Sunday 2 June 2013

Daily tips for June 3



NRL (R12) for June 3

Brisbane Broncos v NZ Warriors, Suncorp Stadium, Monday, June 3, 7pm

After being thrashed 62-6 by the Panthers in the round 11, the Warriors staged a massive turnaround to beat the Knights 28-12 at home last weekend. The question now is whether they can go on with it and establish some consistency in their performances, and they have absolutely no excuses tonight against a severely undermanned Broncos outfit in ideal conditions (given their habit of performing poorly on the road when the conditions don’t suit).

The Broncos have also been up and down this season, but they've been in better form than the Warriors. They took a 5-5 record into last weekend’s game against the Bulldogs, but lost it 24-14. The best run the Broncos have had this season came in Rounds 5-7, when they won three straight against the Titans, Cowboys and Tigers, but they have lost three out of four since then. The Broncos have lost Justin Hodges, Sam Thaiday, Matt Gillett and Corey Parker to State of Origin duty for Queensland. Origin hasn’t affected the Warriors.

Suggested bet: Warriors WIN (three units @ $1.91) WIN (18-56)


AFL (R10) for June 3

West Coast v Richmond, Patersons Stadium, Monday, June 3, 7.40pm

The Tigers have beaten West Coast just once in the west over the past 12 years and that looks unlikely to change here as the ascendant Eagles host a Richmond side coming off its worst performance of the season to date. There’s a trend to sides under-performing after playing GWS (the Eagles beat the Giants by 100 points last week) and West Coast is yet to beat a side in the top eight this season.

Damien Hardwick will have a new-look forward line on show with Luke McGuane and Robin Nahas axed meaning recruit Aaron Edwards will almost certainly make his first start. Richmond ran Freo to the wire earlier this year, and we’re expecting a stern response to last week’s capitulation to Essendon. With our expected game total of 178-182, it’s hard to see this being a blowout so the Tigers should cover.

Suggested bet: Richmond +23.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN, game total -189.5 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (62-103)

Racing for June 3

Horse racing: Wodonga (Vic), Cessnock (NSW – abandoned), Dubbo (NSW), Northam (WA). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Globe Derby (SA), Maryborough (Vic), Menangle (NSW), Pinjarra (WA), Wagga (NSW). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Angle Park (SA), Ballarat (Vic), Bathurst (NSW), Bulli (NSW), Cranbourne (Vic), Launceston (Tas), Northam (WA), Shepparton (Vic)

The weekend trend of bog tracks continues today at Wodonga in north-east Victoria where the nine-race card will be run on a heavy (9). In contrast to yesterday’s program at Ballarat where we went with the proven ducks, today we’re on board with a runner well down in class on his previous starts. Just six horses will contest the Follow us @wodongaturfclub 0-68 HCP over 1600 metres (race 4) where #1 Littlebitaluck will jump from barrier 2 with Daniel Moor carrying 60kg. The 4yo gelding has been thereabouts in BM72 grade in his past two, including a last start fifth at Cranbourne behind metro-grade Cosentino. That form should be good enough for this bunch.

Suggested bet: Wodonga R4 #1 Littlebitaluck E/W (1x4) 2nd ($1.50)

Other tips

Wodonga R2 #6 Cashmia (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Wodonga R5 #1 Awesome Goal (E/W) 1st ($3.70/$1.20)
Wodonga R7 #10 Lachlan Lilly (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Dubbo R2 #2 Star of Dubai (win) LOSE (4th)
Northam R5 #6 World Domination (win) 1st ($2.00)

Harness racing tip: Albion Park R3 #1 Montana Tess (win) 1st ($1.80)
Greyhound racing tip: Shepparton R6 #8 Accelerant (win)

MLB for June 3

Boston Red Sox (34-23) @ New York Yankees (31-24), Yankee Stadium, New York, NY, Monday, June 3,

The Boston Red Sox are trying to create some breathing room atop the AL East. Clay Buchholz returns from a brief injury absence looking to become the first Red Sox starter to go 8-0 in five years in the conclusion of this three-game set with the slumping New York Yankees. Boston (34-23) regained a two-game lead in the East with an 11-1 victory Saturday after falling 4-1 in the series opener a day earlier. Sending Buchholz (7-0, 1.73 ERA), owner of the AL’s lowest ERA, to the mound should improve the team's chances of winning its second consecutive series at Yankee Stadium.

With the bats scuffling, New York could use another strong performance from Hiroki Kuroda (6-3, 2.39), who has won four straight home starts behind a 0.90 ERA. The right-hander was superb on the road Tuesday, striking out seven over seven scoreless innings against the Mets. He was in line for the win before Mariano Rivera faltered in the ninth inning of a 2-1 loss. Kuroda is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA in four starts against the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium, but he exited his most recent after being hit in the hand by a line drive early in April. He allowed two runs while hitting two batters in 1 1/3 innings opposite Buchholz.

Suggested bet: Game total -8 (2.5 units @ 1.87) WIN, Red Sox WIN (1.5 units @ $2.00) WIN (3-0)

Other tips

Giants @ Cardinals WIN LOSE (4-2)
Mariners @ Twins WIN WIN (0-10)
Brewers @ Phillies +8 WIN (5-7)
Tigers WIN @ Orioles LOSE (2-4)
Dodgers @ Rockies WIN WIN (2-7)
White Sox @ Athletics -7 WIN (0-2)
Mets @ Marlins +6.5 WIN (6-11)
Royals @ Rangers WIN WIN (1-3)
Nationals @ Braves WIN WIN (3-6)
Blue Jays @ Padres -8.5 LOSE (7-4)

NHL playoffs for June 3

Western Conference finals, game 1: Los Angeles Kings @ Chicago Blackhawks, United Center, Chicago, IL, Monday, June 3, 10.10am

The Chicago Blackhawks were able edge out the Los Angeles Kings in the series opener, and now will look to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the Western Conference finals when the two teams clash on the ice once again at the United Center. Jonathan Quick was the playoff MVP while leading the Kings to the franchise’s first Stanley Cup title last season, and he’s been the talk of this year's playoffs as well.

He entered this series with a 1.5 goals-against average and .948 save percentage in 13 playoff games while allowing more than two goals just twice. He was stellar again in Game 1 on Saturday, recording 17 of his 34 saves in the first period. The Kings had only two shots in the first 20 minutes but held a 1-0 lead as Justin Williams took advantage of a Chicago turnover for his fifth goal of the playoffs.

The Kings dropped to 1-6 on the road in the playoffs, with each defeat coming by a 2-1 score. Twelve of their 14 contests have been decided by one goal, while five of the Blackhawks’ 13 have been decided by that margin. The back-to-back games, which may fatigue both teams after they needed the full seven games last round to advance, is a necessity since the Rolling Stones are playing a third concert at the United Center tomorrow. We’re hoping the Kings can ‘paint it black’ here and make it 1-1.

Suggested bet: Kings WIN (1.5 units @ $2.22) LOSE, game total -5 (2.5 units @ $1.67) LOSE (2-4)

Other tips

ECF: Pittsburgh Pirates SERIES WIN

Note: no NBA playoff games are scheduled for today

* Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication

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