Daily tips for June 27

Racing for June 27

Horse racing: Bendigo (Vic), Hawkesbury (NSW – abandoned), Port Augusta (SA), Toowoomba (Qld), Northam (WA). Harness racing: Gold Coast (Qld), Narrogin (WA), Penrith (NSW), Stawell (Vic), Swan Hill (Vic), Tamworth (NSW). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Dapto (NSW), Angle Park (SA), Geelong (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Hobart (Tas), Maitland (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Sandown Park (Vic), Warragul (Vic).

Today’s meeting at Hawkesbury has been abandoned leaving a slate of four programs around the country. We’ve had a good look at the Bendigo program where the dead (5) looks to offer plenty of value. The track is out eight metres today so we’ll generally be favouring horses who can make up ground along the fence or from inside barriers with the exception of #10 Longeron. Trained by Team Hawkes at Flemington, this 3yo gelding will jump from barrier 11 with Stephen Baster aboard in the last of the day, the 125 days to Jayco Bendigo Showcase BM72 over 1600 metres. He’s won his last two starts at Sale and Seymour over 1424m and 1612m respectively. Just two weeks ago, he smashed the field at Seymour by seven lengths.

Suggested bet: Bendigo R10 #10 Longeron WIN (three units) 1st ($2.40)

Other tips

Bendigo R3 #6 Inkjet Sprinter (E/W) 3rd ($1.80)

Bendigo R4 #6 Gemset (place) 2nd ($5.40)

Bendigo R6 #8 Dark Sun (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Bendigo R7 #2 Desert Jeuney (E/W) 2nd ($2.40)
Bendigo R9 #15 Treasury Notes (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Toowoomba R3 #3 Somnambulist (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Toowoomba R7 #1 Strike Order (win) 1st ($1.50)

Port Augusta R4 #2 The Shaman (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Harness racing tip: Nyah @ Swan Hill R8 #1 Jodies Icon (win) 1st ($1.10)

Greyhound racing tip: Dapto R6 #1 Amazon Lizard (win) LOSE (3rd)

AFL (R14) for June 27

West Coast v Essendon, Patersons Stadium, Thursday, June 27, 8.10pm AEST

Round 14, the first full slate of nine games after three bye weeks, kicks-off with a spicy encounter at Patersons Stadium. The Bombers are coming off a week’s rest but the scandal surrounding the club’s supplement program was re-ignited with skipper Jobe Watson admission of guilt on Fox Footy earlier this week. At this time, Watson is listed to play while the Bombers have recalled Courtenay Dempsey and Tom Bellchambers.

The Eagles covered the 32-point line last week but never looked a serious chance of knocking over the Hawks, and lost Andrew Embley (suspension) and Shannon Hurn (injury) for this game. It’s brutally hard for sides to climb into the eight after the mid-point of the season and for the Eagles, with games coming up against Adelaide, Fremantle and Sydney, the task looks mighty tough.

It’s an equally pivotal game for Essendon. They were 8-3 at the bye in 2012, only to lose eight of their last nine and miss the finals. The Bombers have won their past two matches in WA, both against Fremantle, but have not beaten the Eagles in Perth for 12 years. This one is too close to call but, despite the cool and calm conditions on offer, the ‘under’ game total (which we expect to open at 180.5) appeals with some strong indicators in play.

Suggested bet: West Coast WIN (one unit @ $1.87), game total -180.5 (one unit @ $1.91)

MLB for June 27

Chicago Cubs (31-44, 14-22 away) @ Milwaukee Brewers (32-43, 19-21 home), Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI, Thursday, June 27, 10.10am

The Brewers punished the Cubs at Miller Park last night, powered by a five run outburst in the fifth inning, chasing the embattled Edwin Jackson from the game. Milwaukee went on to win by a score of 9-3, and Rickie Weeks had a pair of home runs. These teams meet again in Game 2 of this series, and the Brewers will get an added boost at the plate in this one.

Who's the slugger coming in with the big bat? Starting pitcher Yovani Gallardo, who’s proven to be very handy with the bat in his career. He’s hitting .250 with a pair of home runs in just 17 games this season, which is pretty impressive when you consider he’s only had 32 at bats in those 17 games, and he's been asked to bunt on more than a few occasions.

Gallardo (6-6, 4.09 ERA) has been pitching well in recent outings, including a solid performance his last time out. He allowed three runs (all unearned) on just five hits over seven innings in a no decision versus the Astros. He hasn't faced them yet this year, but considering he's 6-1 with a 2.05 ERA in his last 10 starts versus Chicago, he's probably been looking forward to a meeting with the Cubbies.

The Cubs hand the ball to Scott Feldman, who's already lost once at Miller Park this season. Feldman (6-6, 3.39 ERA) has pitched reasonably well this season, but he hasn't had as much success on the road as he's had at home. He's 2-4 with a 4.11 ERA in eight starts away from Wrigley. He was really beaten up by the Cardinals his last time out, allowing five runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings. His only two wins on the road come against the Nats and the Mets, two of the worst offensive teams in the National League.

Suggested bet: Brewers WIN (2.5 units @ $1.71) LOSE, game total +8.5 (1.5 units @ $1.91) WIN (5-4)

Other tips

IL: Twins @ Marlins WIN $1.98 WIN (3-5)

IL: Reds @ Athletics WIN $1.75 WIN (0-5)

IL: Rockies @ Red Sox -1.5 $2.00 WIN (3-5)

IL: Cardinals WIN $1.63 @ Astros LOSE (3-4)

AL: Rangers @ Yankees WIN $1.78 LOSE (8-5)

AL: Indians WIN $2.30 @ Orioles WIN (4-3)

AL: Angels @ Tigers WIN $1.70 LOSE +10 $1.93 WIN (7-4)

AL: Blue Jays WIN $1.93 @ Rays WIN (3-0)

NL: Diamondbacks @ Nationals WIN $1.68 WIN (2-3)

NL: Giants @ Dodgers -6.5 $2.05 WIN (2-4)

NL: Phillies WIN $1.88 @ Padres WIN (7-5)

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