Daily tips for June 10

Racing for June 10

Horse racing: Mornington (Vic), Randwick (NSW), Ballina (NSW), Gatton (Qld), Murray Bridge (SA). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Charlton (Vic), Fairfield (Qld), Pinjarra (WA), Strathalbyn (SA). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Ballarat (Vic), Bathurst (NSW), Bulli (NSW), Cranbourne (Vic), Launceston (Tas), Northam (WA), Shepparton (Vic)

It’s a great day to load up the betting account for an afternoon on the punt and you won’t have to wait long for our best of the day to jump. Race 4 on today’s Murray Bridge program (to be run on a slow (6)) is the Mike Mason Equine Fencing Rating 0-71 Hcp over a scamper of just 906m. #3 Minnymoo looks the standout runner – a lightly raced 5yo mare, she’s won three of five including this track/distance back in November and was a last start winner at Mt Gambier over the same distance on a track rated slow. Jake Toeroek’s claim gets her in at 55.5kg.

Suggested bet: Murray Bridge R4 #3 Minnymoo E/W (two units) 2nd ($1.30)

Other tips

Mornington R1 #7 The Bowler (win) 1st ($1.60)

Mornington R2 #13 Pemba Nepali (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Mornington R4 #11 Prisoner of War (place) LOSE (U/P)

Mornington R7 #4 High Aims (E/W) 1st ($6.40/$2.20)

Randwick R1 #1 Instrumentalist (win) LOSE (3rd)

Randwick R7 #8 White Sage (win) 1st ($1.70)

Ballina R3 #3 Every Line A Gem (E/W) 1st ($4.90/$1.50)

Ballina R5 #2 Outback Pride (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

AFL (R11) for June 10

Melbourne v Collingwood, MCG, Monday, June 10, 3.20pm

Having taken the financial rather than practical decision to retain Mark Neeld for the rest of 2013, the Demons may plummet to new lows during the second half of the season with their motivation at rock bottom. The spotlight of a Queen’s Birthday clash against Collingwood will just showcase the Demons’ woes to a bigger audience as the Pies stockpile some percentage heading into the mid-season break. As if the task wasn’t hard enough, Travis Cloke returns for the Magpies while James Frawley, one of Melbourne’s few consistent contributors, is out.

Although inconsistent from quarter to quarter and game to game, Collingwood carved up Brisbane last week and will be looking to build momentum heading into the second half of the season. However, the Demons look excellent value at the line today. As the only game of the day, the flow of money in favour of Collingwood keeps the line artificially inflated. Big outsiders also tend to exceed their trending stats in stand-alone games like this, and the Demons have also shown a ‘bounce back’ factor after a big loss. Subjectively, it just smells like the kind of game in which Melbourne will have a real dip.

Suggested bet: Melbourne +70.5 (two units @ $1.91) LOSE, game total -192.5 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (39-122)

MLB for June 10

St Louis Cardinals (40-22, 210-10 away) @ Cincinnati Reds (37-25, 22-10 home), Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH, Monday, June 10, 10.10am

Two of the best outfits in all of Major League Baseball go to battle in a Sunday night special at the Great American Ball Park where Lance Lynn will attempt to gain a share of the MLB lead in wins by beating the Cincinnati Reds for a third time this year. Lynn is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA over his last three starts, yielding one run in seven innings of a 7-1 win over Arizona on Tuesday. He’s won both of his starts against the Reds this season, limiting them to two runs with 15 Ks in 13 innings. However, both of those outings came at home, and he was tagged for four runs and six hits in two-plus innings, while not getting a decision in an 8-5 win at Cincinnati on August 24.

After ending a three-game skid Saturday, the Reds hope Bronson Arroyo (6-5, 3.38) can build on his most recent outing. The veteran right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA in his past five trips the mound and is coming off his best start of that stretch, giving up four hits over eight innings of a 3-0 victory over Colorado on Monday. That performance was in stark contrast to his 5-2 loss at Cleveland five days earlier, when he surrendered five runs and two homers in 5 2/3 innings. That largely hasn't been the case over his last 11 starts versus the Cardinals, with Arroyo going 1-7 with a 5.27 ERA.

Suggested bet: Cardinals WIN (2.5 units @ $1.93) WIN, game total -8.5 (1.5 units @ $1.91) LOSE (11-4)

Other tips

Pirates @ Cubs +8.5 LOSE (1-4)

Rangers @ Blue Jays WIN LOSE (6-4)

Indians @ Tigers WIN WIN (1-4)

Twins @ Nationals (1) WIN WIN (0-7)

Angels @ Red Sox +10.5 WIN (5-10)

Phillies @ Brewers WIN WIN (1-9)

Orioles @ Rays +7.5 WIN (10-7)

Astros @ Royals WIN 1.61 WIN (0-2)

Padres @ Rockies +11.5 WIN (7-8)

Braves -1.5 @ Dodgers WIN (8-1)

NBA Finals for June 10

Game 2: San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat, AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL, Sunday, June 9, 10.10am

Down 1-0 after a record regular season that goes for naught without another title, the Heat can turn their moods around with a victory over San Antonio in Game 2. Back in the finals for a third straight year, the Heat have lost some of the ability to enjoy the ride. With exorbitant expectations, all that matters is the destination.

But San Antonio, absent from this stage for six years, is soaking up what could be its last shot for Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili. Despite the notion they’re old, the Spurs are actually overall the younger, less-experienced team in these finals. Miami has nine players in their 30s to the six on the Spurs, and their Big Three and Bonner are the only Spurs to have played in the NBA Finals.

James and the Heat at least got some with two days off following the Spurs’ 92-88 victory in Game 1. Both James and Wade had mentioned fatigue when talking about Miami's poor fourth-quarter performance, just three nights after the end of a difficult, seven-game series against Indiana to decide the Eastern Conference championship.

We’re going with Miami here – they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss; 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games; and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on two days rest.

Suggested bet: Heat -6 (three units @ $1.91) WIN, game total -187.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (84-103)

* Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication