Thursday 27 June 2013

Daily tips for June 28



AFL (R14) for June 28

Sydney v Carlton, SCG, Friday, June 28, 7.50pm

John Longmire doesn’t strike you as the cheeriest bloke and his mood wouldn’t have been too chipper this week as the Swans picked through the detritus of a disastrous trip to AAMI Stadium, which included injury to Adam Goodes. Sydney looked all at sea in the wet and windy conditions, and they’ll face another quagmire here after record-breaking rainfall in the Harbour City over recent days and weeks.

The jury’s out on Carlton – while they’ve been competitive in each of their 12 starts this season (no losing margin of more than 17 points), they’re also yet to reach the heights of a top-four outfit and will be without skipper Marc Murphy. Having just been dislodged from the four, expect the Swans to respond emphatically here but the weather and state of the ground should help the Blues keep the margin within the three goals on offer.

Suggested bet: Carlton +18.5 LOSE, game total -162.5 WIN (65-43)

MLB for June 28

New York Mets (31-43, 17-20 away) @ Colorado Rockies (39-40, 23-17 home), Coors Field, Denver CO, Friday, June 28, 8.10am

Very little went right for the Colorado Rockies over their nine-game road trip. Michael Cuddyer, however, managed to get a hit in each of those contests. Cuddyer will try to establish a franchise record by hitting safely in 24 consecutive games Thursday when the Rockies host the New York Mets in this makeup game. The Rockies (39-40) are back home after a 2-7 trip that dropped them from one-half game out of first place in the NL West to three games back of division-leading Arizona. Cuddyer is 4 for 7 in two games against the Mets this year, but has never faced scheduled starter Jeremy Hefner (2-6, 3.89 ERA). The Mets (31-43) arrive in Denver to conclude an 11-game trip after going 6-4 with stops in Atlanta, Philadelphia and Chicago.

With the heavy travel, manager Terry Collins is expected to rest David Wright, holding him out of the starting line-up for just the second time. Former Met Tyler Chatwood (4-1, 2.22) is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA in six starts since being recalled from the minors. The right-hander gave up one run and four hits in six innings in a 2-1 loss to Washington on Friday, but didn't get a decision. In two career starts against the Mets, Chatwood has allowed seven hits and seven walks over 10 scoreless innings, going 1-0. Hefner permitted a season-high 10 hits Friday, but limited Philadelphia to three runs over six innings in a 4-3 victory. The right-hander has a 2.50 ERA over his last six starts.

Suggested bet: Rockies -1.5 (1.5 units @ $2.10) LOSE, game total -10.5 (2.5 units @ $1.95) WIN (3-2)

Other tips

AL: Rangers WIN $1.81 @ Yankees WIN (2-0)
AL: Angels WIN $2.35 @ Tigers WIN (3-1)
AL: Indians WIN $2.25 LOSE @ Orioles -9.5 $1.85 LOSE (3-7)
AL: Blue Jays WIN $2.55 @ Red Sox LOSE (4-7)
AL: Royals @ Twins WIN $1.75 WIN (1-3)
NL: Cubs @ Brewers WIN $1.83 LOSE (7-2)
NL: Phillies @ Dodgers +7.5 $1.95 WIN (4-6)

CFL (week 1) for June 28

Montreal Alouettes @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers, Investors Group Field, Winnipeg, MB, Friday, June 28, 11.10am


Seven months after the Grey Cup was handed out for the 100th time, the quest for Canadian Football's ultimate prize begins when the Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Montreal Alouettes at brand new Investors Group Field. After a year of waiting, the Bombers will finally open their new stadium and do so with Buck Pierce under centre. The club needs Pierce to stay healthy to return to the CFL playoffs. Backing him up are former No. 3 passer Justin Goltz and newcomers Chase Clement and Max Hall. There's strength at the skill positions with running backs Chad Simpson and Chris Garrett along with receivers Terrence Edwards and sophomore Chris Matthews. Two years ago, a rugged defence helped lead the Bombers to the Grey Cup. Head coach Tim Burke was the defensive coordinator then and a return to that form would also be paramount for Winnipeg to return to the CFL title game.

Dan Hawkins begins his first season as a CFL head coach having the unenviable task of following Marc Trestman, who led Montreal to a 59-31 regular-season record and two Grey Cup wins over five seasons before being hired as the Chicago Bears' head coach. One factor working in Hawkins' favour is veteran quarterback Anthony Calvillo. Pro football's all-time passing leader returns for a 20th CFL season and surpassed the 5000-yard plateau three times under Trestman. Newcomer Arland Bruce III should bolster a solid receiving corps already featuring 1000-yard veterans S.J. Green and Jamel Richardson. Questions exist at running back with incumbent Brandon Whitaker and newcomer Jerome Messam both returning from injury. Linebackers Shea Emery and Chip Cox, Montreal's 2012 tackling leaders, and defensive lineman leader John Bowman, who had a team-high seven sacks, are all back while free-agent cornerback Byron Parker should improve the secondary.

Suggested bet: Winnipeg +4 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE, game total +51 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (38-33)

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