Thursday, 2 January 2014

Daily tips for January 3


What’s on today



Not too many folks in my part of the world are hockey fans, but hopefully a few were converted after watching a world record crowd at yesterday’s Winter Classic (pictured above); there’s a big 10-game NHL slate on offer today for those seeking another dose of the greatest show on ice; there’s just one College Football bowl game scheduled but it features two of the most storied programs in the game – Oklahoma and Alabama – battling for the Allstate Sugar Bowl title; the NBA slate shows seven games with one for the masochists: Milwaukee @ Utah! I’ll also have racing and A-League previews during the day; GL punters!


A-League (round 13) for January 3

Adelaide United (3-4-5, 13 points) v Sydney FC (6-0-6, 18 points), Coopers Stadium, Adelaide, Friday, January 3, 7.30pm


Adelaide have breathed new life into their season (and released some of the pressure on coach Josep Gombau) with seven points from their past three matches including last weekend’s spiteful 1-0 win over Newcastle. What's more impressive though is they have managed to keep a clean sheet in all of those matches and they have looked a far more resolute outfit. They do have some injury worries heading into this one though, with Osama Malik (ankle) and Marcelo Carrusca (groin) both in serious doubt, while Jeronimo Neumann is suspended. But winger Fabio Ferreira is a chance to return. With a host of key players out of the side (or at least not 100 per cent fit) Adelaide's depth is going to be severely tested at a time where they need to continually picking up points. But the return of Bruce Djite (pictured) provides a real focal point to the Adelaide attack and his ability to hold up the ball and bring others into the game is vitally important. Djite is starting to find his range in front of goal too – his strike against the Jets was his second for the campaign.

After a four-game winning streak a few weeks back, Sydney are suddenly in freefall after three defeats from their past four matches. The Sky Blues were blown away by league leaders Brisbane last time out, crushed 5-2 on their home turf at Allianz Stadium. Skipper Alessandro Del Piero lasted only 45 minutes of that match but is expected to be right to face the Reds. Joel Chianese is a chance to return from injury while youngster Corey Gamiero is pushing for a starting berth after two strong performances off the bench in the last fortnight. Once again under pressure as a coach, Frank Farina needs to find a way to re-energise his side after they looked horribly tired and slow in the defeat to the Roar. It might have had something to do with the fact the average age of the side was more than 30, the oldest team in Sydney FC's history. While the experience of the likes Del Piero, Brett Emerton, Richard Garcia and Matt Thompson is important, it might be an idea to get a few more youngsters in the team to add the pace and spark needed.

Confirmed bet

Adelaide United v Sydney FC +2.5 (one unit @ $1.72) WIN (2-2)

Lean

Adelaide United WIN $1.95 v Sydney FC LOSE (2-2)


Racing for January 3


Horse racing: Wangaratta (Vic), Tamworth (NSW), Rockhampton (Qld), Taree (NSW), Esperance (WA), Cranbourne (Vic – night). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Bankstown (NSW), Gloucester Park (WA), Melton (Vic), Parkes (NSW), Port Pirie (SA). Greyhound racing: Geelong (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Ipswich (Qld), Mount Gambier (SA), The Gardens (NSW), Traralgon (Vic), Wagga (NSW), Wentworth Park (NSW), Mandurah (WA).


Normally it’s rain that threatens the running of race meetings but Racing Queensland stewards have an emergency plan in place should predicted temperatures eventuate at the Gold Coast and Ipswich race meetings on Saturday. Temperatures as high as 45C are forecast for Ipswich, where the second south-east Queensland meeting will be held on Saturday. The prediction is for temperatures in the mid- to high-30s on the Gold Coast for the Goldmarket meeting. Chief steward Wade Birch said stewards would use a water bulb to check the humidity remained at an acceptable level. A review would be undertaken on Saturday morning and if necessary, horses would be allowed to arrive on course later and also have a delayed entry into the mounting enclosure.

Confirmed bets

Taree R9 #2 Cracker Night (win) 1st ($2.50)
Tamworth R6 #3 Watt Luck (win) 1st ($1.80)
Tamworth R8 #1 Sharp Note (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Wangaratta R1 #5 Basic Model (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.40)

Leans

Taree R6 #3 Leo’s Spirit (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($2.60)
Taree R7 #5 Overshadows (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($1.85)
Tamworth R1 #7 Subtlety (win) LOSE (2nd)
Tamworth R7 #1 Snip Of Magic (win) 1st ($1.85)
Wangaratta R5 #8 Speedastro (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Wangaratta R6 #10 Steel Brom (E/W 1x3) 3rd ($1.70)
Rockhampton R3 #3 King Ray (win) LOSE (4th)
Rockhampton R5 # #1 That’s Pops (E/W 1x4) 2nd ($1.50)

Harness racing tip: Melton R8 #3 Ifu Seek Flight (win) 
Greyhound racing tip: Mandurah R3 #6 Uno Reltub (win)


• Tip’s for tonight’s Cranbourne meeting will follow later in the day

NHL for January 3


Montreal Canadiens (23-14-4, 50 points) @ Dallas Stars (20-12-7, 47 points), American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX, Friday, January 3, 12.40pm


Erik Cole’s recent performances are a big reason why the Dallas Stars have kept their lengthy point streak going. Their next opponent knows all too well how potent a scoring threat he can be. The winger (pictured) had one of his best seasons while with the Montreal Canadiens and will try to help send his former club to a third consecutive defeat here. Cole scored two goals with the game-winner for the second time in three games in a 3-2 victory over Los Angeles on Tuesday. Tyler Seguin contributed his team-high 20th goal and an assist as Dallas (20-12-7) improved to 5-0-2 in its last seven and 2-0-1 on a five-game homestand. The Stars’ overall point streak is its longest since an 11-gamer from February 21-March 13, 2012. Seguin and Cole had power-play goals, marking the first time the Stars have scored twice with the man advantage since October 11. Dallas, which was 3 for 63 on the power play in its first 17 home games, is 4 for 17 in its last four overall after previously converting at an 11.2 per cent clip.

Cole took advantage of his chances in his relatively brief time with Montreal (23-14-4). After signing a four-year deal in July 2011, he set a career high with 35 goals and matched another with 61 points. The Canadiens shipped him to Dallas on February 26. The Canadiens haven’t visited Dallas since a 5-2 loss on December 21, 2010, and they return to close their longest road trip of the season. They’ve gone 2-2-1 thus far as their usually stingy defence has faltered, allowing 18 goals. Montreal is among the best defensive teams in the league with 2.22 goals allowed per game but have given up a combined nine in back-to-back losses. The Canadiens led 3-0 at Carolina on Tuesday after soon-to-be U.S. Olympian Max Pacioretty’s second goal, but they fell 5-4 in overtime. Montreal scored twice on the power play after going 3 for 35 in the previous 12 games. The Canadiens, though, let the Hurricanes have 10 power plays, and two resulted in goals in the third period. Carey Price made 26 saves to outduel Kari Lehtonen in the last meeting with Dallas.

Confirmed bets

Edmonton Oilers @ San Jose Sharks -1.5 (one unit @ $2.15) WIN (1-5)
Winnipeg Jets @ Ottawa Senators WIN $1.80 WIN (3-4)
Chicago Blackhawks WIN NT @ New York Islanders (one unit @ $1.82) LOSE (2-3)
Montreal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars +5 $1.74 WIN (6-4)
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Phoenix Coyotes TT +2.5 (one unit @ $1.64) LOSE (2-0)


Leans

Nashville Predators @ Boston Bruins -1.5 $2.70 LOSE (2-3)
Winnipeg Jets @ Ottawa Senators -5.5 (one unit @ $1.83) LOSE (3-4)
Carolina Hurricanes @ Washington Capitals +5.5 $2.00 WIN (4-3)
Los Angeles Kings WIN $2.13 @ St Louis Blues LOSE (0-5)
Philadelphia Flyers @ Colorado Avalanche WIN $1.80 WIN (1-2)
Montreal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars WIN (one unit @ $1.74) LOSE (6-4)
Edmonton Oilers @ San Jose Sharks +5.5 $1.91 WIN (1-5)


Cricket (Ashes Series) for January 3-7


Fifth Test: Australia v England, SCG, Sydney, Friday, January 3, 10.30am


Firstly, a shout-out to my good mate Bruce Eva and the team at Fairfax Radio for their coverage of this series. For (too) long the domain of the ABC, the addition of a new player in this space was long overdue. Many of us spend a disproportionate amount of time in the car at this time of year so we rely on the radio for coverage of the summer’s cricket. The Fairfax team has been a breath of fresh air, and kudos for liberating Henry Calthorpe Blofeld from the clutches of that bore-a-torium Jim Maxwell. So on to Sydney where England arrive a broken and battered team looking to avoid their second 5-0 whitewash in three Ashes tours of Australia. It could so easily have been quite a different result. Dropped catches at crucial moments, soft dismissals, mid-tour departures … take Melbourne where England was well ahead of the game, at one stage leading by 116 runs with all 10 second-innings wickets in hand. Barely a day later they had lost by eight wickets. In many ways it was the most damaging, dispiriting defeat of the tour.

What that game did show, though, was a definite lessening of the intensity that saw Australia romp home in the first three Tests. They should still win this fifth game to complete the whitewash - if they can’t get the job done themselves, it looks fair to assume England will help them out along the way. The home side was hopeful of naming the same XI for a fifth consecutive Test, which in a large part explains their success in the series. There are doubts over the fitness of Shane Watson and Ryan Harris. Watson picked up a groin injury in the win in Melbourne while Harris suffers from a chronic knee problem. Harris has never made it through a five-Test series before so if he does turn up it is a superb achievement. Alex Doolan, the uncapped Tasmania batsman, has been called up as a potential replacement for Watson. Nathan Coulter-Nile and the bookies’ favourite James Faulkner stand by in case Harris does not make it.

Confirmed bets

Australia WIN v England (one unit @ $1.70)

Leans

Australia most runs (1st innings) David Warner $4.25
England most runs (1st innings) Kevin Pietersen $4.50

NBA for January 3

Golden State Warriors (20-13, 9-9 away) @ Miami Heat (24-7, 14-2 home), AmericanAirlines Arena, Miami, FL, Friday, January 4, 11.40am


The Golden State Warriors have put together a nice six-game winning streak during a lengthy road trip that lands in Miami here. The Warriors took the first two of a seven-game trip and are enjoying their longest winning streak in six years while thriving at the defensive end. But Golden State will need to be at its best at that end against the Heat, who have won eight of nine and are returning home after a four-game trip. The Warriors do not get a lot of credit for their defense but are one of the best in the league at limiting opponents. Golden State has gotten some strong performances from Stephen Curry during its winning streak and leaned on the interior and the bench in a 94-81 victory in Orlando on Tuesday. Andrew Bogut and David Lee provide a match-up issue for the Heat, and the Warriors figure to use their advantage on the inside.

Miami will test that defence with a healthy LeBron James, who returned from a one-game absence due to a groin injury and put up 26 points and 10 assists in 40 minutes at Denver on Monday. James returned but Dwyane Wade went down with back spasms against the Nuggets and is considered day-to-day. Miami has been cautious with Wade all season and the team is used to playing without the All-Star, especially if Chris Bosh can maintain his current level of play. The veteran forward was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Week on Monday after putting up 22.3 points and eight rebounds in four games, and followed it up with 17 points on 8-of-12 shooting in Monday’s 97-94 triumph that closed out a 3-1 trip. The road team is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these sides while the ‘over’ is 7-3 in the past 10 games in Miami. The Heat should cover the five-point line but I like the ‘under’ with Miami undermanned the Warriors defence performing well.

Confirmed bets

Golden State Warriors @ Miami Heat -205.5 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (123-114)
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs +202 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (105-101)
Brooklyn Nets @ Oklahoma City Thunder -12 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (95-93)

Leans

Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers +196 $1.91 LOSE (81-87)
Boston Celtics @ Chicago Bulls -183 $1.91 WIN (82-94)
Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns -5.5 $1.91 LOSE (99-91)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz -5.5 $1.91 WIN (87-96)
Charlotte Bobcats +11.5 @ Portland Trail Blazers LOSE (104-134)
Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings +216.5 $1.91 WIN (113-104)

College Football for January 3


Allstate Sugar Bowl: 11 Oklahoma Sooners (10-2, 7-2 Big 12) v 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1, 7-1 SEC), Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA, Friday, January 3, 12.30pm


There might be just one College Football bowl game scheduled today, but it’s one of the more intriguing match-ups across the schedule. Alabama’s chances to play for a third consecutive national championship were dashed on the final play of the regular season, so an obvious question is whether the third-ranked Crimson Tide will suffer a major letdown when they face No. 11 Oklahoma in the Allstate Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. A stunning 109-yard kickoff return by bitter rival Auburn as time expired in the regular-season finale derailed Alabama's three-peat hopes and now the team must regroup for the match-up with the twice-beaten Sooners. It will be the five-year anniversary of The Crimson Tide's last visit to the Sugar Bowl, when they were waxed by Utah after their perfect season ended against Florida in the SEC Championship game. Despite the string of success under Stoops that includes a dozen 10-win seasons since 2000, Alabama's Nick Saban has four national championships under his belt. One of them came at the expense of Oklahoma, when Saban guided LSU to a 21-14 victory over the Sooners in the Sugar Bowl in 2003.

Oklahoma is a decided underdog after losing to Texas and getting mauled by Baylor, but it finished the season on a high note, registering a last-minute victory at arch-rival Oklahoma State. The Sooners will be making their 15th consecutive bowl appearance under coach Bob Stoops. He must still decide on a starting quarterback versus Alabama – the options being senior Blake Bell and redshirt freshman Trevor Knight. The Tebow-esque Bell, nicknamed the Belldozer, started eight games and was superb in rallying the Sooners past Oklahoma State when Knight went down with a shoulder injury. Knight, however, is a dual threat and Alabama’s defense surrendered its two highest point totals against similar-style QBs for Texas A&M and Auburn. The Crimson Tide have no such question marks under center with senior A.J. McCarron, the Maxwell Award winner and runner-up in the Heisman Trophy balloting. McCarron threw for 26 TDs against only five interceptions this season. Alabama features a stellar defence that ranked No. 2 nationally, allowing 11.7 points per game and holding nine of 12 opponents to 10 points or fewer.

Confirmed bet

Oklahoma Sooners v Alabama Crimson Tide -51.5 (one unit @ $1.91)

Lean

Oklahoma Sooners v Alabama Crimson Tide 1H -9.5 $1.91

• Selections are listed in three categories – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips, but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT); prices with thanks to Centrebet (except where markets are not available), correct at time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your gambling to control you.

Wednesday, 1 January 2014

Daily tips for January 2


What’s on today

I trust everyone had a safe and enjoyable New Year’s Eve and you’re ready to put another beating on the books! My EPL selections for this morning’s games are posted here along with a tip for the NHL Winter Classic as Detroit and Toronto go to battle in The Big House; it’s also a huge day of College Football bowl games highlighted by the Rose Bowl featuring Stanford and Michigan State; there’ll be more to come throughout the day; GL punters!


Racing for January 2

Horse racing: Geelong (Vic – turf; heavy 8), Wyong (NSW – good 3), Dalby (Qld – good 3), Murray Bridge (SA – good 3), Sapphire Coast (NSW – dead 4), Geraldton (WA – good 3). Harness racing: Newcastle (NSW), Redcliffe (Qld), Charlton (Vic), Penrith (NSW), Ballarat (Vic). Greyhound racing: Warragul (Vic), Dubbo (NSW), Shepparton (Vic), Maitland (NSW), Warrnambool (Vic), Sandown Park (Vic), Angle Park (SA), Hobart (Tas), Dapto (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Mandurah (WA).

Confirmed bets

Geelong R7 #2 Cadel Triomphe (win) LOSE (U/P)
Wyong R1 #7 Salvaged (win) 3rd (NTD)
Sapphire Coast R5 #1 Grey Drama (E/W) 2nd ($3.30)
Dalby R5 #5 Seen (win) 1st ($1.50)

Leans

Geelong R4 #1 Coronation Benny (win) 1st ($2.50)
Geelong R5 #3 Sweet As Bro (E/W 1x2) 2nd ($1.60)
Wyong R3 #9 Commanding Wit (win) 1st ($2.20)
Sapphire Coast R4 #1 Girls Own (win) LOSE (U/P)
Sapphire Coast R6 #1 Alerted (E/W 1x2) LOSE (4th)
Dalby R3 #5 Lots Of Merit (E/W 1x3) 2nd ($1.50)
Murray Bridge R1 #4 Demaruga Star (win) LOSE (3rd)


College Football (late games) for January 2


Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio: 5 Stanford Cardinal (11-2, 7-2 Pac-12) v 4 Michigan State Spartans (12-1, 8-0 Big Ten), Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA, Thursday, January 2, 9.10am



The 100th edition of the Rose Bowl Game features Michigan State’s first appearance in the game in 26 years. The Spartans have already set a school record for victories but the achievement will feel even better if the fourth Rose Bowl win in program history is the topper. Stanford, playing in a BCS bowl for the fourth straight season and making its 14th Rose Bowl appearance, dispatched of Wisconsin in last year’s contest in Pasadena. The defenses are expected to set the tone as Michigan State leads the nation in total defence (247.8) and Stanford ranks 14th (339). The Spartans also lead the nation in rushing defence (80.8) and the Cardinal excel at pounding standout running back Tyler Gaffney (1618 yards, 20 touchdowns) between the tackles. Stanford ranks third at stopping the run (91.2) and is tied for the national lead with 40 sacks. In a contest featuring hard-nosed play in the trenches, some top-notch athletes like Stanford receiver/returner Ty Montgomery and Michigan State cornerback Darqueze Dennard could shine. Montgomery caught 58 passes for 937 yards and 10 touchdowns and averaged 31.2 yards and scored two touchdowns on kickoff returns. Dennard (four interceptions) is the consensus top defensive back in the nation after winning the Thorpe Award.

Confirmed bet

5 Stanford Cardinal v 4 Michigan State Spartans +42 (one unit @ $1.95) WIN (20-24)



Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: UCF Knights (11-1, 8-0 American) v Baylor Bears (11-1, 8-1 Big 12), University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ, Thursday, January 2, 12.30pm


Fifth-ranked Baylor brings the nation’s top attack (53.3 points per game) into the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl but No. 15 Central Florida is no offensive slouch. The Knights average 33.2 points behind quarterback Blake Bortles, who ranks ninth nationally in passing efficiency with 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Bears quarterback Bryce Petty, who has thrown 30 touchdowns against two interceptions while rushing for 11 scores, ranks second in pass efficiency. Both teams are making their first appearance in a BCS bowl. Baylor had national championship aspirations until getting blitzed at Oklahoma State 49-17 on November 23, while Central Florida finished the season on an eight-game win streak to earn the American Athletic Conference’s automatic BCS bid. While Central Florida boasts an outstanding running back duo in Storm Johnson (1015 yards, 14 total touchdowns, 5.3 yards per carry, 29 catches) and William Stanback (six rushing scores), Baylor features a dangerous trio in Lache Seastrunk (1060 yards, 11 rushing TDs), Shock Linwood (862, eight) and Glasco Martin (490, six). Seastrunk missed nearly three games with a groin injury but returned on November 30, running for 172 yards in season-ending victories over Texas Christian and Texas.


Confirmed bet

UCF Knights +17.5 v Baylor Bears (one unit @ $1.87) WIN (52-42)

Lean

UCF Knights v Baylor Bears +73.5 $1.91 WIN (52-42)


NBA for January 2

Charlotte Bobcats (14-18, 6-8 away) @ Los Angeles Clippers (21-12, 13-3 home), STAPLES Center (pictured), Los Angeles, CA, Thursday, January 2, 1.40pm



Here’s a theory that many of my NBA betting colleagues believe holds true on New Year’s Day. Highly paid and pampered NBA stars are more than happy to party hard while watching the new year arrive, and their performances suffer accordingly the next day. As such, the sharp picks point to ‘unders’ right across the board of five games. But the one game that looks to have total posted a little low (193) is the battle of the Bobcats and Clippers in Los Angeles. The first-place Clippers seek their sixth straight victory over the Charlotte Bobcats, who will try to avoid a 17th consecutive road loss to a Western Conference opponent here. LA’s five-game winning streak at home ended as Phoenix closed to within a half-game of the Pacific Division leaders with a 107-88 victory on Monday. The Clippers committed 20 turnovers and shot a season-worst 36.5 per cent, losing for the third time in four games overall. They had averaged 110.6 points and 46.4 per cent shooting in their previous five home games.

After allowing the Suns to shoot 48.2 per cent with 12 three-pointers, Los Angeles may be able to tighten things up against a Charlotte team that ranks near the bottom of the league with 92.5 points per game, a 42.1 field-goal percentage and a 32.5 mark from three-point range. While the Bobcats (14-18) have improved this season, they’re looking to avoid a season-worst fourth straight loss after dropping their first two on a season-high five-game trip. Charlotte’s last six losses have come by an average of 3.3 points, but it’s lost 16 consecutive road games to West foes by a 19.2 margin dating to last season. The Bobcats fell to 0-4 against the West this season after Utah’s Trey Burke made a go-ahead layup with 19 seconds left in Monday’s 83-80 loss. Gerald Henderson has played well with 22.5 points and 14.5 rebounds per game in his last four on the road. For the first time in franchise history, the Clippers are heading into New Year’s Day without a losing streak of more than two games in a full season.

Confirmed bets

New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves -212 (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (112-124)
Charlotte Bobcats @ Los Angeles Clippers +193 $1.91 WIN (85-112)

Leans

Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards -1.5 $1.91 LOSE (87-78)
Indiana Pacers @ Toronto Raptors -190 $1.91 WIN (82-95)
Philadelphia 76ers +9 $1.91 @ Denver Nuggets WIN (114-92)
Charlotte Bobcats +11 @ Los Angeles Clippers (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (85-112)


College Football (early games) for January 2


Taxslayer.com Gator Bowl: Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-4, 5-3 Big Ten) v 22 Georgia Bulldogs (8-4, 5-3 SEC), Everbank Field, Jacksonville, FL, Thursday, January 2, 4am


Georgia and Nebraska have been mirror images, making it appropriate the two schools meet for the second time in a year in the Gator Bowl. The Bulldogs downed the Cornhuskers in the Capital One Bowl last season, but both teams will be without the record-setting quarterbacks who appeared in that game. Georgia’s Aaron Murray tore his ACL in late November while Nebraska’s Taylor Martinez missed most of the season with a foot injury. With the QB roles likely to be minimised (Hutson Mason for Georgia and either Ron Kellogg III or Tommy Armstrong Jr. for Nebraska), the Bulldogs’ Todd Gurley and the Cornhuskers’ Ameer Abdullah figure to show their wares as two of the nation’s top running backs. Gurley closed the season by gouging Georgia Tech for 122 yards on the ground and four total touchdowns while Abdullah ranks 7th in the country in rushing. Nebraska and Georgia are among the most frequent visitors to the post-season in college football history. The Cornhuskers will celebrate their 50th bowl-game appearance (only Alabama and Texas have more) against the Bulldogs, who will appear in their 49th bowl game.

Confirmed bet

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Georgia Bulldogs -59.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (24-19)

Heart of Dallas Bowl presented by Plainscapital Bank: UNLV Rebels (7-5, 5-3 MW) v North Texas Mean Green (8-4, 6-2 C-USA), Cotton Bowl, Dallas TX, Thursday, January 2, 4am


When its comes to the two most unlikely teams to be playing in a New Year's Day bowl game, you’d be hard-pressed to beat UNLV and North Texas. Both teams combined to win a total of just six games a year ago and the Rebels entered the season following back-to-back-to-back two-win campaign. Both teams also overcame slow starts – UNLV began 0-2 while North Texas started 2-3 – to end long bowl droughts and wind up playing at the Cotton Bowl on one of college football's most sacred days. The Mean Green play a short drive north up I-35 in Denton, Texas and is making its first bowl appearance since 2004 when it lost the last of four consecutive New Orleans Bowls to Southern Mississippi, 31-10. UNLV is playing in its first bowl game since 2000 when it upset Arkansas in the Las Vegas Bowl, 31-14. The Rebels lead the all-time series with the Mean Green, 4-0, and won the last meeting in 2000 in Las Vegas, 38-0. Watch for UNLV QB Caleb Herring. He passed for 2522 yards and 22 touchdowns and was intercepted just four times.

Confirmed bet

UNLV Rebels +7.5 v North Texas Mean Green (one unit @ $1.91) LOSE (14-36)

Lean

UNLV Rebels v North Texas Mean Green -54.5 WIN (14-36)

Outback Bowl: Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4, 5-3 Big Ten) v 16 LSU Tigers (9-3, 5-3 SEC), Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL, Thursday, January 2, 5am


The spotlight here will be on freshman quarterback Anthony Jennings when LSU meets Iowa in the Outback Bowl. Jennings will make his first career start in replacing Zach Mettenberger, who suffered a torn ACL in the Tigers' 31-27 victory over Arkansas on November 29 in their regular-season finale. The Tigers averaged a potent 37 points with Mettenberger at the controls and their 200.8 rushing yards per game could be a big help to Jennings. Jeremy Hill ran for 1185 yards and 14 touchdowns. Meanwhile Iowa is riding a three-game winning streak including victories over Michigan and Nebraska and wound up second in the Big Ten's Legends Division behind Rose Bowl-bound Michigan State. The Hawkeyes boast the No. 7 defence in the country at 303.2 yards per game – 11th against the pass (182.4) and 17th versus the run (120.8). LSU won its last two games over Mississippi State and Texas A&M to finish third in the SEC West Division behind Auburn and Alabama. The only previous meeting occurred on January 1, 2005 when Drew Tate threw a 56-yard touchdown pass to Warren Holloway as time expired to lift the Hawkeyes to a 30-25 victory in the Capital One Bowl.

Confirmed bet

Iowa Hawkeyes v 16 LSU Tigers -48 (two units @ $1.91) WIN (14-21)

Capital One Bowl: 19 Wisconsin Badgers (9-3, 5-2 Big Ten) v 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2, 6-2 SEC), Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, FL, Thursday, January 2, 5am


The last time South Carolina DE Jadeveon Clowney played in a bowl game, he became a national sensation based on one brutal hit. The Gamecocks star will try to provide another highlight in possibly his last college game when the Gamecocks face Wisconsin. The Badgers had a six-game winning streak snapped in the regular-season finale and are stepping back after three straight trips to the Rose Bowl. Clowney is a likely top-five draft pick should he choose to leave school after his junior season and is hoping to help South Carolina to a third straight bowl win over a Big Ten School. The Gamecocks ended the regular season with five straight victories, including wins over top-10 opponents Missouri and Clemson. QB Connor Shaw passed for 21 touchdowns and just one interception during the regular season. Wisconsin finished second in the Big Ten Leaders Division, robbing it of a chance to make a fourth straight trip to the Rose Bowl as champion of the Big Ten. The Badgers rely on a strong running game and tight defense led by a pair of backs – Melvin Gordon (1466) and James White (1337) – who combined for 25 touchdowns on the ground.

Confirmed bet

19 Wisconsin Badgers v 9 South Carolina Gamecocks +51 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (24-34)

NHL for January 2

Toronto Maple Leafs (20-16-5, 45 points) @ Detroit Red Wings (18-14-9, 45 points), Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI, Thursday, January 2, 5.10am


As the novelty of playing hockey outdoors seems to be wearing off, the NHL is hoping bigger is better at the Winter Classic. The league has been playing at least one game outdoors annually since 2008 (other than last season because of the lockout). Six games are scheduled to be played in the elements this season. With a lot more fans and two Original Six teams, including one from Canada for the first time, the NHL is confident the 2014 Winter Classic will be different. The league said 105,500 tickets have been sold for the game Wednesday between the Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs at Michigan Stadium. That almost doubles the average of 53,045 spectators who watched the first five Winter Classics. If every person who paid for a ticket braves temperatures in the teens on a snowy afternoon, a record will be broken. In the same football stadium, known as the Big House, Michigan and Michigan State set a hockey attendance record of 104,173 in 2010.

A lot of snow, though, and 15 km/h wind could become a problem for the Red Wings and Maple Leafs, who enter the game tied in the Eastern Conference standings with 45 points halfway through their seasons. Toronto has lost seven of its last 11 (4-5-2) while Detroit has dropped eight in that span (3-6-2). Despite his team’s struggles, Maple Leafs captain Dion Phaneuf has every reason to smile after signing a seven-year contract extension worth $49 million this week. Phil Kessel scored twice to reach the 20-goal plateau for the sixth straight season as Toronto skated to a 5-2 victory over reeling Carolina on Sunday. Phaneuf, who scored against the Hurricanes, also tallied in Toronto’s 5-4 shootout loss to Detroit on December 21. RW Daniel Alfredsson scored the shootout-winning goal. The veteran tested his back on Tuesday but left his availability in doubt as he exited without speaking to reporters. Detroit goalie Jimmy Howard will join Los Angeles’ Jonathan Quick and Buffalo’s Ryan Miller as goaltenders for Team USA in the 2014 Winter Olympics next month.

Confirmed bet

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Detroit Red Wings +5 (one unit @ $1.83) PUSH (3-2)

Leans

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Detroit Red Wings WIN $1.80 LOSE (3-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vancouver Canucks WIN NT $2.00 LOSE (4-2)

EPL for January 2


Manchester United (10-4-5, 34 points) v Tottenham Hotspur (10-4-5, 34 points), Old Trafford, Manchester, England, Thursday, January 2, 4.30am


Perception is a funny thing. Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur both lie on 34 points in sixth and seventh spots respectively and are perceived to be in the midst of disappointing seasons. Both lie just one win out of the top four and within just eight points of leaders Arsenal but I’d rather be riding the Red Devils bandwagon at this point. In the immediate aftermath of their 2-2 draw at White Hart Lane, Manchester United lost successive home league games in the most difficult days yet under David Moyes' management. But six wins in a row since then have lifted the gloom to the extent that many see them as genuine title challengers again. It is their best winning run since a six-match streak in August-September 2012, which ended – coincidentally – with a 3-2 loss at home to Tottenham.  As the momentum builds, there seems to be a change in Moyes. On Boxing Day at Hull he was the most animated he's been yet as United boss. Danny Welbeck (pictured) has scored four goals and assisted one in his past four EPL appearances.

It was a dull December for United compared to Spurs’ month. After that 2-2 draw they won their next two games, and yet one thumping by Liverpool later it was all change at the Lane. Tim Sherwood is now manager, but he’s started well. Spurs have the chance here to go four games unbeaten for the first time this season.  They’ll be buoyed by winning their past three away league games and boasting the third-best away record in the Premier League this season. Spurs won this fixture 3-2 last season, claiming their first victory at Manchester United since December 16, 1989. The victory ended a winless run of 26 games (D4, L22) away to the Red Devils. Since then the sides have drawn twice at White Hart Lane, meaning Tottenham are unbeaten in their past three against United. Tottenham have also scored seven goals in their past three EPL games, as many as they managed in their final seven top-flight matches under Andre Villas-Boas. The 3-0 win against Stoke was Spurs’ biggest EPL victory since beating Aston Villa 4-0 on Boxing Day 2012.

Confirmed bets

Manchester United WIN v Tottenham Hotspur (one unit @ $1.80) LOSE (1-2)
Arsenal -1.5 v Cardiff City (one unit @ $2.08) WIN (2-0)
Crystal Palace WIN v Norwich City (one unit @ $2.40) LOSE (1-1)
Swansea City v Manchester City WIN (one unit @ $1.73) WIN (2-3) 
Southampton (double chance) v Chelsea (one unit @ $1.70) LOSE (0-3)

Leans

Swansea City v Manchester City (to nil) $3.10 LOSE (2-3)
Fulham v West Ham United -2.5 $2.10 LOSE (2-1)
Liverpool v Hull City +3.5 $2.50 LOSE (2-0)
Stoke City v Everton -2.5 $1.67 WIN (1-1)
Sunderland v Aston Villa (double chance) $1.70 WIN (0-1)
West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United WIN $2.85 LOSE (1-0)
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur +2.5 $1.62 WIN (1-2)

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