Daily tips for June 12

Racing for June 12

Horse racing: Sportingbet Park Sandown (Vic), Warwick Farm (NSW), Eagle Farm (Qld), Strathalbyn (SA – abandoned), Belmont (WA). Harness racing: Bathurst (NSW), Cranbourne (Vic), Hobart (Tas), Redcliffe (Qld), Terang (Vic). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Ballarat (Vic), Cannington (WA), Nowra (NSW), Rockhampton (Qld), Shepparton (Vic), The Gardens (NSW), The Meadows (Vic), Warrnambool (Vic).

Today’s seven-race card at Warwick Farm will be run on a slow (6) with our best of the day scheduled to jump in the fifth – the Pro-Ride BM75 Hcp over 1200m for fillies and mares. The John O’Shea-trained #3 Princess Layla has won two of 11 and drop sharply in class for this race having finished close behind both the Darley-trained Babel and the Chris Waller-trained She’s Clean last preparation. A bold front-runner, Princess Layla continued to show good improvement with each start, last time in returning a career-peak rating of 88 when only just edged out by She’s Clean at Rosehill two starts back. Given two trials in the lead up to her first-up performance, she appears to have come back in good order, most recently saluting at Randwick over 1050m. Having collected both of her two career victories when fresh, O’Shea will hope Nash Rawiller can continue his hot run with his stable as he is riding at a strike rate of 25 per cent for the season.

Suggested bet: Warwick Farm R5 #3 Princess Layla E/W (two units) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Warwick Farm R1 #1 All Cerise (win) LOSE (U/P)

Warwick Farm R3 #3 Omniscient (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.90)

Warwick Farm R6 #1 Monte Verde (place) LOSE (U/P)

Warwick Farm R7 #9 Georgey Aeroplane (E/W) 3rd ($2.20)

Sandown R3 #9 Realist (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Sandown R7 #3 Loot 'N' Run (E/W) 3rd ($1.50)

Sandown R8 #11 Bitola (E/W) 2nd ($2.30)

Belmont R2 #8 Northpace (win) 1st ($2.10)

Belmont R3 #10 Gaps In Me Knees (E/W) LOSE (4th)

Belmont R6 #4 Leggy Blonde (E/W) 3rd ($3.30)

MLB for June 12

Cleveland Indians (30-33, 12-21 away) @ Texas Rangers (38-25, 19-8 home), Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, TX, Wednesday, June 12, 10.10am

The Cleveland Indians haven’t been able to generate much offence during their lengthy losing streak. It doesn’t figure to get any easier against red-hot left-hander Derek Holland, who will try to hand sinking Cleveland its ninth straight loss overall and 13th in a row on the road. Following a 2-4 road trip, the AL West-leading Rangers (38-25) opened a season-high 11-game home run on Monday by continuing their dominance of the Indians (30-33) with a 6-3 victory. Cleveland has batted .211 and been outscored 51-27 during the eight-game skid and hit .201 in its longest road slide since a franchise-record 15 straight losses in 2009.

Holland is 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA over his last seven starts, striking out 48 and limiting opponents to two homers in 45 innings during that stretch. He’s also been outstanding versus the Indians, pitching at least seven innings while yielding two runs or less in five of six career starts against them. He’s 2-0 with a 1.91 ERA in his last four outings against Cleveland. Corey Kluber (3-4, 4.56) is scheduled to make his first career start against the Rangers. Since allowing a season-worst eight runs over 4 2/3 innings in a 10-4 loss at Detroit on May 10, the right-hander has gone 1-2 with a 3.67 ERA in his last five starts.

Suggested bet: Rangers -1.5 (1.5 units @ $2.25) LOSE, game total -9.5 (2.5 units @ $1.95) WIN (5-2)

Other tips

NL: Giants WIN ($2.09) @ Pirates LOSE (2-8)

NL: Cardinals WIN ($1.77) @ Mets WIN (9-2)

NL: Brewers @ Marlins WIN ($1.93) WIN (4-5)

NL: Nationals @ Rockies WIN ($1.68) WIN (3-8)

NL: Diamondbacks @ Dodgers WIN ($1.75) WIN (3-5)

NL: Braves WIN ($1.87) @ Padres LOSE (2-3)

AL: Angels @ Orioles +9.5 ($1.87) LOSE (2-3)

AL: Red Sox @ Rays +8 ($1.91) WIN (3-8)

AL: Tigers -1.5 ($1.95) @ Royals LOSE (3-2)

AL: Astros @ Mariners -7.5 ($1.75) WIN (0-4)

NBA Finals for June 12

Game 3: Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs, AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX, Wednesday, June 12

The NBA Finals feature one of the more bizarre formats – after splitting the first two games in South Beach, the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs play three games at the AT&T Center starting with Game 3 here. Since 1985, when the series is tied 1-1, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to win the NBA Championship 12 out of 13 times. Oddsmakers have the Spurs pegged as two-point home favourites in Game 3 but listed as underdogs to win the NBA title. San Antonio is 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS at home this postseason and posted a 35-6 SU and 19-20-2 ATS mark as hosts during the regular season.

A second-half Game 2 demolition by Miami has created some momentum for the Heat. Miami used a ferocious 33-5 run to turn a close contest into a lopsided affair en route to a 103-84 victory that evened the series at a game apiece. Miami forward LeBron James has been held to a 17.5 average in the first two games and didn’t even lead the Heat in scoring on Monday when Mario Chalmers was the most pivotal figure with 19 points.

The Spurs’ trio of Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili combined for only 35 points in Game 2 after compiling 54 in San Antonio’s Game 1 victory. But the Spurs have only lost three games all playoffs and have bounced back the following game on every occasion. Over Miami’s past eight games they have been overly complacent coming off a win; L, W, L, W, L, W, L, W – it's as if they expend so much energy on the rebound that they don’t focus ahead to the next game.

Suggested bet: Spurs WIN (three units @ $1.77) WIN, game total -187.5 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (77-113)

Note: NHL Stanley Cup Finals series starts tomorrow

* Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication