US Open
for June 14-17
US Open,
Merion Golf Club, Ardmore, Pennsylvania, June 14-17
Merion
Golf Club hosts the US Open this week for the first time since Australia’s
David Graham hoisted the championship trophy in 1981. Merion is an old-style,
strategic golf course of just 6996 yards, par 70, set atop a naturally flowing
property in one of the Main Line communities west of Philadelphia. It is known
for its narrow, winding fairways, its deep-faced bunkers, its interspersed
blind shots, its varying green complexes and its overall consistent shot values
made more challenging by a potent and plentiful growth of rough.
The East
Course, opened in 1912, is regarded as one of the finest classical tests in
America if not the world. Holes vary from the tiny par-three 13th to the brutal
par-five fourth, with one driveable par-four only a few yards longer than three
monster par-threes. It really should be an all-round test of golf and that's
always the aim of a US Open. Par should be a good score and while the length of
this course won't defend it, thick, multi-layered rough, narrow targets and
typically fast greens will demand precision and patience.
However,
if there’s one thing that can come to the rescue of players in a US Open it’s
the weather, and a recent deluge in Pennsylvania has dramatically changed the
picture at Merion. Although
fanciful to suggest that sodden fairways will allow the big-hitting stars of
modern golf to take apart this traditional layout, where par might’ve won this
championship during a dry spell, it certainly won’t if the course remains soft.
Formlines
are tough to apply here although it’s interesting to note that 13 of the last
16 major champions were winning one for the first time and if we narrow down to
the events on US soil, names are pretty fresh: Rory McIlroy (twice), Keegan
Bradley, Webb Simpson, Adam Scott, Graeme McDowell and Charl Schwartzel are all
top-class golfers but somewhat remarkably at the time of winning, 32-year-old
Scott is the senior man. Outside the obvious choices of Woods and Mickelson,
here’s where we’ll be playing:
• Dustin
Johnson could well have already won three majors. He
forfeited a three-shot lead in the 2010 US Open at Pebble Beach. Then, he fell
foul of a local rule in the 2010 PGA Championship
at Whistling Straits. In 2011 he had every chance in the Open
Championship with five holes left. DJ produced a timely return to form at TPC
Southwind last week, a tough, technical layout with a share of 10th. Ranking second on tour for driving distance, he will be
able to take whatever club he wants off most tees here.
• Sergio
Garcia hasn't finished outside the top 25 of an event since missing the cut in
last year’s PGA Championship, a run of 18 tournaments. It's the result of a
dramatically improved short game. Garcia currently sits second on the PGA Tour
in strokes gained putting and, perhaps crucially here, is first in scrambling
from the rough. Garcia also ranks sixth in par-four performance, always a key
pointer on a technical par 70 like Merion, and his last PGA Tour win came at a
rain-softened Sedgefield Country Club late last year.
• Russell
Henley made a perfect start in his first PGA Tour event as a full member,
winning the Sony Open in Hawaii. Henley has added sixth-placed finishes at Harbour Town and
Memorial to underline his versatility. A superb driver of the ball
who ranks inside the top-10 on tour for strokes gained putting, there appear no
weaknesses in the Henley game.
• Rickie
Fowler isn’t firing on all cylinders but as a player who regards himself among
the world's best, maybe he's been gearing up to this event. Fowler was the
undoubted star of the 2009 Walker Cup at Merion, winning all four of his
matches, and although this is a higher level that experience of the layout must
surely count for something.
• Ryan
Moore finished sixth at Quail Hollow earlier this season and fifth a year
earlier, underlining his enjoyment of a classical test like Merion. A former US
Amateur winner, there's time yet for Moore to fulfil his undoubted potential
and that eye-catching effort last time provides a perfect platform for a run
here.
• Kyle
Stanley is a supremely talented player with a trio of top-six finishes from his
last six events including sixth at Quail Hollow. Last time out he was third at
Muirfield Village, ranking third in the all-around, and it was that effort
which squeezed him into this field via the Official World Golf Rankings.
Suggested
bets (one unit each)
Dustin
Johnson (win-E/W) $34 LOSE
Sergio
Garcia (win-E/W) $41 LOSE
Rickie
Fowler (win-E/W) $51 T10 ($5)
Ryan Moore
(top 25) $3 LOSE
Russell
Henley (top 25) $3.25 LOSE
Kyle
Stanley (top 25) $3.75 LOSE
Racing for
June 13
Horse
racing: Seymour (Vic – abandoned), Wyong (NSW), Toowoomba (Qld), Northam (WA). Harness
racing: Tamworth (NSW), Maryborough (Vic), Gold Coast (Qld), Swan Hill (Vic),
Penrith (NSW), Narrogin (WA). Greyhound
racing: Warragul (Vic), Dubbo (NSW), Geelong (Vic), Maitland (NSW), Albion Park
(Qld), Sandown Park (Vic), Angle Park (SA), Hobart (Tas), Dapto (NSW), Mandurah
(WA)
We may
have missed out yesterday but we’re sticking with the John O’Shea stable and
Nash Rawiller for today’s best bet of the day. With the Seymour meeting
abandoned as heavy rain drenches Victoria, it’s all eyes on Toowoomba, Northam
and Wyong, where #1 Cheers Browe will jump from barrier 3 in race 4, the WRC
Life Members Maiden Plate over 1600m. In seven
starts, he’s placed on five occasions including a run of three successive
runner-up finishes including a close-up second to Runhardasun at Canterbury
three weeks ago over 1550m. He’s yet to sight a track worse than dead (slow (7)
at Wyong today) but that’s the only knock on this 3yo Savabeel gelding.
Suggested
bet: Wyong R4 #1 Cheers Browe WIN (two units @ $2.60) LOSE (4th)
Other tips
Wyong R1 #7
Stylish Lad (E/W 1x4) 1st ($4.40/$1.20)
Wyong R5
#1 Leica Star (win) 1st ($4.00)
Toowoomba
R2 #1 Lotto Hill (win) 1st ($1.40)
Toowoomba
R3 #2 Spent (E/W) 3rd (NTD)
Toowoomba
R6 #7 Parafire (E/W) 1st ($4.60/$1.70)
Northam R5
#4 Strictly Boardroom (win) 1st ($1.60)
Northam R8
#10 Double Jester (win) 1st ($4.70)
Harness
racing tip: Nyah at Swan Hill R6 #1 Conflict of Interest (win) 1st ($1.60)
Greyhound
racing tip: Dapto R10 #2 Good Odds Demon (win) LOSE (3rd)
MLB for
June 13
New York
Yankees (37-27, 18-14 away) @ Oakland Athletics (39-27, 19-10 home), O.co
Coliseum, Oakland, CA, Thursday, June 13, 12.10pm
• Place a bet on the ‘head to head’ market for any MLB match and if your team is ahead coming into the 9th but lose the match, Centrebet will refund your first bet up to $100 cash!
The Oakland
Athletics are enjoying their longest home win streak in seven seasons as well
as their longest at home against the New York Yankees in 12 years. The
Athletics also have won seven of Dan Straily’s nine outings as they look to
extend both streaks here. The club is a major league-best 19-5 since May 17,
and its starters have gone 14-3 with an AL-best 2.53 ERA in that span including
a 1.37 ERA during this streak at home.
The
Yankees will go with Phil Hughes (3-4, 4.80) who ended a four-start winless
stretch on Saturday by allowing an unearned run over seven innings in a 6-1
victory at Seattle. Hughes’ best outing was a May 4 gem against the Athletics
in which he struck out nine over eight scoreless innings to earn a 4-2 victory.
The Yankees are 5-1 when he starts against Oakland even though he owns a 4.63
ERA in those outings.
Suggested
bet: Yankees WIN (two units @ $2.01) LOSE, game total -7.5 (two units @ $1.95) WIN (2-5)
Other tips
NL: Reds
WIN $1.85 @ Cubs WIN (2-1)
NL: Giants
@ Pirates -1.5 $2.13 WIN (8-12)
NL:
Cardinals -1.5 $1.87 @ Mets LOSE (1-5)
NL:
Brewers @ Marlins WIN $1.97 LOSE (10-1)
NL:
Nationals @ Rockies -11 $1.95 WIN (5-1)
AL: Angels
@ Orioles +9.5 $1.92 WIN (9-5)
AL: Tigers
@ Royals -7.5 $2.00 WIN (2-3)
AL:
Indians @ Rangers +10 $1.91 LOSE (5-2)
AL: Blue
Jays @ White Sox -1.5 $2.30 POSTPONED
AL: Astros
@ Mariners WIN $1.67 LOSE (6-1)
NHL
Stanley Cup Finals for June 13
Game 1:
Boston Bruins @ Chicago Blackhawks, United Center, Chicago, IL, Thursday, June
13, 10.10am
The
Chicago Blackhawks and Boston Bruins are bidding to secure their second title of
the decade when the two Original Six rivals open their Stanley Cup final series
at the United Center. Chicago, which won its last championship in 2010 with a
six-game triumph over the Philadelphia Flyers, began this season on a
sensational 24-game point streak (21-0-3) en route to recording the second
Presidents' Trophy in franchise history. Boston is vying for its second title
in three years, having defeated Vancouver in seven games in 2011.
While the
Bruins’ David Krejci boasts an NHL-leading nine goals and 21 points, the offensive
contributions from the team's defencemen cannot be overlooked. Blue-liner
Johnny Boychuk leads the pack with five goals, rookie Torey Krug has added four
and captain Zdeno Chara notched 11 points. Tuukka Rask (12-4, 1.75 GAA, .943 save percentage) recorded his first two post-season
shutouts in the Eastern Conference final.
Chicago’s Patrick
Kane broke out of his slump in a big way, scoring in Game 4 against the Kings
before his double-overtime winner completed a hat-trick in Game 5 to win the
Western Conference final. Corey Crawford (12-4, 1.74 GAA, .935 save
percentage) has silently put together solid numbers in net. We’re leaning to
the home side here – they are 7-1 in their last 8 versus Eastern Conference
teams and 9-1 at home during the postseason.
Suggested
bet: Blackhawks WIN (2.5 units @ $1.68) WIN, game total +5 (1.5 units @ $2.15) WIN (3-4)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
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