Note: Bets are now listed in three categories on
the Last at Cannington blog – 1) Suggested (likely bet but yet to be
finalised); 2) Confirmed (locked in at the price listed); and 3) Leans (tips,
but not recommended bets); all times quoted are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
Horse racing: Scone
(NSW), Swan Hill (Vic), Cowra (NSW). Harness racing: Albion Park (Qld), Globe Derby (SA), Horsham (Vic), Tamworth (NSW), Gloucester Park (WA). Greyhound racing: Albion Park (Qld), Bendigo (Vic), Launceston (Tas), Nowra (NSW), Angle Park (SA), Ballarat (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Shepparton (Vic), Bathurst (NSW), Northam (WA).
Scone R1 #2 Scarlatti (win) 1st ($1.70)
Leans
Cowra R5 #1 Double Night (E/W) 3rd (NTD)
Edmonton Oilers (3-8-1, 7pts) @ Los Angeles Kings
(7-4-0), 14pts), STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA. Monday, October 28, 12.10pm
The Oilers (3-8-1) are coming off back-to-back
regulation losses, including a 5-4 defeat in Phoenix on Saturday. Edmonton
erased a two-goal deficit and took a 4-3 lead on Ryan Jones’ goal 7:23 into the
third period, but went on to give up two goals in a 1:43 span. Former Los
Angeles goaltender and current Edmonton back-up Jason LaBarbera started on Saturday,
so it seems likely Devan Dubnyk will be back in net even though his 4.01
goals-against average is among the league’s worst. Dubnyk, however, is 2-2-0
with a 1.74 GAA in his last four match-ups with the Kings. Jeff Carter has
scored five goals in his last four meetings with the Oilers but has one in his
last seven games overall. The Kings have scored on the power play in three
straight games and are facing an Edmonton penalty kill which is one of the
NHL's worst (72.7 per cent), giving up 12 power-play goals in as many games.
Edmonton has one regulation win in its last 13 visits to Staples Center.
Confirmed bets
Oilers @ Kings WIN (three units @ $1.42) WIN (1-2)
Leans
Oilers @ Kings -5.5 $1.83 WIN (1-2)
Rugby League (World Cup) for October 28
Group B: Papua New Guinea v France, New Craven Park,
Hull, UK, Monday, October 28, 2.30am
Papua New Guinea and France begin their Rugby League
World Cup campaigns at Hull KR’s New Craven Park. Rugby league is Papua New
Guinea’s national sport and the Kumuls will be keen to get their World Cup
campaign off to a positive start. They’ve been starved of World Cup success of
late after being cruelly drawn in a group against powerhouses Australia, New
Zealand and England in the 2008 tournament. Their best performance at a Cup came
eight years earlier when they advanced to the quarter-finals after going
through their group undefeated. A repeat of that feat is unlikely this time
around, with the Kiwis and Samoa standing in their way, but the French look to
be ripe for the picking after being shocked 22-18 by the USA in their warm-up
match last week. The Kumuls have lost star hooker James Segeyaro to injury, but
have a more than capable replacement in the form of former Panther and Shark
Paul Aiton.
Papua New Guinea’s strength is where it matters –
through the spine. Their attack will come through the spark of Aiton at hooker,
North Queensland’s Ray Thompson in the halves and Gold Coast speedster David
Mead at full-back, with captain Neville Costigan anchoring the forward pack at
lock. They’ve also got one of the best brains trusts in the business, with
national legend Adrian Lam coaching the side and assisted by record-breaking
Maroons mentor Mal Meninga. Five-eighth Thomas Bosc is the attacking star for the
French, while retiring Cowboys utility back Clint Greenshields has bags of
experience and will be a constant threat from full-back. France’s best asset is
their cohesion – 16 of their 24-man squad are club teammates at the Catalans
Dragons, while Greenshields played alongside many of them in his time at the
club between 2007 and 2012. But France’s loss to the USA rings alarm bells for
a team that has plenty of home-grown talent but doesn’t possess much in the way
of international quality players.
Confirmed bets
Papua New Guinea +2.5 (one unit @ $1.91) WIN (8-9)
New Zealand -34.5 $1.91 v Samoa LOSE (42-24)
Washington Redskins (2-4, 1-2 away) @ Denver Broncos
(6-1, 4-0 home), Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO, Monday,
October 28, 7.25am
Peyton Manning has built a reputation for his
legendary preparedness, but he will be in somewhat unfamiliar territory when
the Denver Broncos look to rebound from their first loss in more than a year
against the visiting Washington Redskins. The Broncos were upended at
Indianapolis 39-33 last week to snap a franchise-record 17-game winning streak
dating to October 7, 2012. The defeat also dropped Denver one game behind
first-place Kansas City in the AFC West. Manning’s return to Indianapolis
resulted in a 39-33 loss to his former team. He was 29 of 49 for 386 yards,
three TDs and an interception, but was also sacked four times and hit 10. He
returned to practice on Thursday after being held out a day earlier because of
a minor ankle injury. Neither Manning nor coach John Fox discussed the details
of the injury. The Broncos’ 469.3 yards per game leads the NFL, while Manning
ranks first in passing TDs (25), yards (2565) and QB rating (123.3). Knowshon
Moreno’s eight rushing scores also lead all players. Denver will be focused on
providing better protection for Manning, who had only been sacked five times in
the previous six games.
The Redskins are trying to dig themselves out of a
hole for the second straight season, winning for the second time in three games
after prevailing in a wild 45-41 shootout with Chicago last week. It marked a
season high in points allowed by Washington, which has surrendered more than 30
four times and is yielding an averaging of 30.7 per contest. It was also their
most points since a 52-17 victory over San Francisco on October 23, 2005. The
499 yards gained were also their most since amassing 511 in a 26-20 win against
the 49ers on December 26, 1999. The victory against the Bears marked
Washington's second straight game with 200-plus rushing yards, including a
season-high 84 on 11 carries by Robert Griffin III (pictured) as well as 95 and 41 from
Alfred Morris and Roy Helu jr, respectively. Helu also ran for three TDs.
Griffin recorded a season-high 105.2 passer rating while benefiting from the
emergence of tight end Jordan Reed, finding the rookie nine times in as many
throws targeting him for 134 yards and a score. The Redskins are 6-0 ATS in
their last six games after scoring 30 or more points in their previous game.
Confirmed bets
Washington Redskins @ Denver Broncos +57.5 (three
units @ $1.91) WIN (21-45)
Racing for October 28
Confirmed bets
Cowra R7 #2 Narasimha (win) 1st ($2.60)
Cowra R6 #3 Kiss This (E/W) LOSE (4th)
Scone R3 # 11 Raweesha (E/W 1x4) 3rd ($1.30)
Scone R6 #2 May Nelly (E/W 1x2) LOSE (4th)
Game 4 (St Louis leads 2-1): Boston Red Sox @ St
Louis Cardinals, Busch Stadium, St Louis, MO, Monday, October 28, 11.20am
The Boston Red Sox and St Louis Cardinals are
proving to be so evenly matched, that only a rare call could separate the
teams. The Cardinals came out on the good side of an obstruction ruling in the
ninth inning of Game 3 to grab a 2-1 lead in the World Series. Allen Craig
scored the game-winning run thanks to that obstruction call at third base, but
may have suffered an injury on the play. It was the first World Series game to
end on an error since Game 6 in 1986, when the Red Sox lost to the New York
Mets. Both Boston and St Louis had problems in the bullpen, making it two games
in a row that the Red Sox middle relief crew let a series of inherited runners
score in a loss. The Cardinals are getting offence from Matt Holliday and
Yadier Molina while Boston is forced to choose between David Ortiz (pictured) and Mike
Napoli at first base. The Red Sox are 37-14 in their past 51 games following a
loss but only 29-59 in their past 88 games as underdogs.
Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (0-0, 5.40 ERA) was the No.
2 starter during the ALCS but was pushed to Game 4 of the World Series due to
shoulder fatigue. The 29-year-old went through an intense throwing session on
Saturday and is ready to go but will likely be backed up by long reliever Ryan
Dempster. Buchholz was not able to go more than 85 pitches in either of his two
ALCS starts against Detroit. Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (0-0, 5.40) could be on a
short leash as well after topping out at 83 pitches in his two previous starts
this post-season. The 26-year-old surrendered two runs on six hits over 5 1/3
innings at Los Angeles in Game 4 of the NLCS but issued three walks. Lynn is
1-3 with a 5.08 ERA in nine career interleague games (six starts). The Cardinals
are 5-1 in their past six interleague home games, 13-1 in their past 14
postseason games at home while the ‘over’ is 4-0 in Cardinals’ past four games
as a home favourite.
Confirmed bet
Game total +7.5 (two units @ $1.91) LOSE (4-2)
Leans
Boston WIN $1.91 WIN (4-2)
Swan Hill R3 #3 Escadrille
(E/W 1x2) 3rd ($1.60)
Swan Hill R4 #8 Wild Sands (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Swan Hill R5 Boxed Trifecta 1/2/5 LOSE (2/1/8)
MLB (World Series) for October 28
Boston TT +3.5 $1.74 WIN (4-2)
NHL for October 28
The Kings have been on a roller coaster in terms of
results over the first few weeks of the NHL season, but hope to find a smoother
ride starting here against the Edmonton Oilers. After surviving a blown
four-goal lead in its latest game, Los Angeles closes a four-game homestand
looking to continue its recent dominance of the Oilers. Los Angeles has lost
leads in all three games of this stretch at Staples Center but has come away
with a pair of wins. The Kings scored three times in the third period to beat
Dallas 5-2 last Sunday, then gave up a last-minute goal to Calgary in a 3-2
defeat two days later. It looked like the Kings might suffer another
disappointing loss on Friday before prevailing 7-4 over the Coyotes. Los
Angeles (7-4-0) has rarely wasted leads against Edmonton in recent years, going
11-1-4 in the past 16 meetings. Jonathan Quick (pictured) is a big reason for that
domination, going 9-1-3 during that span with a 1.51 goals-against average.
He’s allowed five goals in the last five as the Kings have gone 4-0-1.
Sharks @ Senators WIN (one unit @ $1.80) LOSE (5-2)
Jets @ Avalanche WIN NT (one unit @ $1.77) WIN (2-3)
Sharks @ Senators +5.5 $2.22 WIN (5-2)
Lightning WIN $1.91 @ Panthers WIN (4-3)
Ducks @ Blue Jackets WIN $1.83 LOSE (4-3)
Jets @ Avalanche TT +3.5 $2.36 LOSE (2-3)
Rugby League (World Cup) for October 28
New Zealand v Samoa +50.5 (one unit @ $1.80) WIN (42-24)
Lean
NFL (week 8) for October 28
San Francisco 49ers @ Jacksonville Jaguars +40.5 (one
unit @ $1.91) WIN (42-10)
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles -50.5 (one unit
@ $1.91) WIN (15-7)
Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints -48 (one unit @
$1.91) LOSE (17-35)
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals +41.5 (one unit @
$1.91) WIN (9-49)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders -40.5 (one unit
@ $1.91) WIN (18-21)
Miami Dolphins +7 @ New England Patriots (one unit @
$1.80) LOSE (17-27)
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions WIN (one unit @ $1.65) WIN (30-31)
Leans
Washington Redskins +13 $1.95 @ Denver Broncos LOSE (21-45)
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions -51 $1.91 LOSE (30-31)
Cleveland Browns +7.5 $1.87 @ Kansas City Chiefs WIN (17-23)
Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints -10.5 $1.91 WIN (17-35)
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots -45 $1.91 WIN (17-27)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders +2.5 $1.91 WIN (18-21)
Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals -46 $1.91 WIN (13-27)
Green Bay Packers -8 $1.91 @ Minnesota Vikings WIN (44-31)
EPL for October 28
Gus Poyet has spent less than a fortnight in the Sunderland dugout but already has to face a Tyne-Wear derby with his side yet to break its duck after the opening eight games of the season. Incredibly, Poyet becomes the fourth Sunderland boss Alan Pardew will have faced in six derbies in charge of Newcastle. April's 3-0 defeat at home to Paolo Di Canio's Black Cats hurt Pardew badly. This first chance of revenge extends further too. Pardew’s Newcastle lost FA Cup ties at Poyet’s Brighton in each of the past two seasons, with touchline tensions between combustible coaches John Carver and Charlie Oatway set to be renewed again. With Fabricio Coloccini possibly still sidelined and Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa suspended, Newcastle may have a defensive problem to solve. Either Steven Taylor (if fit) or last Saturday's surprise scorer Paul Dummett will start, and that will mean that at least one local supporter of their team plays in the derby!
Sunderland defender Wes Brown has recovered from a
calf problem sustained in pre-season and could play his first competitive game
since January 2012. Loanee Ki Sung-Yeung also returns after being ineligible to
face his parent club Swansea last weekend. The last time the Black Cats won
successive league matches against the Magpies was during the 1966-67 season,
when they recorded 3-0 victories in both meetings. The 22 Premier League
matches between these sides have produced nine Newcastle wins, nine draws and
four Sunderland victories. But Sunderland have won only one of their 11 Premier
League home matches against Newcastle (D5, L5), failing to keep a single clean
sheet. Sunderland will hope to avoid a seventh successive league defeat on
Sunday. If they lose it will be their worst run in the top flight since a
sequence of nine consecutive defeats in October-December 2005. The Magpies have
scored two goals in each of their past five league games.
Tottenham (to nil) v Hull City (one unit @ $2.15) WIN (1-0)
Sunderland v Newcastle BTS (one unit @ $1.62) WIN (2-1)
Leans
Chelsea v Manchester City DRAW $3.00 LOSE (2-1)
Swansea v West Ham (double chance) $2.15 WIN (0-0)
Tottenham v Hull City (correct score 2-0) $6.50 LOSE (1-0)Tottenham v Hull City (correct score 2-0) $9.00 LOSE (1-0)
• Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at
time of publication – for most people gambling is an exciting and fun
recreational pursuit. For others it can become a problem with devastating consequences
for them, their families and friends. We want you to enjoy your gambling
experience. We want you to stay in control of your gambling and not allow your
gambling to control you.
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