Sunday 28 April 2013

Daily tips for April 29



Racing for April 29

Horse racing: Kilmore (Vic), Ballina (NSW), Dubbo (NSW)
Harness racing: Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Canberra (ACT), Pinjarra (WA), Strathalbyn (SA), Warragul (Vic)
Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Bathurst (NSW), Bulli (NSW), Cranbourne (Vic), Geelong (Vic), Launceston (Tas), Northam (WA), Shepparton (Vic)

It’s another stunning Melbourne day, just perfect for the short trip north of the city to Kilmore for one of today’s three race meetings. Our best of the day comes up in race 5, the Avenal Seniors Citizens F&M 0-62 Hcp over 1612m.

The run of #3 Proserpina at Caulfield just on four weeks ago was certainly eye-catching. At her eighth start, the 3yo filly probably went for home a bit early and struggled to run out the 2000m. She’s down in distance and class here and, with Dean Holland back in the saddle for Steve Richards, she looks hard to beat on the good (3) at Kilmore.

Suggested bet: Kilmore R5 #3 Proserpina E/W (two units) 2nd ($1.50)

Other racing tips

Kilmore R6 #2 Tiryns (win) WIN $1.70
Ballina R7 #2 Don’t Get Me Rong (win) LOSE 2nd
Dubbo R2 #5 Dr Zou (win) LOSE 3rd

Harness racing tip: Warragul R4 #6 Scruffy Major (win) LOSE U/P
Greyhound racing tip: Bulli R3 #3 Zulu Zircon (win) WIN $1.70

NBA playoffs for April 29

Western Conference round 1, game 4: Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors, Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA, Sunday, April 29, 11.35am (Warriors lead 2-1)

Fast, physical and flamboyant, the Golden State Warriors have been beating the Nuggets at their own game. Denver has dropped two straight against the Warriors to fall into a 2-1 hole in the best-of-seven playoff series. The Nuggets are clearly playing with more at stake than the Warriors, and for good reason.

Denver earned the Western Conference’s No. 3 seed after winning an NBA franchise-best 57 games. The Nuggets also had a league-best 38-3 record at home, where they had won a franchise-record 24 straight until Golden State snapped that streak in Game 2. We’re tipping the Nuggets will square it up here and go on to take the series.

Note: We’re quite wary of the Spurs-Lakers clash in LA. With San Antonio in such a dominant spot and the Lakers decimated by injury, Gregg Popovich won’t allow his side to expend too much energy running up a big score. We’ve listed a tip, but feel free to watch on.

Suggested bet: Denver Nuggets WIN (two units) LOSE (101-115), Nuggets SERIES WIN (one unit)

Other tips

E4: Knicks @ Celtics +2 (Knicks lead 3-0) WIN (90-97)
E4: Heat -8.5 @ Bucks (Heat lead 3-0) WIN (88-77)
W4: Spurs -11 @ Lakers (Spurs lead 3-0) WIN (103-82)

MLB for April 29

Atlanta Braves (15-8) @ Detroit Tigers (12-10), Comerica Park, Detroit, MI, Sunday, April 29, 10.05am

The Detroit Tigers have moved past their slump, and will look to get on an extended run with Doug Fister on the mound against the road-weary Atlanta Braves. The unbeaten right-hander will try to lead the Tigers to a three-game sweep when they take on the Braves in the finale of Atlanta’s 10-game trip.

Now the Tigers will send Fister (3-0, 2.00 ERA) to the mound as he looks to pitch the home side to its first three-game sweep of the season. Fister has posted a 1.23 ERA in his last three outings.

The Braves (15-8) have lost seven of 10 since their red-hot start to the season, and they’ll be trying to avoid their season-worst fourth straight defeat. Making his first appearance against the Tigers, left-hander Mike Minor has dropped his last three outings against AL opponents with a 4.96 ERA.

Suggested bet: Tigers WIN (three units) WIN, game total +7.5 (one unit) WIN (3-8)

Other tips

Blue Jays @ Yankees -8.5 WIN (2-3)
Phillies WIN @ Mets WIN (5-1)
Astros @ Red Sox -9.5 WIN (1-6)
Reds @ Nationals -1.5 LOSE (5-2)
Rangers @ Twins WIN WIN (0-5)
Brewers WIN @ Dodgers LOSE (0-2)
Giants WIN @ Padres LOSE (4-6)
Rays @ White Sox WIN LOSE (8-3)
Pirates WIN @ Cardinals WIN (9-0)

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