NRL (rd 8)
for May 3
Bulldogs v
Tigers, ANZ Stadium, Friday, May 3, 7.35pm
It hasn’t
been an easy few weeks for Des Hasler’s men. Decimated by injury in the early
rounds, they were also hampered by a horror draw that saw them face North
Queensland, Melbourne, Souths, Manly and the Roosters in the first six weeks.
Canterbury won none of those but, other than a 38-8 shut-out against the
Roosters, have been far from disgraced.
Already on
the Tigers’ injured list have been Benji
Marshall, Keith Galloway, Braith Anasta, Lote Tuqiri and Liam Fulton so the
last thing coach Mick Potter needed was to lose three more key players in their
20-10 loss to Brisbane last Saturday.
We’ve
pegged this game at about 36 points, with the Bulldogs forward pack still to
find the form of 2012 and Potter’s strong emphasis on defence at training
during the week. A small play on the line is also in order.
Suggested
bet: Game total -40.5 (three units @ $1.80) LOSE, Bulldogs -14.5 (one unit @ $2.00) WIN (40-4)
Other tips
Broncos v
Rabbitohs -36.5 LOSE (12-26)
Racing for May 3
Horse
racing: Bendigo (Vic), Muswellbrook (NSW), Sunshine Coast (Qld), Wagga Wagga
(NSW)
Harness
racing: Menangle (NSW), Gold Coast (Qld), Melton (Vic), Bathurst (NSW), Port
Pirie (SA), Gloucester Park (WA)
Greyhound
racing: Casino (NSW), Mt Gambier (SA), Bendigo (Vic), The Gardens (NSW),
Ipswich (Qld), Geelong (Vic), Wentworth Park (NSW), Mandurah (WA), Winnellie
Park (NT)
Two big
collects yesterday have us back in the black after Faithful Jester ($12.60) and
Banna Strand ($7.80) both saluted on the final day of the Warrnambool Racing
Carnival. We stay with the Victorian provincials for our best of the day.
Conditions look ideal at Bendigo today with a dead (4) and sunny skies,
although it promises to be very windy.
Race 6 is
the National Heating and Cooling Class 1 Handicap over 1000m,
which looks an ideal spot for #8 Klishina to pick up her second win in just
four starts. Trained at Seymour by David Bourne, this 3yo filly won on debut at
Kilmore in January before being pipped at the post by Ferlax at Ballarat three
weeks later. Experienced hoop Steven Arnold takes the ride here with barrier 11
unlikely to be a serious impediment.
Suggested
bet: Bendigo R6 #8 Klishina E/W (two units @ $3.40) LOSE (U/P)
Others
tips
Bendigo R4
#3 Lyndhurst (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Muswellbrook
R7 #3 Jest Crewsin (E/W) LOSE (U/P)
Wagga
Wagga R4 #3 Talbanga (win) LOSE (3rd)
Wagga
Wagga R7 #13 Devised (E/W) 2nd ($3.90)
Greyhound racing tips
The Gardens R4 #1 Belfast Kaiser (win) 1st ($2.40)
Wentworth Park R9 #3 Osteria Mozza (win) 1st ($1.90)
Geelong R8 #8 Classy Maldini (win) 1st ($1.70)
AFL (rd 6)
for May 3
Collingwood (3-2) v St Kilda (1-4), Etihad Stadium, Friday, May
3, 7.50pm
It’s hard to see the Magpies being beaten here, not
that either side has reached any great heights so far this season. However, the
play of the round looks to be on the game total line, which looks overblown
even for a game at Etihad.
St Kilda has struggled for goals in all games except
their big win over the Gold Coast, with limited output from both their small
and tall forwards. Stephen Milne (back after a week’s suspension) and Justin
Koschitzke, in particular, have been anaemic in front of goal.
Magpies coach Nathan Buckley has Darren Jolly back
in the ruck and Andy Krakouer making his first of the season – he’ll be keen
for a better showing from his leaky defence while his Saints counterpart Scott
Watters won’t want a shootout his side can’t win.
Suggested
bet: Game total -200.5 (three units @ $1.80) WIN (103-77)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
MLB for
May 3
Chicago
White Sox (11-15) @ Texas Rangers (17-10), Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, TX,
Friday, May 3, 10.10am
We’re
riding the MLB roller coaster at the moment with day-to-day inconsistency in
several bullpens proving costly. We still have our noses in front and hope
things settle down this month after a torrid April! For our play of the day, we
head to Arlington where the White Sox will be out to claim the series
after splitting the first two games against the Rangers.
Jake Peavy
was scheduled to get the start for the visitors but the White Sox scratched the
right-hander due to back spasms and will instead send Hector Santiago to the
hill for his season debut. Santiago (0-1, 2.51 ERA) has made seven appearances
out of the bullpen this season, and he didn't allow a run in the first six.
The
Rangers counter with rookie Justin Grimm (2-0, 1.59), who has won his last two
starts while yielding two runs (one earned) and yielding 11 hits with 13
strikeouts in 13 innings. We like the look of Grimm here to get the win.
Suggested
bet: Rangers -1.5 (two units @ $2.35) LOSE, game total -8.5 (two units @ $1.80) WIN (3-1)
Other tips
Red Sox @
Blue Jays -8.5 WIN (3-1)
Marlins @
Phillies -7.5 LOSE (2-7)
Nationals WIN
@ Braves WIN (3-1)
Tigers WIN
WIN @ Astros +9.5 WIN (7-3)
Cardinals
@ Brewers WIN LOSE (6-5)
Orioles @
Angels WIN LOSE (5-1)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
NHL
playoffs for May 3
Western
Conference quarter-finals, game 2: Los Angeles Kings @ St Louis Blues, Scottrade
Center, St Louis, MS, Friday, May 3, 11.40am (Blues lead 1-0)
Most of Game 1, the Blues looked like the team that won 12 of its last 15 to earn the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference and home-ice advantage against the Kings, who finished just one point behind.
The Blues were thrown off their game by the Kings' physical play last spring, and made it a point to initiate the contact in Game 1. They were out-hit 41-38, but got the Kings’ attention. We expect the Kings to respond here and win a low-scoring affair.
Suggested
bet: Game total -5 (three units @ $1.62*) WIN, Kings WIN (one unit @ $2.10*) LOSE (1-2)
Other tips
ECQF1: Senators @ Canadiens -5 LOSE (4-2)
ECQF1: Rangers @ Capitals -5 WIN (1-3)
WCQF2: Red Wings @ Ducks (Ducks lead series 1-0) -1.5 LOSE (5-4)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
NBA
playoffs for May 3
Western
Conference playoffs, round 1, game 6: Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors, Oracle
Arena Center, Oakland, CA, Friday, May 3, 12.40pm (Warriors lead 3-2)
After a
game 5 that often resembled a pro wrestling battle royale, the battered and
bruised Warriors return home needing just one win to wrap up this series
against the Nuggets.
We fully
expect that they’ll do so here, and we’re returning to a play that worked out
nicely two days ago thanks to our sports betting partner Centrebet. Under the
Money Back Special that Centrebet is offering on the NBA playoffs, they will
refund your bet up to $100 if your team scores 100 points and loses.
The
Warriors average more than 102 points at home this year, while Denver averages less
than 105 points against on the road. Golden State went 28-13 at home, while
Denver went 19-22 on the road. Denver did win the regular season series 3-1 but
in two of the losses, Golden State scored more 100 points.
Suggested
bet: Warriors WIN (three units @ $1.74*) WIN (88-92)
Other tips
E6: Nets +1 WIN @
Bulls, +184.5 (Bulls led series 3-2) WIN (95-92)
* Prices
with thanks to Centrebet, correct at time of publication
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