Horse
racing: Flemington (Vic), Hawkesbury (NSW), Gold Coast (Qld), Morphettville
(SA), Belmont (WA), Newcastle (NSW), Benalla (Vic), Ballina (NSW), Ipswich
(Qld), Mackay (Qld), Pioneer Park (NT), Toowoomba (Qld)
Harness
racing: Canberra (ACT), Newcastle (NSW), Albion Park (Qld), Ballarat (Vic),
Globe Derby (SA)
Greyhound
racing: The Gardens (NSW), Traralgon (Vic), Richmond (NSW), The Meadows (Vic),
Wentworth Park (NSW), Cannington (WA)
Some
unfamiliar venues take centre stage for today’s racing, with the annual
stand-alone meeting at Hawkesbury, Hollindale Stakes day at the Gold Coast and
the Group 1 Centrebet South Australian Derby at Morphettville.
We reckon
#3 Shoreham is a huge chance to give Chris Symons his first Group 1 winner.
Just shaded by Hvasstan and Hioctdane in the market, Shoreham ran out an
excellent 2500m to win at Flemington in the Galilee Final on April 13 and looks
a massive chance for trainer Saab Hasan here.
For our
best of the day, we head to race 3 (the Secondbite Fresh Food
Rescue Hcp over 1400m) at Flemington. Owned by John Singleton, #6
Strawberry Boy was moved to the moody stables well before last week’s bust-up
with Gai Waterhouse.
The 4yo
gelding is having his first start in Melbourne but has won four of his seven
starts, including two first-up, and was placed at G3 level two starts back. He
looks a class above this bunch and should salute at a good’s thing price of
$1.90.
Suggested
bet: Flemington R3 #6 Strawberry Boy (three units @ $1.90) WIN
Others
tips
Hawkesbury
R2 #3 Zoustar (win) 1st ($2.40)
Hawkesbury
R3 #5 Calvo (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Morphettville
R6 #9 Couldn’t Agreemore (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Morphettville
R7 #3 Shoreham (E/W) 3rd ($1.70)
Gold Coast
R1 #4 Studio (win) WIN ($1.70)
Gold Coast
R2 #5 Typhoon Red (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Greyhound racing tips
The Meadows R8 #1 Veyron Bale (win) LOSE (2nd)Cannington R7 #7 Freeway Ace (win) WIN ($1.70)
The Meadows R8 #1 Veyron Bale (win) LOSE (2nd)Cannington R7 #7 Freeway Ace (win) WIN ($1.70)
AFL (rd 6) for May 4
Essendon v Greater Western
Sydney, Etihad Stadium, Saturday, May 4, 1.45pm
While the soap opera continues off the field, the
Bombers continue to leave their troubles in the change rooms with their 5-0
start to the season the best since their premiership-winning year of 2000.
It’s hard to see their massive percentage of 176.7
suffering too much damage here as the ladder leaders take on 18th-placed
Greater Western Sydney, who’ve made seven changes for this game.
Kevin Sheedy (coaching against his former club for
the final time) has watched his young side drop away badly in the final quarter
of their past two games, and the injury list steadily grow. If the Bombers come
to play, this could be an ugly afternoon for the Giants.
Suggested bet: Essendon -90.5 LOSE (120-81)
Nth Melbourne v Port
Adelaide, Blundstone Arena, Hobart, Saturday, May 4, 2.10pm
Toughest game of the round to call – the undefeated
Power start three-goal outsiders against a Kangaroos (1-4) outfit given no
favours by the draw in their opening five games.
Despite competitive showings against Collingwood,
Geelong and Hawthorn, Brad Scott’s side now have little margin of error if they
are to feature in the finals picture.
It promises to be cold and blustery for
this game, which won’t help the tall timber at either end of the park. As impressive as Port have been, they fell over the
line against an Eagles side that kicked itself out of the game last week and
face their toughest test of the season to date.
Suggested bet: Nth Melbourne 1-39 (WIN 93-83)
Adelaide v Hawthorn, AAMI
Stadium, Saturday, May 4, 4.40pm
It’s hard to believe the last time these two sides
met that the Hawks barely scraped over the line and into the 2012 Grand Final.
Since then, Kurt Tippett has headed for the Swans in controversial
circumstances and Taylor Walker’s season ended last week due to injury, leaving
the Crows forward line sorely undermanned.
Their average score had already fallen 15 points per
game on last year. Hawthorn lost a star of its own last week when Cyril Rioli
suffered another hamstring injury last week but they look well placed to
improve on a record that reads 1-11 in their past 11 visits to AAMI Stadium.
Suggested bet: Hawthorn -23.5 (two units) LOSE (78-89)
Richmond v Geelong, MCG,
Saturday, May 4, 7.40pm
This is the first meeting between the Tigers and
Cats at the MCG since 2008 and you have to look back to 2006 to find the last
time Richmond has claimed victory in this fixture. While the Tigers will be
desperate to atone for last week’s nail-biting loss to Fremantle, this looks a
tough task for a Richmond side that has yet to hits its straps this season.
A lack of pressure on the opposition ball carriers
has proved telling for the Tigers in the past fortnight (the return of Chaplin,
Morris and King will help), and while Geelong hardly impressed in last week’s 21-point
win over the Bulldogs, it’s just two weeks since Chris Scott’s side went to
Sydney and beat the reigning premiers by the same amount.
Suggested bet: Geelong -17.5 WIN (87-131)
Gold Coast v Fremantle, Metricon
Stadium, Saturday, May 4, 7.40pm
Freo escaped with the points here last year and face
another stern test from the drastically improved Suns, who are coming off a
club record score and winning margin over GWS last year.
Both sides have taken strides since last year, with
the Suns increasing their scoring output and ability to clear the ball at
stoppages while the Dockers defensive intensity is the envy of the competition.
Harley Bennell returns for the Suns while the
Dockers will be without Stephen Hill, Nate Fyfe and Kepler Bradley. Gold Coast
isn’t quite up to this standard yet, but will certainly keep the visitors
honest.
Suggested bet: Fremantle 1-24 (LOSE 54-99)
MLB for May
4
Detroit
Tigers (16-11) @ Houston Astros (8-21), Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX,
Saturday, May 4, 10.10am
The Tigers’
Doug Fister and the Astros’ Bud Norris are five-year Major League veterans, but
both will venture into uncharted territory here. With the Astros in their first
season in the American League and facing only their second series against the
Tigers since 2006, neither hurler comes in with any experience against their
opponent.
The Astros
will be trying to even the series after the Tigers outlasted them for a 7-3,
14-inning victory. Houston has lost seven of its past eight, while Detroit has
won six of seven. Fister has found success against everyone in his path this
season, going 4-0 with a 2.38 ERA.
Norris
(3-3, 4.20) has a 2.45 ERA outside of one rough outing at Oakland on April 17.
The righty is responsible for two of Houston’s seven quality starts, which
ranks them last in the Majors. That’s a number manager Bo Porter hopes his
rotation can turn around soon, especially coming off a game in which he
deployed all seven of his relievers.
Suggested
bet: Tigers -1.5 (two units @ $1.87*) LOSE, game total -8 (two units @ $2.00*) WIN (4-3)
Other tips
Reds WIN @ Cubs WIN (6-5)
Athletics @ Yankees -8 WIN (2-0)
Mariners WIN @ Blue Jays WIN (4-0)
Nationals @ Pirates WIN WIN (1-3)
Red Sox @ Rangers -9 WIN (0-7)
Mets @ Braves WIN LOSE (7-5)
Rays @ Rockies -9 LOSE (7-4)
Orioles @ Angels WIN WIN (0-4)
Dodgers @ Giants -7.5 WIN (1-2)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
NHL
playoffs for May 4
Eastern
Conference quarter-finals, game 2: New York Islanders @ Pittsburgh Penguins, CONSOL
Energy Center, Pittsburgh, PA, Saturday, May 4, 9.10am (Penguins lead 1-0)
The New
York Islanders had plenty of issues to address after the Pittsburgh Penguins
cruised to a remarkably easy 5-0 victory in Game 1. Now, they’ll also have to
figure out how to stop Sidney Crosby (pictured below). He makes his return to the ice after
missing more than a month with a broken jaw as the Penguins look to take a 2-0
lead on the inexperienced Islanders.
The
question of when Crosby would return lingered in the lead-up to this series,
but Pittsburgh hardly looked like it needed its captain in Game 1, scoring four
times in less than 20 minutes from the middle of the first period to the middle
of the second.
One player
who didn't look comfortable at all in Game 1 was the center who was taken No. 1
overall four years after Crosby. Budding Islanders star John Tavares, the NHL’s
third-leading goal scorer, failed to get a shot away, the first time all year
Tavares failed to get at least one puck on the net.
Suggested
bet: Penguins -1.5 (two units @ $2.22*) LOSE, game total +5.5 (two units @ $1.91*) WIN (4-3)
Other tips
ECQF2: Senators @ Canadiens WIN (1-0) WIN (1-3)
ECQF2: Islanders @ Penguins -1.5 LOSE, +5.5 (1-0) WIN (4-3)
WCQF2: Wild @ Blackhawks -1.5 WIN, -5 (0-1) LOSE (2-5)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
Western
Conference playoffs, round 1, game 6: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets,
Toyota Center, Houston, TX, Saturday, May 4, 12.40pm (Thunder lead 3-2)
Kevin
Durant has scored 74 points combined in Oklahoma City’s past two games against
the Houston Rockets. The problem is that his teammates haven't stepped up to
take some pressure off the superstar, and the Rockets have won both of those
games.
Houston
has cut the Thunder’s lead to 3-2 in the series, and is looking to become the
first team in NBA history to overcome a 0-3 series deficit to win a
best-of-seven playoff series.
While
Oklahoma City is without All-Star Russell Westbrook for the rest of the season,
the Rockets are dealing with several health issues as well. Point guard Jeremy
Lin has missed the past two games with a bruised chest muscle while James
Harden had been diagnosed with strep throat, but is expected to play.
Suggested
bet: Rockets WIN (three units @ $1.83*) LOSE (103-94)
Other tips
E6: Knicks
@ Celtics +2 LOSE, +181 (3-2) WIN (88-80)
E6: Pacers
WIN @ Hawks (3-2) WIN (81-73)
W6:
Clippers @ Grizzlies WIN (3-2) WIN (105-118)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
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