title game; Michigan v Louisville; Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA, Tuesday, April 9, noon

Michigan has compiled a perfect 18-0 record against non-conference opponents during the 2012-13 college basketball season, including a 61-56 victory over the Syracuse Orange as 1.5-point favourites here on Saturday. The Wolverines are now 9-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) on a neutral floor.

Sure, a lot of the betting and situational trends favour Louisville, but we’re confident that Michigan will prove that the Big Ten was in fact the best conference in America underlined by the fact that they’ve covered the number in their last three meetings with Big East opponents.

Suggested bet: Michigan +4.5 (two units) LOSE

Note: no NBA games are scheduled for today

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