Daily tips for June 15

AFL (R12) for June 15

Essendon v Gold Coast, Etihad Stadium, Saturday, June 15, 7.40pm

Place a bet on the “head to head” market in any AFL round 12 match and if your team scores 90 points or more but loses, Centrebet will refund your first bet up to $100 cash!

The Suns are the flavour of the week after their upset win over North Melbourne last week, and a win here would have them on the cusp of the top eight. As exciting a brand of football they’ve been playing in just their this season of AFL competition, it’s easy to get too far ahead in terms of expectations. A slog in the wet at Metricon Stadium is a very different proposition to a Dome clash against a side out to consolidate its top four status.

Essendon may have only managed a five-point win over Carlton last week (form franked last night after the Blues led for the majority of their clash against Hawthorn) but finished the game strongly – always a solid indicator for the following week. With Charlie Dixon out for Gold Coast, the Bombers will be able to further exert their height advantage and should dominate if they can win their share of footy out of the centre.

Suggested bets: Game total -188.5 (three units @ $1.88) WIN, Essendon -33.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (115-72)

Other tips

Richmond v Adelaide +17.5 LOSE, game total -184.5 WIN (110-72)

Fremantle v Brisbane +46.5 WIN, game total -166.5 WIN (86-46)

Racing for June 15

Horse racing: Moonee Valley (Vic), Rosehill (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Morphettville (SA), Belmont (WA), Gold Coast (Qld), Seymour (Vic), Newcastle (NSW), Rockhampton (Qld), Toowoomba (Qld), Darwin (NT), Broome (WA), Carnarvon (WA – abandoned), Queanbeyan (NSW – abandoned). Harness racing: Wagga (NSW), Menangle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Ballarat (Vic), Globe Derby (SA). Greyhound racing: The Gardens (NSW), Traralgon (Vic), Richmond (NSW), The Meadows (Vic), Wentworth Park (NSW), Cannington (WA).

Place a bet in any race at Ipswich this Saturday and if your horse runs second to the favourite, Centrebet will refund your first bet up to $100 cash!

Slow and heavy tracks are again the order of the day with the feature race of the day the listed $200,000 Channel 7 Ipswich Cup. Despite more than 50 mls of rain in Melbourne this week, today’s card at Moonee Valley will be run on a slow (6), and we’ll be keeping a close eye on race two, the Slickpix Hcp over 1200m. Trainer Peter Moody suits up #2 Mr Make Believe, and the 6yo gelding looks superbly placed here second-up. He won over 1000m on a dead (5) at Caulfield first-up but his best form has been on heavier tracks. Jake Duffy stays aboard and takes his 2kg claim here, while his charge jumps from barrier one which will have him well placed on the speed.

Suggested bet: Moonee Valley R2 #2 Mr Make Believe WIN (two units @ $2.35) LOSE (U/P)

Other tips

Moonee Valley R4 #3 Aliberani (E/W 1x4) 2nd ($1.40)

Moonee Valley R6 #10 Digitalism (E/W) 2nd ($1.50)

Moonee Valley R7 #1 Mr O’Ceirin (win) 1st ($3.50)

Rosehill R3 #7 Darciwood (win) LOSE (U/P)

Rosehill R5 #5 Nocturnelle (E/W 1x4) LOSE (U/P)

Rosehill R6 #9 Sessions (win) 1st ($2.30)

Rosehill R7 #11 Nothing Like Luca (win) 1st ($4.90)

Rosehill R8 #6 Destiny's Kiss (win) 1st ($3.20)

Ipswich R3 #6 Cape Kidnappers (win) 1st ($1.90)

Ipswich R5 #13 Rouvray (place) LOSE (4th)

Ipswich R7 #1 Voila Ici (win) LOSE (U/P)

Morphettville R4 #4 Mr Lowndes (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.50)

Morphettville R6 #9 Excell Shoes (E/W) LOSE (U/P)

Morphettville R8 #6 Juliet’s Princess (E/W) 1st ($4.70/$2.20)

Seymour R3 #3 Stay Ahead (win) 1st ($1.80)

Newcastle R3 #3 The Brok (win) LOSE (4th)

MLB for June 15

Detroit Tigers (36-28, 14-18 away) @ Minnesota Twins (29-34, 15-15 home), Target Field, Minneapolis, MN, Saturday, June 15, 10.10am

Rick Porcello has played a part in the Detroit Tigers’ streak of solid starts but will try to earn his first win over the Minnesota Twins in nearly two years in the opener of this three-game series. Detroit’s starters have allowed three runs or fewer in 18 of the last 19 games with Porcello (3-3, 4.86 ERA) pitching in three of those contests. The right-hander has been effective in most of his last eight starts as well, going 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA, and gave up two runs and three hits over six innings in a 6-4 win over Cleveland on Saturday.

Porcello has allowed three runs in all but one of those starts but the lone exception was against the Twins. Porcello surrendered five runs and 10 hits in five innings to them May 23 but his teammates helped him avoid a loss by rallying for a 7-6 victory. Porcello is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in his last four match-ups with Minnesota (29-34), winners in 11 of 18 and six of eight at home.

The Twins have dropped five of seven to the Tigers after winning two of three in the only meeting in Minnesota this season from April 1-4. Before its opening series in 2013, Detroit had won 15 of 19 road games against its AL Central rival. The Tigers will try to register another win in Minnesota by adding to Scott Diamond's recent woes. Diamond is 1/3 with a 7.26 ERA in his last six starts, and he gave up a career-high seven runs and 10 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 7-0 defeat in Washington on Sunday.

Suggested bet: Tigers WIN (three units @ $1.74) WIN, game total -9 (one unit @ $1.83) WIN (4-0)

Other tips

IL: Nationals @ Indians WIN $1.75 WIN (1-2)

AL: Red Sox @ Orioles WIN $1.92 WIN (0-2)

AL: Royals @ Rays -8 $1.87 LOSE (7-2)

AL: Blue Jays @ Rangers WIN $1.77 LOSE (8-0)

AL: White Sox @ Astros -7.5 $1.87 WIN (1-2)

NL: Brewers @ Reds -8.5 $1.80 WIN (3-4)

NL: Cubs @ Mets +7.5 $1.95 LOSE (6-3)

NL: Cardinals WIN $1.75 @ Marlins LOSE (4-5)

NL: Phillies WIN $2.02 @ Rockies WIN (8-7)

NL: Diamondbacks @ Padres WIN $1.83 WIN (1-2)

Note: no NBA or NHL Finals games scheduled today

* Prices with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication