US Masters preview for April 11-14
No field
is as elite and exclusive as the Masters. The course, last modified in 2006, is
one that requires hardened Tour experience. Only one player has won on debut,
and very few have managed to earn a Green Jacket on just their second visit.
Length is
an advantage, but don’t be fooled into believing it’s everything. At 7435
yards, this isn’t the longest par 72 we'll see all season and there are two key
reasons that length is considered important: one is that par-five performance
tends to be essential, and the other is that there is no ‘rough’ as we know it,
simply a first cut which does not punish the errant in the way that a US Open
set-up would.
So we need a big-time performer with course experience, an ability to play par fives well, possibly with a big drive in the bag and certainly with a tidy short game. Phil Mickelson (pictured above) and Tiger Woods have both stressed that avoiding three putts is essential here, and that requires two things: a dab hand with the flat stick if necessary, but first and foremost the ability and experience to miss in the right places.
As far as
Woods goes, it simply comes down to price as $4.50 is simply too short. Every
stat going tells you he will win but Phil
Mickelson ($13) is better value,
and he makes the staking plan as a saver. Three Masters titles in nine years
tell their own tale.
Top of the
list is Dustin Johnson, about who $26 makes a great deal of appeal. At
the start of the season, when DJ won in Hawaii, all the talk was that this was
the guy to serve it up to Rory McIlroy – the best of the new US generation. It
was a belief born from his performances in the other three majors, a fine Ryder
Cup, and a record-breaking set of PGA Tour form figures since he left college.
As far as
Augusta National goes, it should be a perfect fit for Johnson, even if his
results don't quite show that so far. He's one of the longest hitters on the
planet, can work the ball both ways, and has ranked 12th, sixth, 14th and second
over the last four years for par-five birdie or better conversion.
Next on the
list is Charl Schwartzel, who also appeals
at $26. To win the Masters on just
his second try was a sensational effort from Schwartzel, made all the more
impressive by the fact that he'd never really had a chance to win a major
before yet strode through the door with four birdies in four fabulous closing
holes.
It was a
victory aided by some dinner-time advice from none other than Jack Nicklaus,
who told Charl exactly how he used to approach every single hole when they met
prior to the 2011 tournament.
Third on the
list is Rickie Fowler ($51) – the
24-year-old has only played in the event twice, but finishes of 38th and 27th
are enough to suggest that he has what it takes to compete here for many years
to come.
Rickie
isn't the longest hitter on Tour by any means but he can get it out there, and
his victory in last season's Quail Hollow Championship speaks to how well he
can play a tough, championship-standard par 72 of this sort of length.
And let's put
up Nick Watney ($71) as the last pick. Having finished seventh in 2010 and lost a
three-shot lead in the final round of the same season’s PGA Championship,
Watney was speaking in 2011 as one of the fancied players, but could only
finish 46th. Last year, he simply wasn't playing well but managed to finish
32nd.
Suggested bets: Phil Mickelson (WIN); Dustin
Johnson (E/W); Charl Schwartzel (E/W); Rickie Fowler (E/W); Nick Watney (E/W)
Racing for
April 11
Horse
racing: Ballarat (Vic), Hawkesbury (NSW), Beaudesert (Qld), Albany (WA)
Harness
racing: Gold Coast (Qld), Kilmore (Vic), Newcastle (NSW), Penrith (NSW),
Mildura (Vic), Narrogin (WA)
Greyhound
racing: Warragul (Vic), Grafton (NSW), Geelong (Vic), Dapto (NSW), Albion Park
(Qld), Sandown Park (Vic), Angle Park (SA), Hobart (Tas), Maitland (NSW),
Mandurah (WA)
Our best
of the day comes up in the seventh at Hawkesbury where they’ll be racing on a
dead (4). The White Balloon Boutique Maiden will be run over 1300m and we’re
expecting the Bart Cummings-trained #9 Kim Dynasty to salute for her first win.
Kim Dynasty
has shown good promise during her short career to date and produced a
respectable second on resuming last start at Newcastle, working to the line
solidly where she finished a half-length behind the Gai Waterhouse-trained
debutant Lone Ballad.
Kim
Dynasty lines up this afternoon in a race of minimal depth and added fitness
second run back from a spell rising to a more suitable distance, improvement on
her last start is expected.
Suggested
bet: Hawkesbury R7 #9 Kim Dynasty (win two units) WIN ($2.60)
Other
racing tips for April 11
Beaudesert
R7 #2 Karl the Great (E/W) WIN $2.60/$1.30
Ballarat R3
#6 Sistine Demon (E/W) WIN $2.60/$1.30
Suggested
harness racing bet: Mildura R5 #1 Ourcrowninn (win) WIN
Suggested
greyhound racing bet: Sandown Park R11 #6 Veyron Bale (win) LOSE
MLB for
April 11
Los
Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres, Petco Park, San Diego, CA, Thursday, April
11, 12.15pm
Chad
Billingsley finally has the chance to continue the success he enjoyed before an
elbow injury prematurely ended his 2012 season while former Dodger Eric Stults
looks to build on a victorious season debut when he takes the mound for the
Padres.
Stults’
sole outing against the Dodgers last September saw his foes’ bats held to one
run over six innings. In San Diego’s seven home outings in 2012 with Stults
starting, they held opponents to just 16 earned runs. Billingsley's
outing at Petco last year moved the under to 9-1-1 mark in the 28-year-old’s
last 11 road outings against the Padres.
Suggested
bet: Game total -7 (two units) PUSH
Other tips
Reds WIN @
Cardinals LOSE
Pirates @
Diamondbacks -1.5 WIN
Athletics
WIN @ Angels WIN
NHL for April 11
Vancouver
Canucks @ Calgary Flames, Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Thursday,
April 11, 11am
Vancouver
has outscored opponents 11-2 during its three-game winning streak and holds a
slim lead on Minnesota for the Northwest Division lead. It also has Ryan Kesler
back after the forward missed 20 games with a fractured foot.
Calgary,
meanwhile, has continued to struggle. It had dropped five straight before
Monday’s 3-1 victory at Colorado, and it hasn't beaten anyone but the NHL-worst
Avalanche since a win over St Louis on March 24. And with Canucks’ goaltender
Cory Schneider in red-hot form, it’s hard to see that stat being corrected
here.
Suggested
bet: Canucks -1.5 (three units) WIN
Other tips
Bruins @
Devils +5 LOSE
Coyotes @
Oilers -5.5 WIN
Avalanche
@ Ducks -1.5 LOSE
NBA for April 11
Minnesota
Timberwolves @ LA Clippers, Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA, Thursday, April 10,
12.30pm
The Los
Angeles Clippers have already clinched the first Pacific Division title in
franchise history, but they'd like to build even more momentum heading into the
playoffs.
As they
try to set a club record for single-season home victories, the Clippers can
complete their first season sweep of Minnesota in 20 years with a fifth
consecutive win over the Timberwolves.
The Wolves
are 12-9 cashing the over this season with no rest, and we expect their already
poor defence to give up plenty of points. The last four times these two teams
have played in LA, the total has gone over.
Suggested
bet: Game total +199 (two units) WIN
Other tips
Nets +3.5
@ Celtics WIN
Suns @
Mavericks -13.5 LOSE
Spurs @
Nuggets WIN WIN
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